Select Language

NZD/USD extends upside to near 0.5950 amid hopes for Fed jumbo rate cut

Breaking news

NZD/USD extends upside to near 0.5950 amid hopes for Fed jumbo rate cut

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.09.09 09:54
NZD/USD extends upside to near 0.5950 amid hopes for Fed jumbo rate cut

update 2025.09.09 09:54

  • NZD/USD drifts higher to around 0.5950 in Tuesday's early Asian session. 
  • The chance of a jumbo rate cut rises after a dismal US August jobs report. 
  • RBNZ's dovish expectations might cap the upside for the pair. 

The NZD/USD pair extends the rally to near 0.5950 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) due to rising expectations of a jumbo rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Traders will keep an eye on the US August Producer Price Index (PPI) report, which is due later on Wednesday. 

The recent US Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) showed that the US economy added 22,000 jobs in August. This was significantly lower than the 75,000 jobs expected and followed a revised increase of 79,000 in July. The Unemployment Rate edged up to 4.3% in August from 4.2% in July, as projected. 

Traders ramp up their bets on an extra rate reduction by the Fed as the labor market continues to weaken. Fed funds futures are currently pricing in nearly a 90% possibility of a 25 basis points (bps) cut this month and a 10% odds of a 50 bps rate cut, according to LSEG estimates.

The upcoming US inflation report later this week will be closely watched. The headline PPI is expected to show an increase of 3.3% YoY in August, while the core PPI is projected to show a rise of 3.5% during the same period. This figure will be crucial in shaping the Fed's future policy decisions. If the report shows hotter-than-expected inflation, this could boost the Greenback and create a headwind for the pair. 

A dovish tone from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) might weigh on the Kiwi. The RBNZ cut the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 3.0% at its August meeting, driven by a stalled economic recovery. The New Zealand central bank stated that there is scope to lower the OCR further if medium-term inflation pressures continue to ease as expected. 

New Zealand Dollar FAQs

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), also known as the Kiwi, is a well-known traded currency among investors. Its value is broadly determined by the health of the New Zealand economy and the country's central bank policy. Still, there are some unique particularities that also can make NZD move. The performance of the Chinese economy tends to move the Kiwi because China is New Zealand's biggest trading partner. Bad news for the Chinese economy likely means less New Zealand exports to the country, hitting the economy and thus its currency. Another factor moving NZD is dairy prices as the dairy industry is New Zealand's main export. High dairy prices boost export income, contributing positively to the economy and thus to the NZD.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aims to achieve and maintain an inflation rate between 1% and 3% over the medium term, with a focus to keep it near the 2% mid-point. To this end, the bank sets an appropriate level of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the RBNZ will increase interest rates to cool the economy, but the move will also make bond yields higher, increasing investors' appeal to invest in the country and thus boosting NZD. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken NZD. The so-called rate differential, or how rates in New Zealand are or are expected to be compared to the ones set by the US Federal Reserve, can also play a key role in moving the NZD/USD pair.

Macroeconomic data releases in New Zealand are key to assess the state of the economy and can impact the New Zealand Dollar's (NZD) valuation. A strong economy, based on high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence is good for NZD. High economic growth attracts foreign investment and may encourage the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to increase interest rates, if this economic strength comes together with elevated inflation. Conversely, if economic data is weak, NZD is likely to depreciate.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) tends to strengthen during risk-on periods, or when investors perceive that broader market risks are low and are optimistic about growth. This tends to lead to a more favorable outlook for commodities and so-called 'commodity currencies' such as the Kiwi. Conversely, NZD tends to weaken at times of market turbulence or economic uncertainty as investors tend to sell higher-risk assets and flee to the more-stable safe havens.


Date

Created

 : 2025.09.09

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.09.09

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/USD appreciates against a weaker Dollar with US NFP revisions on tap

The EUR/USD posts marginal gains at 1.1760 following a two-day rally on Tuesday. The US Dollar remains on the defensive with investors anticipating a sharp downward revision of US employment figures, although the political crisis in France keeps weighing on Euro (EUR) bulls.
New
update2025.09.09 16:44

USD/CHF nears two-month lows at 0.7910 with US jobs in the spotlight

The US Dollar extends losses for the third consecutive day against the Swiss Franc on Tuesday.
New
update2025.09.09 16:35

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD tests $41.50 barrier near 14-year highs

Silver price (XAG/USD) remains steady after two days of gains, trading around $41.40 per troy ounce during the early European hours on Tuesday.
New
update2025.09.09 16:06

Forex Today: US Dollar extends slide ahead of NFP revisions

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, September 9:
New
update2025.09.09 16:01

WTI attracts some buyers above $62.00 on weaker US Dollar, modest OPEC+ output hike decision

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $62.15 during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday.
New
update2025.09.09 15:56

Crude Oil price today: WTI price bullish at European opening

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price advances on Tuesday, early in the European session. WTI trades at $62.36 per barrel, up from Monday's close at $62.18.Brent Oil Exchange Rate (Brent crude) is also up, advancing from the $66.06 price posted on Monday, and trading at $66.26.
New
update2025.09.09 15:02

FX option expiries for Sept 9 NY cut

FX option expiries for Sept 9 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time via DTCC can be found below.
New
update2025.09.09 14:59

GBP/JPY retreats further from YTD peak, slides to mid-199.00s amid notable JPY demand

The GBP/JPY cross attracts some follow-through sellers during the Asian session on Tuesday and moves further away from its highest level since July 2024, around the 200.35 region touched the previous day.
New
update2025.09.09 14:51

AUD/JPY Price Forecast:  Keep bullish vibe above 97.00

The AUD/JPY cross loses ground to near 97.15 during the early European session on Tuesday. The Japanese Yen strengthens against the Australian Dollar (AUD) after US President Donald Trump signed an executive order last week to lower the Japanese auto import tariff.
New
update2025.09.09 14:41

EUR/JPY corrects to near 173.20, while both currencies face political crisis

The EUR/JPY pair trades 0.17% lower to near 173.20 during the late Asian trading session on Tuesday.
New
update2025.09.09 14:37

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel