Select Language

WTI gains traction amid surprise US inventory draw and weaker Greenback

Breaking news

WTI gains traction amid surprise US inventory draw and weaker Greenback

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.10.23 03:20
WTI gains traction amid surprise US inventory draw and weaker Greenback

update 2025.10.23 03:20

  • WTI extends rebound for the second day, recovering from Monday's multi-month low near $57.00.
  • US crude inventories fell by 0.96 million barrels, EIA data show, with gasoline and distillate stocks also down.
  • Technical outlook remains bearish below $60-$62 zone, though RSI and MACD hint at early stabilization.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil edges higher on Wednesday, extending gains for the second consecutive session as traders react to a surprise draw in US inventories. The recovery comes after WTI slipped to its lowest level since May 5 on Monday, when prices briefly dipped below the $57.00 mark amid concerns over potential supply glut and sluggish global demand.

At the time of writing, WTI trades around $58.43 per barrel, up nearly 1.50% on the day, as a softer US Dollar (USD) lends additional support to prices.

The latest data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed that commercial crude inventories fell by 0.96 million barrels in the week ending October 17, bringing total stocks down to 422.8 million barrels. Gasoline and distillate inventories also dropped by 2.1 million and 1.5 million barrels, respectively.

The draw across major fuel categories offered short-term support for Oil prices, offsetting persistent worries about oversupply. Recent projections from the International Energy Agency (IEA) highlight that global Crude supply continues to outpace demand, raising the risk of an inventory build-up through early 2026.

From a technical standpoint, the broader structure, however, still reflects a bearish bias as prices remain below the cluster of short-term moving averages, with the 21-day SMA at $60.46, the 50-day at $62.03, and the 100-day at $64.22. The area around $60.00-$62.00, therefore, represents a heavy resistance zone.

A decisive daily close above this region could mark a shift in momentum, opening the door toward $64.00-$65.00 and potentially neutralizing the recent downtrend.

Momentum indicators are showing early signs of stabilization. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has rebounded from near-oversold levels and currently stands around 41, suggesting that bearish momentum is fading but recovery momentum remains fragile.

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has narrowed, and the signal lines are flattening, hinting at the possibility of a bullish crossover in the coming sessions if buying pressure persists. On the downside, immediate support is seen at $57.00, followed by the May swing low near $55.00.

WTI Oil FAQs

WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as "light" and "sweet" because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered "The Pipeline Crossroads of the World". It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media.

Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa.

The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API's report is published every Tuesday and EIA's the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency.

OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.


Date

Created

 : 2025.10.23

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.10.23

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/USD hits two-week high above 1.1650 as US Dollar slips despite easing Fed cut bets

EUR/USD advances past the 1.1600 figure on Thursday, hitting a two-week high of 1.1656, yet is unable to decisively crack the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) key resistance at 1.1661.
New
update2025.11.14 05:24

Fed's Musalem: Need to proceed with caution now

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of St.
New
update2025.11.14 04:05

USD/JPY slips as Greenback weakens, Fed rate cut bets hinge on delayed US data

The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, with USD/JPY snapping a four-day winning streak as the Greenback extends its recent slide. At the time of writing, the pair is trading near 154.35, hovering just below the nine-month high of 155.05 reached on Wednesday.
New
update2025.11.14 03:44

FX Today: GDP figures in Euroland take centre stage; investors gear up for US data

The US Dollar (USD) resumed its downtrend on Thursday, reaching fresh monthly lows as market participants assessed the deal that ended the longest US government shutdown in history. Meanwhile, bets on a Fed rate cut in December remained pretty divided.
New
update2025.11.14 03:36

Fed's Hammack: Politics plays no role in setting monetary policy

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack, in a fireside chat at the Economic Club of Pittsburgh on Thursday, she said that the United States (US) economy has been remarkably resilient and that some of inflation may be tariff-driven, but service inflation is a real concern.
New
update2025.11.14 03:21

USD/CHF drops as US Dollar weakens on improved risk appetite

USD/CHF trades sharply lower on Thursday, hovering around 0.7910, down 0.80% for the day at the time of writing. The pair extends its seven-day losing streak, reaching a three-week low.
New
update2025.11.14 03:10

Gold retreats as Fed cut bets fade and safe-haven demand weakens

Gold (XAU/USD) rose on Thursday to a nearly three-week high of $4,245 as the US government reopening pushed the Greenback lower. Speculation that September's jobs data could be the catalyst for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut rates pushed the yellow metal higher.
New
update2025.11.14 02:57

WTI recovers slightly amid oversupply fears and EIA inventory surge

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil trades around $58.80 on Thursday at the time of writing, up 0.70% on the day. Crude Oil is attempting to stabilize after two highly volatile days, including a drop of more than 4% on Wednesday, driven by persistent fears of a global supply glut.
New
update2025.11.14 02:21

Dow Jones Industrial Average falls below 48,000 as tech stocks slide and shutdown ends

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) took a sharp step back on Thursday, declining around 500 points at its lowest and falling away from record highs posted during the midweek market session.
New
update2025.11.14 02:19

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Stalls below 50-day SMA as buyers struggle to extend gains

The Australian Dollar (AUD) eases slightly against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, reversing most of the early advance after briefly climbing to a two-week high on the back of stronger-than-expected employment data.
New
update2025.11.14 01:20

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel