Select Language

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds gains above $3,340 with US inflation on tap

Breaking news

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds gains above $3,340 with US inflation on tap

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
update 2025.07.15 19:52
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds gains above $3,340 with US inflation on tap

update 2025.07.15 19:52

  • Gold found support at $3,340 and is regaining lost ground, approaching $3,380 highs.
  • The US Dollar softens with US treasury yields pulling back from recent highs ahead of the US CPI release.
  • From a wider perspective, XAU/USD is moving sideways, halfway through the last few months' trading range.

Gold (XAU/USD) correction has been limited at $3,340, and the precious metal is retracing previous losses on Tuesday, approaching three-week highs at $3,380 as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar pull back from recent highs ahead of the US CPI release.

The US Dollar Index, which measures the value of the USD against six major currencies, is trading 0.15% lower on the day after a three-day rally. Investors are bracing for a significant increase in inflation amid pressure from US President Trump to cut interest rates, which might increase if the upside risks for inflation forecasted by the bank do not materialise.

Technical analysis: XAU/USD consolidating halfway through the recent range

XAU/USD chart

The XAU/USD technical picture is cloudy, as the pair has been experiencing choppy and sideways trading for the last few months. Price action is currently hovering in the middle of the range, and technical indicators on the daily chart are indicating a lack of a clear trend.

The 4-hour chart shows a moderate positive stance, with the RSI steady above the 50 level and downside attempts finding buyers so far. Bulls are focusing on the July 14 high, at $3,375, which is closing the path towards the June 18 and 23 highs, at the $3,400 area, and the June 16 peak, at $3,450. 

On the downside, a retreat below the July 14 low at $3,340 might find support at the July 10 low at $3,3120 and the July 9 low, at $3,285, ahead of the May 28 and June 30 lows, at $3,245.

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human's history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn't rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country's solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.



Date

Created

 : 2025.07.15

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.07.15

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

USD/CAD remains below 1.3800 due to subdued Oil prices, US ISM Services PMI eyed

USD/CAD holds ground after two days of losses, trading around 1.3790 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair moves little as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) struggles amid weaker crude Oil prices.
New
update2025.08.05 15:35

Crude Oil price today: WTI price neutral at European opening

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price is neutral on Tuesday, early in the European session. WTI trades at $65.66 per barrel, not far from its Monday close at $65.66.
New
update2025.08.05 15:03

EUR/CAD Price Forecast: Crucial upside barrier emerges near 1.6000

The EUR/CAD cross loses ground to around 1.5925 during the early European session on Tuesday. A rebound in crude oil prices lifts the commodity-linked Loonie and acts as a headwind for the cross.
New
update2025.08.05 15:03

FX option expiries for Aug 5 NY cut

FX option expiries for Aug 5 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time via DTCC can be found below.
New
update2025.08.05 15:01

EUR/GBP ticks down to near 0.8700, BoE policy takes centre stage

The EUR/GBP pair edges lower to near the round level of 0.8700 during the late Asian trading session on Tuesday. The pair faces a slight selling pressure, while investors shift their focus to the Bank of England's (BoE) monetary policy announcement on Thursday.
New
update2025.08.05 14:14

USD/CHF strengthens to near 0.8100 amid US-Swiss trade tensions

The USD/CHF pair trades in positive territory around 0.8090 during the early European session on Tuesday. The Swiss Franc (CHF) softens against the Greenback after US President Donald Trump hit Switzerland with a shock 39% export tariff.
New
update2025.08.05 14:09

EUR/JPY falls to near 170.00 as BoJ Meeting Minutes signal potential for rate hikes

EUR/JPY remains subdued for the third successive session, trading around 170.20 during the Asian hours on Tuesday.
New
update2025.08.05 13:46

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Bears await acceptance below 95.00; 200-day SMA breakdown in play

The AUD/JPY cross struggles to capitalize on its modest Asian session uptick and languishes near the 95.00 psychological mark, close to a nearly four-week low touched the previous day. Moreover, the technical setup suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the downside.
New
update2025.08.05 13:38

India Gold price today: Gold steadies, according to FXStreet data

Gold prices remained broadly unchanged in India on Tuesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
New
update2025.08.05 13:36

USD/INR opens gap up as Trump threatens higher tariffs on India again

The Indian Rupee (INR) opens on a gap-down note against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, sending the USD/INR pair to its all-time high of around 88.25. The Indian currency faces intense selling pressure as trade tensions between India and the United States (US) have escalated.
New
update2025.08.05 13:36

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel