Select Language

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD recovery stalls below $4,150 resistance 

Breaking news

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD recovery stalls below $4,150 resistance 

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.11.12 19:56
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD recovery stalls below $4,150 resistance 

update 2025.11.12 19:56


  • Gold wavers below $4,150 on hesitant markets awaiting the end of the US shutdown.
  • A somewhat firmer US Dollar on Wednesday is keeping Gold's upside attempts limited.
  • Failure to breach $4,150 might lead to a deeper correction below $4,100.

Gold (XAU/USD) remains practically flat on the daily chart on Wednesday, as hesitant market, as investors are reluctant to take risks ahead of the US government's reopening. The precious metal's recovery has stalled below $4250 resistance area, but downside attempts remain contained above $4,100 for now.

The US Dollar Index, which measures the value of the Greenback against a basket of currencies, has shrugged off the negative impact of Tuesday's employment data and is picking up from two-week lows. This is keeping bullion from appreciating higher, which leaves the pair in no-man's land above $4,100. 

Failure to break $4,150 might lead to a correction

XAU/USD Chart
XAU/USD 4-Hour Chart

The technical picture is showing a loosening upside momentum. The 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains within positive territory, at 612.00 at the time of writing, although the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bearish cross, suggesting some negative pressure.

Failure to extend gains beyond the resistance area around the mentioned $4,150 area (October 22, 23 and 24 highs) might give bears hopes to break Tuesday's lows at $4,090, aiming to the previous resistance area at $4,050 (October 31 highs) and  the area right below the $4,000 (November 6, 7 lows)

A confirmation above $4,150 would expose the previous support area at $4,220 (October 20 lows), ahead of the all-time highs, around $4,380 (October 20, 21 highs).

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human's history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn't rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country's solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.



Date

Created

 : 2025.11.12

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.11.12

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

USD/CAD consolidates losses near 1.4000, awaiting US reopening

 The US Dollar halted its sell-off against its Canadian counterpart on Wednesday, with bears capped above the 1.4000 psychological level, following a 0.7% decline in the previous three trading days. Upside attempts, however, remain capped below 1.4020 for now.
New
update2025.11.12 21:33

Gold consolidates near three-week high as traders await US House funding vote

Gold (XAU/USD) trades little changed on Wednesday, consolidating gains near a three-week high as investors adopt a wait-and-see approach ahead of a crucial US congressional vote to end the record-long government shutdown.
New
update2025.11.12 21:06

USD/JPY gains as Yen softens on dovish BoJ stance, US shutdown optimism

USD/JPY trades around 154.85 on Wednesday at the time of writing, up 0.50% on the day. Comments from Japan's Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi have reignited speculation about a looser fiscal stance and a cautious approach by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) regarding further rate hikes.
New
update2025.11.12 21:06

DXY slips to two-week low as shutdown nears end - DBS

The US Dollar (USD) weakened further, with the Dollar Index (DXY) falling 0.2% to 99.4 - its lowest since late October - as hopes grow that the US government shutdown will soon end.
New
update2025.11.12 21:05

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Extends losing streak for sixth trading day

The USD/CHF pair extends its losing streak for the sixth trading day on Wednesday. The Swiss Franc pair trades 0.15% lower to near 0.7990 during the European trading session.
New
update2025.11.12 21:01

EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Bulls test YTD highs near 0.8830 amid Pound's weakness

The Euro is heading north for the second consecutive day against a weak British Pound.
New
update2025.11.12 20:49

ECB's Schnabel: Risks to inflation are tilted a little bit to the upside

European Central Bank (ECB) executive board member Isabel Schnabel said at BNP Paribas' 9th annual Global Markets Conference "Europe Reimagined" that there is no need to adjust interest rates in the current situation, and the main focus of the central bank is on core inflation.
New
update2025.11.12 20:24

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD recovery stalls below $4,150 resistance 

Gold (XAU/USD) remains practically flat on the daily chart on Wednesday, as hesitant market, as investors are reluctant to take risks ahead of the US government's reopening.
New
update2025.11.12 19:55

USD/CNH: Likely to lead to a lower range of 7.1155/7.1260 - UOB Group

Softer underlying tone is likely to lead to a lower range of 7.1155/7.1260 rather than a continued decline. In the longer run, USD has likely entered a range-trading phase between 7.1120 and 7.1330, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.11.12 19:51

Silver supported by Fed rate-cut expectations, US economic concerns

Silver (XAG/USD) trades around $51.70 on Wednesday at the time of writing, up 1.00% on the day, extending its recent winning streak. The grey metal benefits from growing speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates again in December.
New
update2025.11.12 19:35

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel