Select Language

EUR/USD slides below 1.1700 as tariff fears lift Dollar to 2-week high

Breaking news

EUR/USD slides below 1.1700 as tariff fears lift Dollar to 2-week high

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.07.12 07:27
EUR/USD slides below 1.1700 as tariff fears lift Dollar to 2-week high

update 2025.07.12 07:27

  • EUR/USD posts first weekly loss in three weeks, ending at 1.1688.
  • Trump eyes blanket tariffs, including on EU and copper exports.
  • Dollar marks strongest week since March amid broad risk-off tone.

EUR/USD finished the week with losses of over 0.70% and ended Friday's session down 0.10% trading below the 1.1700 figure, cementing the case for a pullback to test key support levels as the Greenback posts its best week in four months. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1688.

A risk-off mood was triggered by US President Donald Trump, who remains focused in broadening tariffs to countries but also to commodities like copper. News emerged that he could be imposing blanket tariffs and that his sights are set on a letter to the European Union (EU), which posts its first weekly loss in the last three weeks.

A light economic docket on both sides of the Atlantic featured media appearances of Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, alongside Wholesale Prices data for June, revealed in Germany.

Daily digest market movers: Euro pressured as Trump threats to sent EU's tariff letter

  • The Euro was on the defensive as news reports revealed Trump's intention to send a letter to the EU. In addition to this, he enacted 35% tariffs on Canada, and it is reported that he is eyeing blanket tariffs of 15% to 20%, signaling an escalation of the trade war.
  • Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee (voter in 2025) said that the new round of tariffs makes it messy to reveal the true economic performance. He said that tariffs could delay rate cuts and that he wants to wait until the anxiety dies down before being comfortable that the US is back on track to a soft landing.
  • Across the pond, European Central Bank (ECB) officials revealed mixed stances on monetary policy. Schnabel was hawkish, stating that "the bar for another rate cut is very high" and dismissing the need for further easing unless inflation materially deviates from the ECB's 2% target over the medium term -- something she currently sees no evidence of.
  • ECB Fabio Panetta was slightly dovish, noting that if the downside risks to growth intensified and reinforced disinflationary pressures, it could require further monetary easing.
  • Wholesale Prices in Germany rose by 0.2% MoM in June as expected, crushing May´s -0.3% fall. Yearly, Prices jumped from 0.4% to 0.9% for the same period.

Euro technical outlook: EUR/USD tumbles below 1.1700 as sellers eye 1.1500

The EUR/USD cracked below the 1.1700 figure yet it remains on top of the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 1.1662. Although it bounced to current price levels, the pair staying below 1.1700, paves the way for further downside.

The first support would be the 20-day SMA. Once surpassed, the next stop would be 1.1650, followed by the 50-day SMA at 1.1464.

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.07.12

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.07.12

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/USD slides below 1.1700 as tariff fears lift Dollar to 2-week high

EUR/USD finished the week with losses of over 0.70% and ended Friday's session down 0.10% trading below the 1.1700 figure, cementing the case for a pullback to test key support levels as the Greenback posts its best week in four months. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1688.
New
update2025.07.12 07:26

Copper prices steady as refining constraints and tariff fears persist

Copper futures are trading near $5.50 per pound on Friday, slipping from Tuesday's high of $5.70 on the daily timeframe.
New
update2025.07.12 06:29

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Holds firm below 0.8000 on US Dollar demand

The USD/CHF consolidates during the North American session, is flat below the 0.8000 figure, poised to finish the week with 0.36% gains. A risk-off mood bolstered the Greenback, which so far has recovered some ground during the current week.
New
update2025.07.12 05:44

FHFA Director suggests that Fed Chair Powell may be considering resigning

Bill Pulte, the Trump-selected Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency and former chairman of Fannie May and Freddie Mac, nodded to entirely-uncomfirmed reports that Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell may be considering resigning from his post as the head of the Fed.
New
update2025.07.12 05:37

Fed's Goolsbee warns that new tariff threats could hamper rate cut hopes

In an interview with the Wall Street Journal, Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee warned that ongoing trade policy at the hands of Trump's constant tariff threats could hamper the ability of the Fed to deliver interest rate cuts that both the broader market and Donald Tru
New
update2025.07.12 05:24

Canadian Dollar tests low side despite upswing in Canadian labor data

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) tested lower ground against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, shedding weight despite Canadian labor data figures outperforming median market forecasts by a sizeable margin, kicking back economic downturn concerns and forcing rate watchers to trim their bets of another Bank of
New
update2025.07.12 05:18

AUD/USD stalls at key 0.6600 resistance amid mixed market catalysts

The battle between the Australian Dollar (AUD) and the US Dollar (USD) persists on Friday, with bulls in the AUD/USD pair continuing to push for a break through the next major resistance level at 0.6600.
New
update2025.07.12 04:15

Gold price surges past $3,350 as Trump tariff threats jolt markets

Gold price rallies nearly 1% on Friday as the market mood shifts sour on controversial trade policies imposed by US President Donald Trump on Canada and threatening to broaden duties to other countries and Copper.
New
update2025.07.12 03:51

Dow Jones Industrial Average backslides as trade war rhetoric accelerates again

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) snapped a two-day recovery on Friday, testing below the 44,400 level once again as equities grapple with a new reality where trade tariffs exist in a quantum state, prone to popping in and out of existence at a moment's notice.
New
update2025.07.12 03:34

EUR/CHF Price Forecast: Bearish momentum grows within consolidation range

The Euro (EUR) remains under pressure against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Thursday, trading near the lower boundary of its multi-week consolidation range between 0.9300 and 0.9430.
New
update2025.07.12 03:24

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel