Select Language

USD/CHF nears two-month lows at 0.7910 with US jobs in the spotlight

Breaking news

USD/CHF nears two-month lows at 0.7910 with US jobs in the spotlight

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.09.09 16:36
USD/CHF nears two-month lows at 0.7910 with US jobs in the spotlight

update 2025.09.09 16:36

  • The US Dollar drops against the Swiss Franc for the third consecutive day, approaching key support levels.
  • Concerns about a sharp downward revision of US jobs are hammering the US Dollar.
  • Further evidence of labour market deterioration might prompt the Fed to deliver a jumbo cut next week.

The US Dollar extends losses for the third consecutive day against the Swiss Franc on Tuesday. The market awaits the release of the benchmark revision of the US Nonfarm Payrolls data, which is expected to show a sharp deterioration of the US labour market.

The USD/CHF pair has depreciated about 0.2% so far today and reached intraday lows of 0.7920. A depressed Greenback is nearing the 23 July low, at 0.7910, the last hurdle before a key support level at 0.7872, the lowest levels since 2011.

The USD struggles ahead of the NFP's benchmark revision

The US Bureau of Labour Statistics will disclose the revision of US employment figures for the last 12 months to March, which is expected to show a net loss of up to 800,000 jobs in the period, according to market sources.

Such a revision would reveal that the labour market deteriorated beyond expectations in the period, adding pressure on the Federal Reserve to accelerate its monetary easing cycle. 

Last year's NFP benchmark revision showed an 818,000 net loss in employment, and the central bank cut interest rates by 50 basis points at their September 2024 meeting.

In the Swiss calendar, it highlights the SNB President Martin Schlegel's conference on Wednesday. The SNB chief is expected to reiterate last week's comments, playing down the possibility of cutting interest rates into negative levels, citing undesirable side effects for savers and pension funds.

Swiss Franc FAQs

The Swiss Franc (CHF) is Switzerland's official currency. It is among the top ten most traded currencies globally, reaching volumes that well exceed the size of the Swiss economy. Its value is determined by the broad market sentiment, the country's economic health or action taken by the Swiss National Bank (SNB), among other factors. Between 2011 and 2015, the Swiss Franc was pegged to the Euro (EUR). The peg was abruptly removed, resulting in a more than 20% increase in the Franc's value, causing a turmoil in markets. Even though the peg isn't in force anymore, CHF fortunes tend to be highly correlated with the Euro ones due to the high dependency of the Swiss economy on the neighboring Eurozone.

The Swiss Franc (CHF) is considered a safe-haven asset, or a currency that investors tend to buy in times of market stress. This is due to the perceived status of Switzerland in the world: a stable economy, a strong export sector, big central bank reserves or a longstanding political stance towards neutrality in global conflicts make the country's currency a good choice for investors fleeing from risks. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen CHF value against other currencies that are seen as more risky to invest in.

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) meets four times a year - once every quarter, less than other major central banks - to decide on monetary policy. The bank aims for an annual inflation rate of less than 2%. When inflation is above target or forecasted to be above target in the foreseeable future, the bank will attempt to tame price growth by raising its policy rate. Higher interest rates are generally positive for the Swiss Franc (CHF) as they lead to higher yields, making the country a more attractive place for investors. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken CHF.

Macroeconomic data releases in Switzerland are key to assessing the state of the economy and can impact the Swiss Franc's (CHF) valuation. The Swiss economy is broadly stable, but any sudden change in economic growth, inflation, current account or the central bank's currency reserves have the potential to trigger moves in CHF. Generally, high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence are good for CHF. Conversely, if economic data points to weakening momentum, CHF is likely to depreciate.

As a small and open economy, Switzerland is heavily dependent on the health of the neighboring Eurozone economies. The broader European Union is Switzerland's main economic partner and a key political ally, so macroeconomic and monetary policy stability in the Eurozone is essential for Switzerland and, thus, for the Swiss Franc (CHF). With such dependency, some models suggest that the correlation between the fortunes of the Euro (EUR) and the CHF is more than 90%, or close to perfect.


,


Date

Created

 : 2025.09.09

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.09.09

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

China FX Today: The Yuan in suspense as CPI data tests Beijing's strategy against deflation

The Chinese offshore currency (CNH) is trading in relative stability on Tuesday, with the USD/CNH exchange rate at 7.1134, down less than 0.1% on the session, as markets turn their focus towards China's inflation figures for August, which will be published early on Wednesday (01:30 GMT).
New
update2025.09.09 21:55

GBP/JPY retreats from 14-month high as BoJ hike bets rise

GBP/JPY is trading lower on Tuesday, extending its pullback from Monday's 14-month high near 200.35, as investors reassess the monetary policy outlook on both sides of the cross.
New
update2025.09.09 21:54

Gold consolidates near $3,650 ahead of US NFP benchmark revision

Gold (XAU/USD) extends its record-breaking rally on Tuesday to a fresh all-time high near $3,660, marking the third straight day of gains and pushing into uncharted territory. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,650, up nearly 0.50% on the day.
New
update2025.09.09 21:12

China imports large quantities of Copper ore in August - Commerzbank

The price of Copper fell below the $10,000 per ton mark again on Friday following the release of US labor market data, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes.
New
update2025.09.09 20:49

USD/JPY: Markets digest report of BoJ's undeterred hawkishness - Scotiabank

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is strong, up 0.7% against the US Dollar (USD) and outperforming all of the G10 currencies as we head into Tuesday's NA session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
New
update2025.09.09 20:44

China's Gas imports climb to 11-month high - Commerzbank

Gas imports also rose sharply in August, climbing 11.5% month-on-month to almost 12 million tons, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
New
update2025.09.09 20:42

GBP gains driven by sentiment - Scotiabank

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is up 0.3% against the US Dollar (USD) and outperforming most of the G10 currencies as we enter Tuesday's NA session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
New
update2025.09.09 20:40

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Consolidates around 1.3800 ahead of US NFP revision

The USD/CAD pair trades in a tight range inside Monday's range around 1.3800 during the European session on Tuesday. The Loonie pair consolidates as investors await the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) benchmark revision report, which will be published at 14:00 GMT.
New
update2025.09.09 20:40

China's coal imports rose in August - Commerzbank

As transport data had previously indicated, China imported significantly more coal in August than in previous months: according to data from the Chinese customs authority, 42.7 million tons of coal were imported, the highest level since December last year, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Barbara Lam
New
update2025.09.09 20:38

EUR quiet but threatening multi-year highs - Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) is quietly consolidating its recent gains and trading at fresh one month highs vs. the US Dollar (USD), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
New
update2025.09.09 20:36

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel