Select Language

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD support at $4,000 remains dangerously close

Breaking news

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD support at $4,000 remains dangerously close

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.10.22 19:06
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD support at $4,000 remains dangerously close

update 2025.10.22 19:06

  • Gold recovery found sellers at $4,160 before retreating to the $4,120 area.
  • Easing trade war fears and a firm US Dollar have crushed precious metals in the last few days.
  • XAU/USD is on a downward correction with bears focusing on the $4,000 support area.

Gold bounced up after reaching the target of a Double Top pattern, at $4,005 on Tuesday, but upside attempts have been halted way below previous support, at $4,185, which leaves the immediate bearish trend intact and the $4,000 support area at a short distance.

The announcement that US President Trump will meet its Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in South Korea next week and the more conciliatory tone of Trump's latest comments towards the Asian country have boosted hopes of a trade deal, which has improved market sentiment, sending precious metals tumbling.

Technical Analysis: Gold's bearish correction has finally arrived

XAU/USD Chart

What goes up has to eventually come down, and Gold is no exception. The precious metal had rallied nearly 35% in the last two months and is now performing a well-awaited correction. The double top at $4,380 and Tuesday's bearish engulfing candle in the daily chart confirm that view.

The rejection at the $4,160 on Wednesday's early European session highlights the bearish momentum. The 4-hour RSI is low but not yet at oversold levels, and the USDollar Index is picking up, which adds pressure on the yellow metal and suggests that a retest of the  $4,000 support is on the cards.

Further down, the $3945 area, where the pair found support on October 7, 9, and 10, emerges as the next target ahead of the October 2 low, at $3,845. To the upside, the intraday high at the $4,160 area and the October 17 low at $4,185 are closing the path towards the all-time high at $4,380.

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human's history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn't rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country's solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.



Date

Created

 : 2025.10.22

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.10.22

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/CHF rebounds from 11-month low amid ECB, SNB policy signals

The Euro (EUR) steadies against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Wednesday, recovering after briefly hitting an 11-month low near 0.9205 on Tuesday. At the time of writing, EUR/CHF trades around 0.9240, as the Euro stages a mild technical rebound from oversold conditions.
New
update2025.10.22 22:32

EUR/USD extends loses with ECB's Lagarde, Fed speakers on focus

EUR/USD has retraced previous gains on Wednesday, to extend its decline to one-week lows below 1.1600, trading at 1.1586 at the time of writing.
New
update2025.10.22 20:59

Gold declines as profit taking and firmer US Dollar drive losses

Gold (XAU/USD) extends its decline on Wednesday, losing further ground after Tuesday's sharp correction from record highs, as improving risk sentiment kept buyers on the sidelines.
New
update2025.10.22 20:47

WTI extends gains above $58.00 on hopes of a US-China deal

Crude prices are trading higher for the second consecutive day on Wednesday.
New
update2025.10.22 20:45

Farage ramps up criticism of BoE - Rabobank

In recent weeks, Nigel Farage has sharpened criticism of the Bank of England. His challenge to central bank independence isn't just opposition rhetoric but signals potential future policy, Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Stefan Koopman reports.
New
update2025.10.22 20:38

ECB sets to leave Deposit Rate unchanged at 2% on October 30 - Reuters poll

According to a Reuters' poll, the European Central Bank (ECB) is widely anticipated to hold its Deposit Facility Rate steady at 2% in its monetray policy announcement on October 30.
New
update2025.10.22 20:22

USD/JPY struggles to extend winning streak, focus shifts to US CPI

The USD/JPY pair struggles to extend its winning streak for the fourth trading day on Wednesday. The pair faces barriers near a fresh weekly high of 152.17 posted on Tuesday.
New
update2025.10.22 20:09

EUR/GBP Price Forecasts: Returns above 0.8700 as the Pound dives

The Euro jumped to intra-week highs above 0.8700 earlier on Wednesday, buoyed by the Pound's weakness following softer-than-expected UK inflation data.
New
update2025.10.22 20:05

USD leads G10 monthly performance - Rabobank

The US Dollar (USD) is currently the best performing G10 currency both on a one-month view and in the month to date, Rabobank's FX analyst Jane Foley reports.
New
update2025.10.22 19:52

USD/CNH: Likely to trade between 7.1180 and 7.1310 - UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade between 7.1180 and 7.1310. In the longer run, USD could drop to 7.1130; a clear break below this level will shift the focus to 7.1000, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.10.22 19:42

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel