Select Language

GBP/JPY retreats from 204.00 amid fiscal concerns, BoE easing hopes 

Breaking news

GBP/JPY retreats from 204.00 amid fiscal concerns, BoE easing hopes 

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.11.14 17:35
GBP/JPY retreats from 204.00 amid fiscal concerns, BoE easing hopes 

update 2025.11.14 17:35

  • The Sterling dives to session lows below 203.00 against the Yen, after rejection at the 204.00 area.
  • News that UK Chancellor Reeves is planning to ditch tax-rising plans has hit the Sterling.
  • Yen rallies remain limited amid dwindling hopes of BoJ tightening in December.

The Pound is retracing gains against the Japanese Yen on Friday, after failing to break above the 204.00 area. A combination of concerns about the UK's fiscal health and weak macroeconomic data, which heightened hopes of a BoE rate cut, is weighing on the Sterling, which has dropped to session highs at 202.65 so far.


Pound crosses are trading lower on Friday, hit by a Financial Times report suggesting that Prime Minister Keir Starmer and finance minister Rachel Reeves would be considering ditching their plans to raise the income tax at the November 26 budget report. This move would be positive for the economy, but it might leave doubts about the UK's government debt unresolved.

UK economy slowed down in Q3

Beyond that, a raft of grim UK data releases on Thursday failed to improve confidence in the economic outlook. Preliminary Gross Domestic Product figures showed that growth slowed down to levels right above stagnation in the third quarter, with industrial and manufacturing production contracting sharply in September.

These figures have boosted expectations that the Bank of England will be forced to ease monetary policy further at its December meeting, which is weighing heavily on the Pound.

The Yen, on the other hand, is failing to fully capitalize on the Pound's weakness as pressures from Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi on the Bank of Japan to keep interest rates at low levels have curbed hopes of a December rate hike and are keeping JPY's upside attempts limited.

Pound Sterling FAQs

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, also known as 'Cable', which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the 'Dragon' as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).

The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of "price stability" - a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall.

Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.



Date

Created

 : 2025.11.14

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.11.14

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/USD: Next resistance at 1.1685 is unlikely to come under threat - UOB Group

There is scope for Euro (EUR) to test the 1.1655 level again; the next resistance at 1.1685 is unlikely to come under threat.
New
update2025.11.14 18:47

EUR/CHF breaks 2024 lows as downtrend deepens - Société Générale

EUR/CHF has slipped below its 2024 and October lows after failing at the 0.93 trend-line resistance, with bearish momentum suggesting the downtrend may extend toward 0.9170/0.9160 and potentially 0.9100, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
New
update2025.11.14 18:45

IEA continues to see very well-supplied Oil market - ING

Oil prices moved higher yesterday, settling just shy of 0.5% higher, despite a bearish weekly Energy Information Administration (EIA) inventory report.
New
update2025.11.14 18:42

China: Investment decelerated in October - Standard Chartered

FAI continued to ease across sectors, while consumption remained solid in October. IP growth moderated, along with weak investment and exports. Overcapacity management and insufficient funding may have constrained investment, Standard Chartered's economists report.
New
update2025.11.14 18:36

GBP: Downside risks suddenly increasing on fiscal risk - ING

Reports of UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves scrapping plans for income tax hikes are pressuring the pound.
New
update2025.11.14 18:34

NOK suffers more from risk aversion than SEK - Commerzbank

Analysts note that while both Scandinavian currencies are sensitive to risk sentiment, the Norwegian krone consistently shows a stronger negative reaction to rising risk aversion than the Swedish krona, reflecting its lower liquidity and heavier reliance on oil., Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfi
New
update2025.11.14 18:32

USD: Dollar pricing in soft data - ING

It's not unusual for the highly efficient FX market to be more forward-looking than other asset classes. In this case, it appears that the US Dollar (USDD) is embedding the narrative that the US reopening will lead to softer data and a dovish Fed repricing, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
New
update2025.11.14 18:27

USD/CAD Price Forecasts: US Dollar tests resistance at 1.4045 area

The US Dollar ticked higher against the Loonie, as market sentiment soured in the early European session on Friday.
New
update2025.11.14 18:23

Stronger CNY despite weaker data - Commerzbank

The People's Bank of China set its USD/CNY fix at 7.0825 this morning, signalling for the seventh straight week that it prefers a stronger CNY. Since the end of September, USD/CNY has fallen by a total of 0.5% (stronger CNY). At first glance, this may not seem like much.
New
update2025.11.14 18:23

EUR: Decent momentum may fade - ING

EUR/USD bullishness has continued to rise both in spot and via the options markets, with 1-month 25 delta risk reversals (cost of a call minus cost of a put) having moved from -0.2 to +0.3 in the past 10 days.
New
update2025.11.14 18:13

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel