Select Language

EUR/JPY treads water above 176.00 ahead of speeches from ECB officials

Breaking news

EUR/JPY treads water above 176.00 ahead of speeches from ECB officials

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.10.22 13:47
EUR/JPY treads water above 176.00 ahead of speeches from ECB officials

update 2025.10.22 13:47

  • EUR/JPY remains steady due to market caution ahead of ECB officials' speeches.
  • The ECB is set to enter its pre-meeting blackout period on Thursday ahead of next week's policy decision.
  • Japanese Yen gains as domestic trade deficit narrowed in September.

EUR/JPY moves little after registering gains in the previous session, trading around 176.20 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair steadies as traders adopt caution ahead of a series of speeches from European Central Bank (ECB) officials this week for clues on the policy outlook.

The ECB will enter its pre-meeting blackout period on Thursday ahead of next week's policy decision. Traders have increased bets on monetary easing, fully pricing in a 25-basis-point rate cut by July 2026.

The EUR/JPY cross may face challenges as the Japanese Yen (JPY) advances following the release of Japan's Merchandise Trade Balance Total data. Japan's Ministry of Finance reported a trade deficit of JPY 234.6 billion in September, narrowing slightly from August's deficit of JPY 242.8 billion (revised from -242.5) but falling short of market expectations for a JPY 22.0 billion surplus.

Japan's Exports rose 4.2% year-on-year, the first increase since April, though slightly below the projected 4.6% gain. Meanwhile, Imports jumped 3.3% to an eight-month high, marking their first rise in three months and exceeding forecasts for a modest 0.6% increase.

Traders remain cautious after dovish Sanae Takaichi was elected as Japan's first female Prime Minister on Tuesday. Takaichi vowed to strengthen the nation's economy and defense capabilities, as well as enhance relations with the US. Her victory came after the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) allied with the Japan Innovation Party and reportedly signed an agreement over the weekend to form a coalition government.

Interest rates FAQs

Interest rates are charged by financial institutions on loans to borrowers and are paid as interest to savers and depositors. They are influenced by base lending rates, which are set by central banks in response to changes in the economy. Central banks normally have a mandate to ensure price stability, which in most cases means targeting a core inflation rate of around 2%. If inflation falls below target the central bank may cut base lending rates, with a view to stimulating lending and boosting the economy. If inflation rises substantially above 2% it normally results in the central bank raising base lending rates in an attempt to lower inflation.

Higher interest rates generally help strengthen a country's currency as they make it a more attractive place for global investors to park their money.

Higher interest rates overall weigh on the price of Gold because they increase the opportunity cost of holding Gold instead of investing in an interest-bearing asset or placing cash in the bank. If interest rates are high that usually pushes up the price of the US Dollar (USD), and since Gold is priced in Dollars, this has the effect of lowering the price of Gold.

The Fed funds rate is the overnight rate at which US banks lend to each other. It is the oft-quoted headline rate set by the Federal Reserve at its FOMC meetings. It is set as a range, for example 4.75%-5.00%, though the upper limit (in that case 5.00%) is the quoted figure. Market expectations for future Fed funds rate are tracked by the CME FedWatch tool, which shapes how many financial markets behave in anticipation of future Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions.


Date

Created

 : 2025.10.22

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.10.22

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/CHF steadies after sharp losses, Swiss deflation keeps Franc supported

The Euro is little changed against the Swiss Franc on Thursday, steadying after erasing earlier losses as the pair stages a modest rebound from three-week lows.
New
update2025.11.13 22:41

Fed's Daly: Inflation on its way down but still stubborn

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly spoke about central banking, policy implementation, and balance sheets at the Institute of International & European Affairs in Dublin on Thursday.
New
update2025.11.13 22:41

 USD/JPY hovers near 155.00 amid growing intervention rumours 

The US Dollar remains trading within its previous ranges on Thursday, consolidating gains near 20-month highs at the 155.00 area against a weaker Japanese Yen.
New
update2025.11.13 21:50

Gold climbs toward $4,250 as shutdown ends, Fed signals temper easing bets

Gold (XAU/USD) extends its advance on Thursday, climbing above the $4,200 psychological barrier and notching a five-day winning streak. The precious metal has now retraced most of its corrective decline from the all-time high near $4,381.
New
update2025.11.13 21:24

NZD/USD stabilises as New Zealand labour market concerns grow, Fed rate cuts eyed

NZD/USD trades around 0.5660 on Thursday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day, after failing to extend its three-day winning streak. The pair edges lower, weighed down by the softness of the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) amid rising concerns about the country's labour market.
New
update2025.11.13 21:19

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD rallies above $4,200 on US Dollar weakness 

Gold (XAU/USD) extends gains for the fifth consecutive day on Thursday as the US Dollar dives on risk appetite, following the end of the US government's closure.
New
update2025.11.13 21:00

AUD/USD jumps to near 0.6580 on strong Aussie labor market data

The AUD/USD pair climbs to near 0.6580 during the European trading session on Thursday, the highest level seen in almost two weeks. The Aussie pair strengthens as the Australian Dollar (AUD) outperforms its peers, following the release of the strong Australian employment numbers for October.
New
update2025.11.13 20:31

USD/JPY: Likely to rise further and potentially test 155.20 - UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) could rise further and potentially test 155.20; any further advance is unlikely to reach 155.55. In the longer run, the price action suggests USD is likely to trade with an upside bias; any gains may be capped near 155.55, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.11.13 20:25

GBP/JPY remains steady above 203.00 despite UK GDP disappointment

The Pound remains moderately bid against the Japanese Yen on Thursday, and holds previous days' gains at levels near two-week highs at the 203.50 area, unfazed by a raft of weaker-than-expected UK economic figures released earlier on the day.
New
update2025.11.13 20:15

NZD/USD: Likely to trade in a range between 0.5605 and 0.5695 - UOB Group

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a range between 0.5640 and 0.5670. In the longer run, weakness in NZD has stabilized; for the time being, it is likely to trade in a range between 0.5605 and 0.5695, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.11.13 19:51

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel