Select Language

NZD/USD holds positive ground, China CPI falls in May

Breaking news

NZD/USD holds positive ground, China CPI falls in May

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
update 2025.06.09 11:18
NZD/USD holds positive ground, China CPI falls in May

update 2025.06.09 11:18

  • NZD/USD gathers strength to around 0.6035 in Monday's Asian session, up 0.50% on the day. 
  • China's CPI inflation fell for a fourth consecutive month in May.
  • Chinese officials are expected to meet with the US trade negotiation team in London later on Monday for renewed trade talks.

The NZD/USD pair attracts some buyers to around 0.6035 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) strengthens against the Greenback after the Chinese inflation data. Traders will closely monitor trade talks between the US and China later on Monday.

Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China on Monday showed that the country's Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined 0.1% YoY in May, compared to -0.1% seen in April. This figure came in above the market expectation of -0.2%. 

On a monthly basis, Chinese CPI inflation eased to a decline of 0.2% in May versus April's 0.1% rise Additionally, China's Producer Price Index (PPI) fell 3.3% YoY in May, following a 2.7% decline in April. The data came in below the market consensus of 3.2%.  

The Kiwi remains strong in an immediate reaction following the mixed Chinese economic data. The attention will shift to the US-China trade talks. US President Donald Trump stated on Friday that US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and two other Trump administration officials are scheduled to talk with Chinese officials in London on Monday. The hope of potential trade negotiations between the world's two largest economies provides some support to the China-proxy Kiwi, as China is a major trading partner of New Zealand. 

On the other hand, the renewed US Dollar demand due to stronger-than-expected US economic data, including the May jobs data, could lift the USD and act as a headwind for the pair. The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) climbed by 139,000 in May, compared to the 147,000 increase. This reading came in above the market consensus of 130,000. Federal Fund Futures pointed to a larger chance that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may keep its benchmark interest rate steady until the September monetary policy meetings. 

New Zealand Dollar FAQs

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), also known as the Kiwi, is a well-known traded currency among investors. Its value is broadly determined by the health of the New Zealand economy and the country's central bank policy. Still, there are some unique particularities that also can make NZD move. The performance of the Chinese economy tends to move the Kiwi because China is New Zealand's biggest trading partner. Bad news for the Chinese economy likely means less New Zealand exports to the country, hitting the economy and thus its currency. Another factor moving NZD is dairy prices as the dairy industry is New Zealand's main export. High dairy prices boost export income, contributing positively to the economy and thus to the NZD.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aims to achieve and maintain an inflation rate between 1% and 3% over the medium term, with a focus to keep it near the 2% mid-point. To this end, the bank sets an appropriate level of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the RBNZ will increase interest rates to cool the economy, but the move will also make bond yields higher, increasing investors' appeal to invest in the country and thus boosting NZD. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken NZD. The so-called rate differential, or how rates in New Zealand are or are expected to be compared to the ones set by the US Federal Reserve, can also play a key role in moving the NZD/USD pair.

Macroeconomic data releases in New Zealand are key to assess the state of the economy and can impact the New Zealand Dollar's (NZD) valuation. A strong economy, based on high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence is good for NZD. High economic growth attracts foreign investment and may encourage the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to increase interest rates, if this economic strength comes together with elevated inflation. Conversely, if economic data is weak, NZD is likely to depreciate.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) tends to strengthen during risk-on periods, or when investors perceive that broader market risks are low and are optimistic about growth. This tends to lead to a more favorable outlook for commodities and so-called 'commodity currencies' such as the Kiwi. Conversely, NZD tends to weaken at times of market turbulence or economic uncertainty as investors tend to sell higher-risk assets and flee to the more-stable safe havens.


Date

Created

 : 2025.06.09

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.06.09

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD advance stalls near $37.00 as holiday lull masks bullish setup

Silver price traded sideways on Friday, remaining virtually unchanged at $36.84, due to thin trading volumes as US markets were closed for a holiday.
New
update2025.07.05 06:32

EUR/USD holds near highs despite tariff jitters, eyes on EU data next week

EUR/USD posted minimal gains of 0.18% on Friday amid thin liquidity conditions, as markets in the United States are closed due to the Independence Day holiday. The shared currency is poised to close the week with gains of 0.53% despite the release of solid US economic data this week.
New
update2025.07.05 05:59

AUD/USD retreats as risk-off mood builds ahead of Trump's tariff deadline

The Australian Dollar (AUD) weakened against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday amid a low-volume trading session and a risk-off tone ahead of US President Donald Trump's July 9 tariff deadline.
New
update2025.07.05 05:14

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Eyes breakout as triangle narrows, but lacks momentum

The US Dollar (USD) is trading slightly lower against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Friday, with the USD/JPY hovering around 144.50 in subdued holiday-thinned conditions as US markets remain closed for Independence Day.
New
update2025.07.05 04:10

NZD/USD risks further downside as Kiwi tests critical support at 0.6050

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is weakening against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday as market participants weigh near-term resistance against a weakening bullish structure.
New
update2025.07.05 04:04

Gold price shines as USD slips, trade war fuels safe-haven demand

Gold price resumes its uptrend on Friday, poised to print gains of over 1.50% for the week as the US Dollar is on the back foot amid thin liquidity conditions following the closure of US markets in celebration of Independence Day. A slight escalation of the trade war boosted bullion prices.
New
update2025.07.05 02:41

GBP/JPY retreats as safe-haven demand rises ahead of Trump's tariff deadline

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is strengthening against the British Pound (GBP) on Friday as markets turn cautious ahead of the weekend.
New
update2025.07.05 02:16

WTI Crude Oil consolidates near key support, OPEC+ decision looms

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil prices remain subdued on Friday, extending losses from the previous day and hovering near the mid-$65s amid thin holiday trading, lingering demand concerns, and a lack of fresh catalysts.
New
update2025.07.05 01:12

BoE's Taylor: Disinflationary forces are building

Bank of England (BoE) rate-setter Alan Taylor noted late on Friday that downside pressures are continuing to build up underneath the UK's economy, signaling that early rate cuts may be needed ahead of a questionable forecasting period.
New
update2025.07.05 01:00

EUR/USD firms as tariffs and Trump's tax bill dominate headlines

The Euro (EUR) is holding modest gains against the US Dollar (USD) in thin trading conditions on Friday. With US markets closed in observance of Independence Day, liquidity is limited.
New
update2025.07.05 00:35

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel