Select Language

EUR/USD weakens to near 1.1700 on fears of French political crisis

Breaking news

EUR/USD weakens to near 1.1700 on fears of French political crisis

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.10.07 13:42
EUR/USD weakens to near 1.1700 on fears of French political crisis

update 2025.10.07 13:42

  • EUR/USD drifts lower to near 1.1705 in Tuesday's Asian session.
  • French PM resigned just hours after naming a new cabinet on Sunday, sparking fresh political chaos in France.
  • The Fed is expected to deliver rate cuts in October and December. 

The EUR/USD pair loses ground around 1.1705 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) softens against the US Dollar (USD) after France's new Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu and his government resigned on Monday, hours after announcing his cabinet line-up. The German August Factory Orders and French Trade Balance data are due later on Tuesday.  

Sebastien Lecornu has resigned just weeks after his appointment, making it the shortest-lived administration in modern French history. This raises fear of a fresh political crisis in France and exerts some selling pressure on the Euro. Fitch downgraded France's ratings last month, and Moody's is widely anticipated to follow suit before the end of October.

Across the pond, the ongoing US government shutdown could raise concerns over the impact on the US economy, which might drag the Greenback lower and act as a tailwind for the major pair. The shutdown is leaving a void of US economic data, with last Friday's closely watched Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for September delayed along with other key releases until the government reopens.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points (bps) at its October meeting amid signs of a weakening labor market. Financial markets are now pricing in nearly an 83% chance of an additional Fed rate cut in December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, though this will likely depend on data released before then.

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.10.07

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.10.07

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

USD/JPY remains subdued near 153.50 due to safe-haven demand

USD/JPY extends its losses for the second consecutive day, trading around 153.50 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair depreciates as the Japanese Yen (JPY) gains ground amid increased safe-haven demand, driven by a global selloff in risk assets.
New
update2025.11.05 14:03

US Dollar Index softens to near 100.00 amid prolonged US government shutdown

The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, trades on a negative note around 100.15 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday.
New
update2025.11.05 13:37

Finance Ministry: China will lift some tariffs on US agricultural goods from Nov. 10

The Chinese Finance Ministry announced on Wednesday, "China will lift some tariffs on US agricultural goods from November 10.
New
update2025.11.05 12:54

USD/INR holds above 88.50 amid thin trading due to the Indian bank holiday

USD/INR moves little after registering mild gains in the previous session, trading around 88.70 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair is likely to see limited movement amid thin trading as markets observe a bank holiday in India.
New
update2025.11.05 12:38

USD/CAD reaches seven-month highs above 1.4100 amid lower crude Oil prices

USD/CAD continues its winning streak for the fifth consecutive day, trading around 1.4110 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair gains ground as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) faces challenges amid weakening Oil prices.
New
update2025.11.05 11:55

WTI extends the decline to near $60.00 on rising US inventories

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $60.00 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The WTI extends its downside amid a significant increase in US crude inventories.
New
update2025.11.05 11:41

China's Premier Li: Unilateral, protectionist measures had severe impact on economic world order

China's Premier Li Qiang said in a statement on Wednesday, "some unilateral and protectionist measures have had severe impact on the economic world order."
New
update2025.11.05 11:23

Gold drifts higher amid growing concerns over US government shutdown

Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher to near $3,950 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Fears of economic risks stemming from the ongoing US government shutdown, along with geopolitical risks and uncertainties, could boost the safe-haven flows, supporting the Gold price.
New
update2025.11.05 11:11

PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.0901 vs. 7.0885 previous

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead on Wednesday at 7.0901 compared to the previous day's fix of 7.0885 and 7.1336 Reuters estimate.
New
update2025.11.05 11:09

AUD/USD remains subdued near 0.6450 following China's RatingDog PMI data

AUD/USD continues its losing streak for the sixth consecutive session, trading around 0.6470 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair remains subdued following the release of China's RatingDog Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which fell to 52.6 in October from 52.9 in September.
New
update2025.11.05 11:07

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel