Created
: 2025.09.03
2025.09.03 13:09
Gold (XAU/USD) prolongs its uptrend witnessed over the past two weeks or so and advances to a fresh all-time peak, around the $3,546-3,547 region during the Asian session on Wednesday. The growing acceptance that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this month continues to act as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal. Apart from this, persistent trade-related uncertainties turn out to be another factor that benefits the precious metal's safe-haven status and contributes to the strong move up.
Meanwhile, the anxiety about government finances continues to undermine the British Pound (GBP) and the Japanese Yen (JPY), which, in turn, assists the US Dollar (USD) to trade with a positive bias for the second straight day. This, in turn, keeps a lid on any further gains for the Gold price amid extremely overbought conditions on short-term charts. Traders also seem reluctant ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, which could offer more cues about the Fed's rate-cut path and drive the XAU/USD pair.
From a technical perspective, the overnight momentum beyond the $3,500 psychological mark validated last week's breakout through a three-month-old trading range and backs the case for additional gains. That said, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is flashing overbought conditions and makes it prudent to wait for some consolidation or a modest pullback before the next leg up.
In the meantime, any corrective slide might now find decent support near the $3,500 mark. A further decline is more likely to attract fresh buyers and remain limited near the $3,440 strong horizontal resistance breakpoint. The latter should act as a near-term base for the Gold price, which, if broken, might prompt some technical selling and pave the way for a fall towards the $3,400 round figure.
On the flip side, the Asian session high, around the $3,546-3,547 region, could act as an immediate hurdle. Nevertheless, the Gold price could extend the upward move in uncharted territory and aim towards conquering the $3,600 mark, which is the trading range breakout target.
Gold has played a key role in human's history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn't rely on any specific issuer or government.
Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country's solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.
Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.
The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.
Created
: 2025.09.03
Last updated
: 2025.09.03
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