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China: April data show hit from trade war pre-Geneva - ABN AMRO

April data confirm hit from trade war escalation last month. Growth momentum expected to pick up again following Geneva truce, but uncertainty remains, ABN AMRO's economist Arjen van Dijkhuizen reports.
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update2025.05.19 19:37

Who has to pay the US tariffs? - Commerzbank

Economics normally suffers from a painful deficiency: unlike biologists, physicists, psychologists, and other scientists, economists are generally unable to conduct experiments.
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update2025.05.19 19:34

NZD/USD: Expected to edge higher and test 0.5920 - UOB Group

There has been a tentative buildup in upward momentum; NZD is expected to edge higher and test 0.5920. In the longer run, outlook remains mixed, but NZD is likely to trade in a tighter range of 0.5835/0.5985, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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update2025.05.19 19:22

USD: Dollar stays soft post Moody's downgrade - ING

Late on Friday, the rating agency Moody's downgraded the US sovereign rating one notch to Aa1, having had the US on a negative outlook for a year, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
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update2025.05.19 19:17

EUR/USD soars as Greenback suffers from US Sovereign credit downgrade

EUR/USD surges to near 1.1270 during European trading hours on Monday. The major currency pair strengthens as the US Dollar (USD) slumps due to erosion in the United States (US) Sovereign Credit Rating.
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update2025.05.19 19:14

AUD/USD: Upward momentum is still slowing - UOB Group

A breach of 0.6370 would mean that the current price movements are part of a range trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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update2025.05.19 19:06

AUD: RBA set to cut 25bp early Tuesday - ING

The Reserve Bank of Australia is widely expected to cut rates tomorrow morning (06.30 CET), ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
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update2025.05.19 18:56

Gold turns positive as  Moody's US downgrade sends US yields higher

Gold (XAU/USD) price remains within a tight range, trading slightly higher near $3,243 at the time of writing, with three main themes at play on Monday. Tensions are brewing in the Middle East with Israel embarking on another massive ground offensive.
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update2025.05.19 18:53

Oil: Speculators buy Brent - ING

The Oil market managed a second consecutive week of gains, driven largely by tariff de-escalation. However, the market is in limbo this morning as it weighs what impact, if any, the US credit downgrade by Moody's Investors Service will have on Oil.
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update2025.05.19 18:53

RBA: Will it or won't it? - Commerzbank

Tomorrow morning, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will decide on its key interest rate. The market is pricing in a rate cut of 25 basis points to 3.85%.
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update2025.05.19 18:49

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