Select Language

USD/INR holds above 88.50 amid thin trading due to the Indian bank holiday

Breaking news

USD/INR holds above 88.50 amid thin trading due to the Indian bank holiday

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.11.05 12:39
USD/INR holds above 88.50 amid thin trading due to the Indian bank holiday

update 2025.11.05 12:39

  • USD/INR maintains its position as markets observe a bank holiday in India.
  • The US Dollar could face challenges amid the ongoing US government shutdown.
  • The Indian Rupee weakened amid persistent foreign fund outflows from the Indian equity market.

USD/INR moves little after registering mild gains in the previous session, trading around 88.70 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair is likely to see limited movement amid thin trading as markets observe a bank holiday in India.

The USD/INR pair inched lower as the US Dollar (USD) held slight losses amid ongoing economic concerns, driven by the US government shutdown. The impasse has now entered its sixth week and is poised to become the longest federal funding lapse in US history after the Senate once again failed to pass a short-term funding bill. The most recent attempt to resolve the standoff, Republican-backed temporary legislation, was rejected by the Senate for the 14th time on Tuesday.

However, the USD/INR pair may gain ground as the Greenback may further advance due to the cautious sentiment surrounding the US Federal Reserve (Fed) policy stance for December. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated during last week's post-meeting press conference that another rate cut in December remains uncertain. Powell also cautioned that policymakers might need to adopt a wait-and-see stance until the release of new official data resumes.

The Indian Rupee (INR) also came under pressure amid continued foreign fund outflows from the Indian equity market. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been net sellers for the past four months, though the pace of selling moderated in October. Traders expect the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to intervene in the currency market to support the Indian Rupee in the upcoming sessions.

Indian Rupee FAQs

The Indian Rupee (INR) is one of the most sensitive currencies to external factors. The price of Crude Oil (the country is highly dependent on imported Oil), the value of the US Dollar - most trade is conducted in USD - and the level of foreign investment, are all influential. Direct intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in FX markets to keep the exchange rate stable, as well as the level of interest rates set by the RBI, are further major influencing factors on the Rupee.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) actively intervenes in forex markets to maintain a stable exchange rate, to help facilitate trade. In addition, the RBI tries to maintain the inflation rate at its 4% target by adjusting interest rates. Higher interest rates usually strengthen the Rupee. This is due to the role of the 'carry trade' in which investors borrow in countries with lower interest rates so as to place their money in countries' offering relatively higher interest rates and profit from the difference.

Macroeconomic factors that influence the value of the Rupee include inflation, interest rates, the economic growth rate (GDP), the balance of trade, and inflows from foreign investment. A higher growth rate can lead to more overseas investment, pushing up demand for the Rupee. A less negative balance of trade will eventually lead to a stronger Rupee. Higher interest rates, especially real rates (interest rates less inflation) are also positive for the Rupee. A risk-on environment can lead to greater inflows of Foreign Direct and Indirect Investment (FDI and FII), which also benefit the Rupee.

Higher inflation, particularly, if it is comparatively higher than India's peers, is generally negative for the currency as it reflects devaluation through oversupply. Inflation also increases the cost of exports, leading to more Rupees being sold to purchase foreign imports, which is Rupee-negative. At the same time, higher inflation usually leads to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raising interest rates and this can be positive for the Rupee, due to increased demand from international investors. The opposite effect is true of lower inflation.


Date

Created

 : 2025.11.05

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.11.05

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD moves above $47.50 as safe-haven demand increases

Silver price (XAG/USD) halts its three-day losing streak, trading around $47.60 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The price of Silver metal gains ground amid increased safe-haven demand, driven by a global selloff in risk assets.
New
update2025.11.05 14:51

GBP/USD posts modest gains above 1.3000, traders await US private payroll data 

The GBP/USD pair posts modest gains near 1.3025 during the early European session on Wednesday, bolstered by a softer US Dollar (USD). However, the potential upside for the major pair might be limited, as UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves hinted at broad tax rises in her budget later this month.
New
update2025.11.05 14:31

USD/JPY remains subdued near 153.50 due to safe-haven demand

USD/JPY extends its losses for the second consecutive day, trading around 153.50 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair depreciates as the Japanese Yen (JPY) gains ground amid increased safe-haven demand, driven by a global selloff in risk assets.
New
update2025.11.05 14:03

US Dollar Index softens to near 100.00 amid prolonged US government shutdown

The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, trades on a negative note around 100.15 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday.
New
update2025.11.05 13:37

Finance Ministry: China will lift some tariffs on US agricultural goods from Nov. 10

The Chinese Finance Ministry announced on Wednesday, "China will lift some tariffs on US agricultural goods from November 10.
New
update2025.11.05 12:54

USD/INR holds above 88.50 amid thin trading due to the Indian bank holiday

USD/INR moves little after registering mild gains in the previous session, trading around 88.70 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair is likely to see limited movement amid thin trading as markets observe a bank holiday in India.
New
update2025.11.05 12:38

USD/CAD reaches seven-month highs above 1.4100 amid lower crude Oil prices

USD/CAD continues its winning streak for the fifth consecutive day, trading around 1.4110 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair gains ground as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) faces challenges amid weakening Oil prices.
New
update2025.11.05 11:55

WTI extends the decline to near $60.00 on rising US inventories

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $60.00 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The WTI extends its downside amid a significant increase in US crude inventories.
New
update2025.11.05 11:41

China's Premier Li: Unilateral, protectionist measures had severe impact on economic world order

China's Premier Li Qiang said in a statement on Wednesday, "some unilateral and protectionist measures have had severe impact on the economic world order."
New
update2025.11.05 11:23

Gold drifts higher amid growing concerns over US government shutdown

Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher to near $3,950 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Fears of economic risks stemming from the ongoing US government shutdown, along with geopolitical risks and uncertainties, could boost the safe-haven flows, supporting the Gold price.
New
update2025.11.05 11:11

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel