Created
: 2025.07.14
2025.07.14 16:30
The US Dollar features a moderately positive trend against its Canadian counterpart, with technical indicators on bullish ground and the risk-off mood supporting the safe-haven USD, but the pair remains unable to consolidate above the 1,3700 resistance area.
Trump has proposed 35% tariffs on Canada, in addition to 30% tariffs on the European Union and Mexico, which would build on the 50% tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum announced earlier in June. These measures are likely to weigh on the Canadian economy unless a better deal is reached before the August 1 deadline.
On the other hand, data from Canada beat expectations last week, with the unemployment rate declining against expectations on the back of a sharp increase in net employment. These figures strengthen the view that the Bank of Canada will keep interest rates on hold after its July 30 meeting, which is providing some support for the loonie.
Furthermore, Cride prices, Canada's main export, have rallied about $2 from Friday's lows and are 6% above the late June lows, favoured by news that the OECC+ might be about to pause its supply hikes from October. This is another source of support for the CAD.
The economic docket is light today, and investors are likely to wait and see ahead of consumer inflation figures from both the US and Canada, which are due on Tuesday. These numbers are likely to give further clues about the monetary policies of their respective central banks and might boost USD/CAD's volatility.
The Unemployment Rate, released by Statistics Canada, is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force as a percentage. It is a leading indicator for the Canadian Economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the Canadian labor market and a weakening of the Canadian economy. Generally, a decrease of the figure is seen as bullish for the Canadian Dollar (CAD), while an increase is seen as bearish.
Read more.Last release: Fri Jul 11, 2025 12:30
Frequency: Monthly
Actual: 6.9%
Consensus: 7.1%
Previous: 7%
Source: Statistics Canada
The Net Change in Employment released by Statistics Canada is a measure of the change in the number of people in employment in Canada. Generally speaking, a rise in this indicator has positive implications for consumer spending and indicates economic growth. Therefore, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Canadian Dollar (CAD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.
Read more.Last release: Fri Jul 11, 2025 12:30
Frequency: Monthly
Actual: 83.1K
Consensus: 0K
Previous: 8.8K
Source: Statistics Canada
Canada's labor market statistics tend to have a significant impact on the Canadian dollar, with the Employment Change figure carrying most of the weight. There is a significant correlation between the amount of people working and consumption, which impacts inflation and the Bank of Canada's rate decisions, in turn moving the C$. Actual figures beating consensus tend to be CAD bullish, with currency markets usually reacting steadily and consistently in response to the publication.
Created
: 2025.07.14
Last updated
: 2025.07.14
FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.
We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.
please contact us at [email protected].
Disclaimer:
All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.
The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.
Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy