Select Language

GBP/JPY nears YTD highs at 199.80 as tariffs, political uncertainty hurt the Yen

Breaking news

GBP/JPY nears YTD highs at 199.80 as tariffs, political uncertainty hurt the Yen

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.07.17 19:02
GBP/JPY nears YTD highs at 199.80 as tariffs, political uncertainty hurt the Yen

update 2025.07.17 19:02

  • The Pound pares losses against the Yen despite weak UK employment data.
  • Political uncertainty in Japan and an extended decline in exports are weighing on the JPY.
  • In the UK, Unemployment increased to its highest rate in the last four years.

The Pound has shrugged off the impact of the grim UK employment figures seen earlier today to rally against a weaker Japanese Yen, weighed by the increasing political uncertainty and lack of progress in the trade talks with the US.

The JPY is suffering on Thursday as political uncertainty grows in Japan, following a poll that suggested Prime Minister Ishiba's ruling coalition is likely to lose its majority in parliament after Sunday's election.

The uncertain political scenario adds to investors' anxiety about the lack of advances in the trade negotiations with the US, as the country's exports decline for the second consecutive month. These figures pose a significant challenge for an economy strongly dependent on international trade.

The Japanese Yen's weakness has offset the impact of the downbeat UK employment figures seen earlier today. Data from national Statistics revealed that the Unemployment Rate increased to 4.7% in June, against expectations. Claims for unemployment benefits declined to 25.9K, from last month's 33.1K, but failed to meet the market consensus of a larger decline, to 17.9K.

Economic Indicator

ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)

The ILO Unemployment Rate released by the UK Office for National Statistics is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the UK Economy. If the rate goes up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the UK labor market. As a result, a rise leads to a weakening of the UK economy. Generally, a decrease of the figure is seen as bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), while an increase is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Thu Jul 17, 2025 06:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 4.7%

Consensus: 4.6%

Previous: 4.6%

Source: Office for National Statistics

The Unemployment Rate is the broadest indicator of Britain's labor market. The figure is highlighted by the broad media, beyond the financial sector, giving the publication a more significant impact despite its late publication. It is released around six weeks after the month ends. While the Bank of England is tasked with maintaining price stability, there is a substantial inverse correlation between unemployment and inflation. A higher than expected figure tends to be GBP-bearish.

Economic Indicator

Claimant Count Change

The Claimant Count Change released by the UK Office for National Statistics presents the change in the number of unemployed people in the UK claiming benefits. There is a tendency for the metric to influence GBP volatility. Usually, a rise in the indicator has negative implications for consumer spending and economic growth. Generally, a high reading is seen as bearish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), while a low reading is seen as bullish.

Read more.

Last release: Thu Jul 17, 2025 06:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 25.9K

Consensus: 17.9K

Previous: 33.1K

Source: Office for National Statistics

The change in the number of those claiming jobless benefits is an early gauge of the UK's labor market. The figures are released for the previous month, contrary to the Unemployment Rate, which is for the prior one. This release is scheduled around the middle of the month. An increase in applications is a sign of a worsening economic situation and implies looser monetary policy, while a decrease indicates improving conditions. A higher-than-expected outcome tends to be GBP-bearish.



Date

Created

 : 2025.07.17

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.07.17

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Fed's Bostic: Economic outlook remains highly uncertain

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic expressed further caution about the state of the US economy and potential tariff fallout on inflation metrics in an interview with the Wall Street Journal.
New
update2025.07.18 06:40

EUR/USD drops below 1.1600 as strong US data slashes Fed cut odds

EUR/USD tumbles during the North American session, down 0.38% following the release of economic data from the United States (US), which triggered a reaction by investors, who trimmed their bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates.
New
update2025.07.18 06:13

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Sellers dominate but a Doji candle hints at indecision

GBP/USD is at a technical inflection point, a battleground between weakening bullish momentum and growing bearish pressure.
New
update2025.07.18 04:44

Canadian Dollar loses ground against recovering Greenback

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) shed further weight on Thursday, falling to its lowest bids against the US Dollar (USD) in nearly a month as Greenback-based market flows reverse course back into the USD.
New
update2025.07.18 04:28

Gold slips as strong US data supports Fed hold

Gold price dropped by over 0.26% during the North American session on Thursday, trimming some of its earlier losses of nearly 1%.
New
update2025.07.18 04:11

Forex Today: The Yen takes centre stage ahead of inflation data and elections

The Greenback resumed its uptrend on Thursday, rapidly reversing the previous day's pullback as investors assessed auspicious US data releases while keeping a close watch on the Trump-Powell effervescence and developments around trade.
New
update2025.07.18 03:26

GBP/JPY rises on weak Japanese trade data, CPI in focus

The British Pound (GBP) gains positive traction against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Thursday as sentiment surrounding the Yen remains fragile following Japan's disappointing Trade Balance data.
New
update2025.07.18 03:13

AUD/USD slides as weak Australian jobs data meets robust US retail sales

The Australian Dollar (AUD) is weakening against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday after employment data from Australia reflected a slowdown in the labour market. Meanwhile, US Retail Sales data surprised to the upside, reflecting an increase in consumer spending in June.
New
update2025.07.18 03:00

US to impose 93.5% tariff on Chinese battery material

According to early reporting, the United States (US) could be poised to introduce a new steep import tariff on Chinese goods, this time centered around battery technology, specifically battery-grade graphite.
New
update2025.07.18 02:55

Dow Jones Industrial Average tests higher ground after upbeat Retail Sales print

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) extended a mid-week rebound on Thursday, tipping back into positive territory for the week as investors continue to brush off inflationary fears, tariff threats, and growing concerns that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could be poised to lose its political autonomy
New
update2025.07.18 02:32

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel