Select Language

USD/JPY softens below 150.50 on Fed rate cut bets, ongoing US government shutdown 

Breaking news

USD/JPY softens below 150.50 on Fed rate cut bets, ongoing US government shutdown 

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.10.17 08:04
USD/JPY softens below 150.50 on Fed rate cut bets, ongoing US government shutdown 

update 2025.10.17 08:04

  • USD/JPY extends the decline to around 150.30 in Friday's early Asian session. 
  • Fed's Powell signaled a dovish tone as US jobs remain sluggish.
  • Political jitters fuel BoJ rate hike uncertainty. 

The USD/JPY pair loses ground to near 150.30 during the early Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) weakens against the Japanese Yen (JPY) as traders assess the prospects for US rate cuts and the impact on the economy of a protracted US shutdown. The speech by the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Shinichi Uchida will be the highlight later on Friday. 

Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that labor market and inflation outlooks were little changed from last month, when the US central bank reduced its interest rate. Meanwhile, new Fed Governor Stephen Miran stated that the uncertainty surrounding US-China trade tensions had added risks to the US economic outlook, making the case for rate cuts more urgent. 

Fed Governor Christopher Waller noted that he is on board with another interest rate reduction at the Fed's policy meeting later this month, citing the mixed readings on the state of the job market. Dovish remarks from Fed officials drag the Greenback lower against the JPY. 

The US government shutdown has entered its 16th day. US Treasury official stated that the extended closure is costing around $15 billion per week to the US economy. A prolonged US federal shutdown might contribute to the USD's downside in the near term. 

On the other hand, speculations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could delay raising interest rates further amid domestic political uncertainty might undermine the JPY and create a tailwind for the pair. BoJ's assistant governor Seiichi Shimizu said on Thursday that the Japanese central bank must be careful when normalizing monetary policy due to uncertainty about how the economy would react to a new environment of positive interest rates. 

Japanese Yen FAQs

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world's most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan's policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors.

One of the Bank of Japan's mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen.

Over the last decade, the BoJ's stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential.

The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen's value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.


Date

Created

 : 2025.10.17

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.10.17

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

FX Today: UK jobs report and the weekly ADP figures take centre stage

The US Dollar (USD) traded without clear direction on Monday, as hopes grew for a potential deal to end the 40-day federal government shutdown in the coming days.
New
update2025.11.11 04:03

Gold rises despite easing Fed cut bets, US Dollar recovery

Gold price rallies over 2% on Monday as investors increases bets on a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut at the December meeting. Meanwhile, news of a possible reopening of the US government pushed the Greenback higher, yet the yellow-metal buyers remain reluctant to give way to earlier gains.
New
update2025.11.11 03:24

AUD/USD climbs after hawkish RBA remarks, rising Q3 inflation

AUD/USD appreciates toward 0.6520 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.40% for the day.
New
update2025.11.11 03:14

Canadian Dollar looks higher as bullish recovery continues

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) hit a bit of a bump and run against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, clawing back further ground in a much-needed technical bounce-back from 30-week lows.
New
update2025.11.11 03:09

Dow Jones Industrial Average looks upward as government restart gears turn

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) steadies its grip on Monday, starting the new trading week holding near the 47,000 major handle.
New
update2025.11.11 02:46

USD/JPY climbs as Yen weakens on BoJ caution, US fiscal progress

USD/JPY holds around 154.00 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.40% on the day, close to its eight-month high of 154.49. The pair remains supported by the persistent weakness of the Japanese Yen (JPY), pressured by uncertainty over the Bank of Japan (BoJ)'s policy outlook.
New
update2025.11.11 01:55

Fed's Miran: Inflation is coming down

Federal Reserve (Fed) governor Stephen Miran spoke in an interview with CNBC on Monday, discussing inflation and monetary policy. He stated that inflation is decreasing and that maintaining the course on rate cuts is the correct decision.
New
update2025.11.11 01:50

USD/CHF holds steady as US Dollar stabilizes following Senate funding bill progress

USD/CHF holds near 0.8060 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.10% on the day, as the US Dollar (USD) stabilizes after the United States (US) Senate approved a measure to extend federal funding through January. This political progress helps ease fears of another potential government shutdown.
New
update2025.11.11 00:52

GBP/USD consolidates as US shutdown optimism and BoE data drive sentiment

GBP/USD consolidates during the North American session, remains steady at around 1.3150 amid growing speculation that the US government shutdown might end soon, a tailwind for the US Dollar, which trimmed some earlier losses.
New
update2025.11.11 00:32

Fed's Musalem: US economy pretty resilient

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem spoke in an interview with Bloomberg Television on Monday about the United States (US) economy. He stated that inflation is closer to 3% than to the 2% target and emphasized that "we have sufficient information to make policy decisions."
New
update2025.11.11 00:05

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel