Select Language

Gold price drifts lower amid a broadly stronger USD; remains close to weekly through

Breaking news

Gold price drifts lower amid a broadly stronger USD; remains close to weekly through

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
update 2025.07.25 13:00
Gold price drifts lower amid a broadly stronger USD; remains close to weekly through

update 2025.07.25 13:00

  • Gold price attracts sellers for the third straight day amid some follow-through USD strength.
  • Trade optimism and the upbeat market mood further undermine the precious metal.
  • The Fed uncertainty could cap the USD and help limit losses for the non-yielding commodity.

Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the vicinity of mid-$3,300s and trades with a mild negative bias during the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) attracts some follow-through buyers and moves further away from a multi-week low touched on Thursday, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor weighing on the commodity. Adding to this, the latest trade optimism fueled by the US-Japan deal undermines demand for the safe-haven precious metal and contributes to the weaker tone for the third straight day.

However, the uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate-cut path and fears about the central bank's independence, amid mounting political pressure to lower borrowing costs, might hold back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets. Moreover, a dangerous escalation of border disputes between Thailand and Cambodia could offer some support to the Gold price. Traders now look forward to the release of US Durable Goods Orders, which might influence the USD and provide some impetus to the XAU/USD pair heading into the weekend.

Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price is pressured by a stronger USD and receding safe-haven demand

  • Data released on Thursday pointed to a still resilient US labor market and reinforced the view that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates at the upcoming monetary policy meeting next week. The US Department of Labour reported that the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance fell for the sixth straight week, to 217K during the week ended July 19. This marked the lowest reading since mid-April.
  • Furthermore, the S&P Global's US Composite PMI climbed to 54.6 in July from 52.9 in the previous month, marking the 30th straight month of expansion. The growth was concentrated in the services sector, which offsets weakness in the manufacturing sector. The Services PMI rose from 52.9 to 55.2, marking the strongest expansion since the start of the year, while the gauge for the manufacturing sector contracted for the first time since December 24.
  • Further details of the report revealed that employment strength across both the manufacturing and services sectors continues to support near-term stability. Adding to this, intensifying price pressures suggest that inflation could accelerate in the second half of the year, mainly because of tariffs on imports. This might further force the Fed to maintain the status quo on rates despite US President Donald Trump's repeated calls to lower borrowing costs.
  • Trump dialed up the pressure on Fed Chair Jerome Powell during a rare presidential visit to the central bank's headquarters. Moreover, Fed Governor Chris Waller and Trump appointee Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman have advocated a rate reduction as soon as the next policy decision on July 30. This could act as a headwind for the USD and offer support to the non-yielding Gold price amid the rising Thailand-Cambodia border dispute.

Gold price might continue to find support near 100-SMA on H4, around mid-$3,300s

The overnight bounce from the vicinity of the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart runs out of steam near the $3,377 region. The said area should now act as an immediate strong barrier, above which a bout of short-covering could allow the Gold price to reclaim the $3,400 mark. Some follow-through buying should pave the way for a move towards the $3,438-3,440 static barrier, which coincides with the top boundary of an ascending channel held since the beginning of this month.

On the flip side, Thursday's swing low, around the $3,351 area, which nears the 100-period SMA on the 4-hour chart, might continue to protect the immediate downside for the Gold price. This is followed by the trend-channel support around the $3,335 region. A convincing break below the latter might shift the near-term bias in favor of the XAU/USD bears and expose last week's swing low, around the $3,309 area. The commodity could weaken further below the $3,300 mark and retest the monthly trough, around the $3,283-3,282 zone.

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD 0.03% 0.13% 0.18% 0.11% 0.18% 0.04% 0.09%
EUR -0.03% 0.13% 0.12% 0.10% 0.07% 0.00% 0.05%
GBP -0.13% -0.13% 0.02% -0.05% -0.05% -0.10% -0.08%
JPY -0.18% -0.12% -0.02% -0.08% -0.06% -0.13% -0.10%
CAD -0.11% -0.10% 0.05% 0.08% 0.12% -0.07% -0.06%
AUD -0.18% -0.07% 0.05% 0.06% -0.12% -0.06% 0.01%
NZD -0.04% -0.01% 0.10% 0.13% 0.07% 0.06% 0.04%
CHF -0.09% -0.05% 0.08% 0.10% 0.06% -0.01% -0.04%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).


Date

Created

 : 2025.07.25

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.07.25

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

UoM US Consumer Sentiment set to rise slightly as markets focus on inflation expectations

On Friday, the US gets the first look at August's University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. This monthly survey gauges households' perceptions of the economy's trajectory. A final reading follows two weeks later.
New
update2025.08.15 20:00

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD trades cautiously around $3,340 ahead of Trump-Putin meet

Gold price (XAU/USD) trades with caution around $3,340 during the European trading session on Friday.
New
update2025.08.15 19:44

USD/CAD pulls back below 1.3800 ahead of US retail Sales data

The Canadian Dollar is regaining lost ground against the US Dollar on Friday.
New
update2025.08.15 19:37

EUR/USD: Likely to trade between 1.1585 and 1.1705 - UOB Group

The current Euro (EUR) price movements are likely part of a consolidation phase between 1.1585 and 1.1705, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.08.15 19:36

USD: Inflation after all? - Commerzbank

Following the release of the CPI figures on Tuesday, the trade-weighted US dollar lost around half a percent. This weakness continued over the past two days, until yesterday's producer price inflation figures were released.
New
update2025.08.15 19:29

TRY: Changes in monetary policy framework but no changes for FX - ING

During a press conference yesterday to present its new inflation report, the Central Bank of Turkey announced several changes to its monetary policy framework, ING's FX analyst Frantisek Taborsky notes.
New
update2025.08.15 19:23

USD/JPY: Risks remain skewed to the downside - OCBC

USD/JPY rebounded overnight, tracking the rise in UST yields after US PPI data came in hotter. Pair was last at 146.87, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New
update2025.08.15 19:20

USD: Data remains the biggest driver - ING

The much-anticipated Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska is scheduled for 20.30 BST/21.30 CET, so any headlines may just be able to impact late US trading, but it's quite possible that the bulk of the market reaction will only materialise on Monday.
New
update2025.08.15 19:17

NZD: Doubts could arise - Commerzbank

In New Zealand, complete inflation figures are only published once a quarter; each month, only a selection of prices is tracked and the inflation rate for these is published, Commerzbank's FX analyst Volkmar Baur notes.
New
update2025.08.15 19:14

Japan: BoJ still on track to hike rates in Q4 - Standard Chartered

Q2 GDP growth surprised to the upside, which should allay the BoJ's fears of a sharp growth slowdown. The next 25bps BoJ hike will be in Q4, with risks skewed toward an earlier move in October. Summary of opinions from the July BoJ meeting points to what we think is growing impetus for a hike.
New
update2025.08.15 19:09

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel