Select Language

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD edges higher to near $3,750 on further Fed rate cut bets

Breaking news

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD edges higher to near $3,750 on further Fed rate cut bets

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.09.23 09:10
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD edges higher to near $3,750 on further Fed rate cut bets

update 2025.09.23 09:10

  • Gold price drifts higher to around $3,750 in Tuesday's early Asian session.
  • Expectations of more US interest rate cuts and persistent political uncertainty continue to boost demand for Gold. 
  • Traders await the Fed's Powell speech later on Tuesday for fresh impetus. 

The Gold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to near an all-time high of around $3,750 during the early Asian session on Tuesday.  Growing expectations of further US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts and persistent safe-haven demand amid political uncertainty underpin the precious metal. 

The US Fed decided to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points (bps) last week, the first rate cut of 2025. This decision was supported by signs of a softening labor market and concerns about employment risks, despite inflation remaining somewhat elevated. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal. 

Fed Governor Stephen Miran last week voted against the quarter-percentage-point reduction in favor of a steeper 50 bps rate cut, saying that the central bank should cut interest rates aggressively to reduce risks to the economy's outlook.

Rising geopolitical risks also boost the safe-haven flows, supporting the yellow metal. Reuters reported on Tuesday that Russia's defence ministry said that its forces had taken control of the settlement of Kalynivske, in Ukraine's Dnipropetrovsk region.

"There's a continued flow of safe haven demand amid geopolitical matters that are still kind of wobbly, including the Russia-Ukraine war. Last week's Fed interest rate cut and probably more Fed rate cuts coming by the end of the year are also supporting prices," said Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals.

Traders will closely monitor a series of Fed speeches later this week, including remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday. His comments might offer some hints about the US monetary policy path. Any hawkish remarks from Fed officials could lift the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on the USD-denominated commodity price in the near term. 

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human's history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn't rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country's solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.


Date

Created

 : 2025.09.23

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.09.23

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

USD/CHF nears 0.7950 amid broad-based US Dollar's strength

The US Dollar accelerated its recovery against the Swiss Franc on Wednesday, reaching session lows above 0.7940.
New
update2025.09.24 18:51

USD/JPY jumps to near 148.30 as Fed Powell's caution on rate cuts boosts US Dollar

The USD/JPY pair trades 0.45% higher to near 148.30 during the European trading session on Wednesday.
New
update2025.09.24 18:33

Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Wednesday, according to FXStreet data.
New
update2025.09.24 18:30

EUR/GBP eases to 0.8730 lows as German busines sentiment worsens

The Euro is trading lower across the board following an unexpected decline in the German IFO Business Climate Index on Wednesday.
New
update2025.09.24 18:01

EUR/JPY moves sideways around 174.50 following disappointing German IFO data

EUR/JPY maintains its position near the 14-month high of 174.65 during the European hours on Wednesday. The currency cross moves sideways after the release of the disappointing headline German IFO Business Climate Index, which unexpectedly fell to 87.7 in September from 89.0 in August.
New
update2025.09.24 17:54

AUD/USD jumps to near 0.6630 even as US Dollar trades firmly

The AUD/USD pair climbs to near 0.6630 during the European trading session on Wednesday. The Aussie pair strengthens, even as the US Dollar (USD) trades firmly, following comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday in which he reiterated caution on further interest rate cuts.
New
update2025.09.24 17:46

Pound Sterling weakens amid disappointing UK economic data

The Pound Sterling (GBP) declines to near 1.3485 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Wednesday.
New
update2025.09.24 17:14

WTI Price Forecast: Tests 50-day EMA barrier after breaking above $63.50

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price extends its gains for the second successive session, trading around $63.60 per barrel during the European hours on Wednesday.
New
update2025.09.24 17:11

Dow Jones Futures hesitate as markets turn cautious

Dow Jones Index futures are wavering near Tuesday's closing levels, around the 46,300 area, during the early European session on Wednesday.
New
update2025.09.24 17:06

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rebounds above $44.00 near 14-year highs

Silver price (XAG/USD) recovers its daily losses, trading around $44.10 per troy ounce during the European hours on Wednesday.
New
update2025.09.24 16:36

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel