Fed's Hammack: It will take two to three years to get inflation back to 2%

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack spoke at the Economic Club of New York on Thursday. She said that the federal policy should remain modestly restrictive to lower inflation, and that it will take two to three years to return inflation to 2%.

Key takeaways

Not obvious US central bank should cut interest rates again given inflation.

Federal policy should stay modestly restrictive to lower inflation.

Monetary policy is only barely restrictive, if at all.

Seeing pressure on both sides of its employment, inflation mandates.

Expects elevated inflation through 2026.

Inflation to overshoot 2% target by 1 percentage point this year.

It will take two to three years to get inflation back to 2%.

May be on track for a decade of exceeding inflation target.

Does not put high odds on a labor market downturn.

Job market may be more fragile than data indicates.

Expects unemployment to move back down after ticking up this year.

Economy to pick up pace next year.

Financial conditions are quite accommodative."