Select Language

USD/JPY wobbles around 147.50 ahead of US producer inflation data

Breaking news

USD/JPY wobbles around 147.50 ahead of US producer inflation data

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.09.10 20:14
USD/JPY wobbles around 147.50 ahead of US producer inflation data

update 2025.09.10 20:14

  • USD/JPY consolidates around 147.50 as investors await US PPI data for August.
  • The Fed is certain to cut interest rates in the policy meeting next week.
  • The Japanese economy faces a political crisis amid PM Ishiba's resignation as LDP leader.

The USD/JPY pair trades in a tight range around 147.50 during the European trading session on Wednesday. The pair consolidates as investors await the United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) data for August, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.

Investors will closely monitor the US PPI data to get cues about the size of interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in its policy meeting next week, with traders remaining confident that the central bank will lower key borrowing rates.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders see an 8.4% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) to 3.75%-4.00%, while the rest point a standard 25-bps interest rate reduction.

Economists expect the US headline PPI to have grown steadily at an annualized pace of 3.3%. Meanwhile, the core PPI - which excludes volatile food and energy items - is estimated to have risen moderately by 3.5%, against 3.7% in July.

Ahead of the US PPI data, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback's value against six major currencies, trades calmly near 97.80.

Meanwhile, the Japanese economy is facing a deep political crisis after the resignation of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba from his post as president of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). Ishiba stepped down after his opponents at LDP called on him to take responsibility for the party's losses and for his incompetence in the trade deal with Washington.

Going forward, investors will focus on the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) monetary policy announcement next week.

Inflation FAQs

Inflation measures the rise in the price of a representative basket of goods and services. Headline inflation is usually expressed as a percentage change on a month-on-month (MoM) and year-on-year (YoY) basis. Core inflation excludes more volatile elements such as food and fuel which can fluctuate because of geopolitical and seasonal factors. Core inflation is the figure economists focus on and is the level targeted by central banks, which are mandated to keep inflation at a manageable level, usually around 2%.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in prices of a basket of goods and services over a period of time. It is usually expressed as a percentage change on a month-on-month (MoM) and year-on-year (YoY) basis. Core CPI is the figure targeted by central banks as it excludes volatile food and fuel inputs. When Core CPI rises above 2% it usually results in higher interest rates and vice versa when it falls below 2%. Since higher interest rates are positive for a currency, higher inflation usually results in a stronger currency. The opposite is true when inflation falls.

Although it may seem counter-intuitive, high inflation in a country pushes up the value of its currency and vice versa for lower inflation. This is because the central bank will normally raise interest rates to combat the higher inflation, which attract more global capital inflows from investors looking for a lucrative place to park their money.

Formerly, Gold was the asset investors turned to in times of high inflation because it preserved its value, and whilst investors will often still buy Gold for its safe-haven properties in times of extreme market turmoil, this is not the case most of the time. This is because when inflation is high, central banks will put up interest rates to combat it. Higher interest rates are negative for Gold because they increase the opportunity-cost of holding Gold vis-a-vis an interest-bearing asset or placing the money in a cash deposit account. On the flipside, lower inflation tends to be positive for Gold as it brings interest rates down, making the bright metal a more viable investment alternative.


Date

Created

 : 2025.09.10

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.09.10

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Eurozone FX Today: The ECB's pause comes under scrutiny

The Euro (EUR) is holding steady against the US Dollar (USD), trading at 1.1710 on Wednesday. A wait-and-see attitude prevails ahead of the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy meeting, scheduled for Thursday at 12:15 GMT.
New
update2025.09.10 23:32

EUR/USD steadies above 1.1700 after US PPI miss, attention shifts to ECB

The Euro (EUR) is edging modestly higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, as the Greenback lost momentum after weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) figures added to market bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will deliver a rate cut next week.
New
update2025.09.10 22:38

Euro slides against Pound as ECB decision looms amid geopolitical tensions

The Euro (EUR) extends its decline against the British Pound (GBP) for a second consecutive day on Wednesday, with the EUR/GBP cross hovering near 0.8640 at the time of writing.
New
update2025.09.10 21:28

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Aims to extend upside towards 0.6000

The NZD/USD pair trades 0.22% higher around 0.5940 during the European trading session on Wednesday. The Kiwi pair gains as antipodeans outperforms its peers, following an upbeat market mood.
New
update2025.09.10 20:50

Gold rebounds above $3,650 ahead of US PPI inflation report

Gold (XAU/USD) edges up on Wednesday following a sharp reversal the previous day, with the metal soaring to an all-time high near $3,675 before retreating to settle at around $3,625.
New
update2025.09.10 20:45

JPY: Markets assess political developments and BoJ outlook - Scotiabank

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is trading flat against the US Dollar (USD) and consolidating in an incredibly tight range as market participants await Friday's industrial production data, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
New
update2025.09.10 20:40

USD/CAD ticks up above 1.3850 with all eyes on the US PPI report

The US Dollar is trading higher for the second consecutive day against the Canadian Dollar.
New
update2025.09.10 20:40

GBP flat ahead of data later this week - Scotiabank

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is entering Wednesday's NA session with a marginal gain vs. the USD as it consolidates in a tight range just above 1.3500, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
New
update2025.09.10 20:27

EUR steady ahead of Thursday's ECB - Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) is entering Wednesday's NA session flat against the US Dollar (USD) and also unchanged from Friday's close, having relinquished much of its gains observed earlier in the week, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
New
update2025.09.10 20:25

CAD fails to take advantage of softer USD tone - Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is trading marginally lower in overnight trade but is holding a tight range around the 1.3850 point, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
New
update2025.09.10 20:21

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel