Select Language

Dow Jones futures slump on Middle East conflicts, upside US inflation risks

Breaking news

Dow Jones futures slump on Middle East conflicts, upside US inflation risks

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.06.19 18:46
Dow Jones futures slump on Middle East conflicts, upside US inflation risks

update 2025.06.19 18:46

  • US equity futures face selling pressure amid fears that the US could strike Iran.
  • US President Trump aims to restrict Iran from building nuclear weapons.
  • The Fed held its borrowing rates steady in the range of 4.25%-4.50% on Wednesday.

Dow Jones futures trade lower during European trading hours on Thursday as fears of the United States' (US) entry in the aerial war between Israel and Iran has diminished demand for risk-perceived assets.

At the time of writing, Dow Jones futures are down 0.35% to near the round-level of 42,000, S&P 500 futures ease almost 25 points and slump to near 5,955.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) ticks up, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) ending higher to near 99.00. The Greenback remains supported as Middle East conflicts have increased demand for safe-haven assets.

A report from Bloomberg showed that the United States is considering striking Iran. The report showed that senior US officials are preparing for the possibility of a strike on Iran in the coming days.

Earlier in the day, US President Donald Trump stated that he has not made up his mind whether he will strike Iran or not, but has made it clear that he will not allow Tehran to build nuclear warheads. "I may do it. I may not do it," Trump said when asked whether he would launch airstrikes on an Iranian nuclear facility earlier in the day, NBC News reported.

Meanwhile, US equity markets will remain closed on Thursday on account of Juneteenth Day.

Apart from tensions between Israel and Iran, a clear message from the Federal Reserve (Fed) that inflationary pressures are expected to rise due to the fallout from the tariff policy imposed by US President Trump has weighed on US equity futures.

On Wednesday, the Fed kept its key borrowing rates in the current range of 4.25%-4.50% for the fourth time in a row, as expected. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated in the press conference that the monetary policy is now "modestly restrictive, and we [US central bank] have to keep rates high to get inflation all the way down".

Assuming that new economic policies by Donald Trump have de-anchored inflation expectations, the Fed revised its projection for the interest rate target higher to 3.4% for both 2026 and 2027.

Dow Jones FAQs

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, one of the oldest stock market indices in the world, is compiled of the 30 most traded stocks in the US. The index is price-weighted rather than weighted by capitalization. It is calculated by summing the prices of the constituent stocks and dividing them by a factor, currently 0.152. The index was founded by Charles Dow, who also founded the Wall Street Journal. In later years it has been criticized for not being broadly representative enough because it only tracks 30 conglomerates, unlike broader indices such as the S&P 500.

Many different factors drive the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). The aggregate performance of the component companies revealed in quarterly company earnings reports is the main one. US and global macroeconomic data also contributes as it impacts on investor sentiment. The level of interest rates, set by the Federal Reserve (Fed), also influences the DJIA as it affects the cost of credit, on which many corporations are heavily reliant. Therefore, inflation can be a major driver as well as other metrics which impact the Fed decisions.

Dow Theory is a method for identifying the primary trend of the stock market developed by Charles Dow. A key step is to compare the direction of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) and only follow trends where both are moving in the same direction. Volume is a confirmatory criteria. The theory uses elements of peak and trough analysis. Dow's theory posits three trend phases: accumulation, when smart money starts buying or selling; public participation, when the wider public joins in; and distribution, when the smart money exits.

There are a number of ways to trade the DJIA. One is to use ETFs which allow investors to trade the DJIA as a single security, rather than having to buy shares in all 30 constituent companies. A leading example is the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA). DJIA futures contracts enable traders to speculate on the future value of the index and Options provide the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the index at a predetermined price in the future. Mutual funds enable investors to buy a share of a diversified portfolio of DJIA stocks thus providing exposure to the overall index.

 

 

 


Date

Created

 : 2025.06.19

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.06.19

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/USD slides below 1.1700 as tariff fears lift Dollar to 2-week high

EUR/USD finished the week with losses of over 0.70% and ended Friday's session down 0.10% trading below the 1.1700 figure, cementing the case for a pullback to test key support levels as the Greenback posts its best week in four months. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1688.
New
update2025.07.12 07:26

Copper prices steady as refining constraints and tariff fears persist

Copper futures are trading near $5.50 per pound on Friday, slipping from Tuesday's high of $5.70 on the daily timeframe.
New
update2025.07.12 06:29

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Holds firm below 0.8000 on US Dollar demand

The USD/CHF consolidates during the North American session, is flat below the 0.8000 figure, poised to finish the week with 0.36% gains. A risk-off mood bolstered the Greenback, which so far has recovered some ground during the current week.
New
update2025.07.12 05:44

FHFA Director suggests that Fed Chair Powell may be considering resigning

Bill Pulte, the Trump-selected Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency and former chairman of Fannie May and Freddie Mac, nodded to entirely-uncomfirmed reports that Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell may be considering resigning from his post as the head of the Fed.
New
update2025.07.12 05:37

Fed's Goolsbee warns that new tariff threats could hamper rate cut hopes

In an interview with the Wall Street Journal, Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee warned that ongoing trade policy at the hands of Trump's constant tariff threats could hamper the ability of the Fed to deliver interest rate cuts that both the broader market and Donald Tru
New
update2025.07.12 05:24

Canadian Dollar tests low side despite upswing in Canadian labor data

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) tested lower ground against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, shedding weight despite Canadian labor data figures outperforming median market forecasts by a sizeable margin, kicking back economic downturn concerns and forcing rate watchers to trim their bets of another Bank of
New
update2025.07.12 05:18

AUD/USD stalls at key 0.6600 resistance amid mixed market catalysts

The battle between the Australian Dollar (AUD) and the US Dollar (USD) persists on Friday, with bulls in the AUD/USD pair continuing to push for a break through the next major resistance level at 0.6600.
New
update2025.07.12 04:15

Gold price surges past $3,350 as Trump tariff threats jolt markets

Gold price rallies nearly 1% on Friday as the market mood shifts sour on controversial trade policies imposed by US President Donald Trump on Canada and threatening to broaden duties to other countries and Copper.
New
update2025.07.12 03:51

Dow Jones Industrial Average backslides as trade war rhetoric accelerates again

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) snapped a two-day recovery on Friday, testing below the 44,400 level once again as equities grapple with a new reality where trade tariffs exist in a quantum state, prone to popping in and out of existence at a moment's notice.
New
update2025.07.12 03:34

EUR/CHF Price Forecast: Bearish momentum grows within consolidation range

The Euro (EUR) remains under pressure against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Thursday, trading near the lower boundary of its multi-week consolidation range between 0.9300 and 0.9430.
New
update2025.07.12 03:24

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel