Created
: 2025.08.05
2025.08.05 19:57
The eight OPEC+ countries with voluntary production cuts decided on Sunday, as widely expected, to increase the agreed production volume in September by a further 547,000 barrels per day, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
"As in previous months, the press release referred to a steady economic outlook, healthy fundamentals and low inventories. With the latest production increase, the voluntary production cuts from the second half of 2023 and early 2024, amounting to 2.2 million barrels per day, will be completely reversed one year earlier than originally planned. This means that oil supplies from OPEC+ are unlikely to rise further after September."
"The remaining production restrictions totaling 3.66 million barrels per day are set to remain in place until the end of 2026, according to a decision by OPEC+. This also applies to the voluntary production cuts of 1.66 million barrels per day that have been in place since May 2023 by the same eight countries. However, these could also be reversed earlier, according to OPEC delegates, depending on market conditions. Sources say that this could be discussed at the next virtual meeting of the eight countries on September 7. However, it is unlikely that a further reversal of the production cuts will be decided at that time. The next OPEC+ meeting at the end of November would be a more likely venue for such a decision."
"In view of the considerable oversupply looming in the autumn, it is not advisable for OPEC+ to further increase production in the fourth quarter. However, this could change if the secondary tariffs threatened by the US against buyers of Russian oil lead to a displacement of oil supplies from Russia. If, for example, half of Russia's oil supplies to China and India were to be cut off and replaced by other suppliers, the resulting oversupply based on IEA forecasts would be absorbed. However, as we explained on Friday, increasing production at Russia's expense would jeopardize OPEC+'s existence and would therefore not be without risk."
Created
: 2025.08.05
Last updated
: 2025.08.05
FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.
We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.
please contact us at [email protected].
Disclaimer:
All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.
The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.
Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy