Select Language

Gold holds above $3,300 as geopolitical risks, US debt woes mount

Breaking news

Gold holds above $3,300 as geopolitical risks, US debt woes mount

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.05.22 02:45
Gold holds above $3,300 as geopolitical risks, US debt woes mount

update 2025.05.22 02:45

  • Gold rises as traders brace for vote on Trump's debt-heavy tax bill.
  • Moody's downgrade and falling US Dollar fuel safe-haven demand for Gold.
  • Middle East unrest offsets easing US-China trade tensions, keeping risk appetite muted.

Gold prices advance by over 0.50% and remain above the $3,300 mark as traders grow increasingly nervous about the United States (US) tax bill vote, along with escalating tensions in the Middle East. XAU/USD trades at $3,307 after bouncing off a daily low of $3,285.

The market mood remains downbeat as major US equity indices post losses while US Treasury bond yields rise. Market participants are awaiting the approval of President Trump's tax-cut bill, which, according to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), would add nearly $3.8 trillion to the US national debt.

The approval could underpin US stocks higher. However, the Greenback's reaction is uncertain following Moody's downgrade of US government debt last Friday, which triggered a USD sell-off, as depicted by the US Dollar Index (DXY).

The DXY, which tracks the performance of the American currency against six others, declines 0.52% to 99.49, a tailwind for bullion prices.

Heightened tensions in the Middle East boosted Gold prices, even though China-US tensions de-escalated as Beijing and Washington substantially reduced tariffs for 90 days to kick off negotiations to achieve a trade deal.

This week, traders will eye Fed speeches, Flash PMIs, housing data and Initial Jobless Claims.

Gold daily market movers: Gold rallies amid high US Treasury bond yields, weak US Dollar

  • US Treasury bond yields are skyrocketing as the US 10-year Treasury note yield climbs nine and a half bps to 4.58%. Meanwhile, US real yields are also up nine and a half basis points at 2.229%.
  • Bullion prices are rising due to concerns about the increase in US debt. Last week, Moody's, the international rating agency, downgraded the US government rating from AAA to AA1, propelling Gold prices higher as the US Dollar got ditched and the US fiscal position worsened.
  • On Tuesday, Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers commented that monetary policy is appropriate, acknowledging that rising US import tariffs are inflation-prone and warrant holding rates.
  • Gold price could extend its gains, boosted by geopolitical news. On Tuesday, CNN news, citing multiple sources, revealed that Israel is preparing to attack Iranian nuclear facilities.
  • Data from the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) suggests that traders are pricing in 48.5 basis points of easing towards the end of the year.

XAU/USD technical outlook: Gold poised to test $3,350 as bulls gather steam

Gold price rally extended for the third straight day, as price action has printed successive days of higher highs and higher lows, with buyers eyeing key resistance levels. Momentum, as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggests that the uptrend will continue before the RSI gets to overbought territory, which could warrant a pause lying ahead.

Therefore, Gold's first resistance would be the $3,350 psychological level. Once surpassed, the next target would be $3,400, followed by the May 7 daily high of $3,438, before testing the all-time high (ATH) at $3,500.

For a bearish reversal, Gold bears must drag spot prices below $3,300. Once cleared, immediate support emerges at a May 20 daily low of $3,204, ahead of the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $3,184.

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human's history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn't rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country's solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.


Date

Created

 : 2025.05.22

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.05.22

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1903 vs. 7.1937 previous

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead on Thursday at 7.1903 as compared to the previous day's fix of 7.1937 and 7.2009 Reuters estimate.
New
update2025.05.22 10:15

USD/CAD extends the decline to near 1.3850 amid weaker US Dollar 

The USD/CAD pair extends its downside to around 1.3855 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by a weaker US Dollar (USD).
New
update2025.05.22 09:43

Japan's Kato says unsustainable imbalance in some countries behind trade imbalance

US Secretary Scott Bessent and Japan's Finance Minister Shunichi Kato discussed important issues pertaining to the US-Japan economic relationship, including global security and the ongoing bilateral trade discussions between the US and Japan.
New
update2025.05.22 08:37

NZD/USD weakens below 0.5950, budget bill concerns might cap its downside

The NZD/USD pair softens to near 0.5930 during the early Asian session on Thursday. However, the downside for the pair might be limited amid rising concerns over the US President Donald Trump administration's tax cut and spending bill and worries over the performance of the US economy.
New
update2025.05.22 08:19

EUR/USD rises for a third straight day as Greenback weakness takes hold

EUR/USD caught a bid on Wednesday, breaking through the 1.1300 technical barrier and climbing for a third straight session after market sentiment turned away from the US Dollar following a pummeling of US Treasury markets.
New
update2025.05.22 08:12

Australia's Judo Bank Manufacturing PMI comes in at 51.7 in May, Services PMI eases to 50.5

The preliminary reading of Australia's Judo Bank Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) came in at 51.7 in May versus 51.7 prior, the latest data published by Judo Bank and S&P Global showed on Thursday.
New
update2025.05.22 08:12

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD holds near $33.50 as US debt fears fuels haven demand

Silver price extended its rally to three days on Wednesday, edging up 0.21% as the Greenback continued to weaken across the board. Moody's downgrade to US sovereign debt and the vote of the US fiscal budget, keeps investors seeking safety in the precious metal.
New
update2025.05.22 07:56

US yields spike as 20-year auction flops, budget vote looms

US Treasury yields soared on Wednesday as a weaker-than-expected 20-year US bond auction ahead of the vote on the US budget in the US Congress. At the time of writing, the US 10-year T-note benchmark note surges 11 basis points at 4.601%.
New
update2025.05.22 06:22

EUR/USD rallies for third day as US debt fears grow ahead of US budget vote

EUR/USD extended its rally for the third consecutive day on Wednesday as the US Dollar (USD) continued to face headwinds following the credit downgrade of the United States last Friday.
New
update2025.05.22 05:01

President Trump's budget bill headed for vote in US Congress

The United States (US) House of Representatives is poised to begin casting votes on the Republican party's tax and budget bill that is front-loaded with many of President Donald Trump's wishlist items.
New
update2025.05.22 04:59

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel