Select Language

USD/CAD returns to 1.3730 with the Dollar showing a firmer tone

Breaking news

USD/CAD returns to 1.3730 with the Dollar showing a firmer tone

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.06.03 16:25
USD/CAD returns to 1.3730 with the Dollar showing a firmer tone

update 2025.06.03 16:25

  • The US Dollar trims some losses on a mild improvement in sentiment.
  • The US Manufacturing PMI adds to evidence of the tariffs' negative impact on the sector.
  • Hopes of a hawkish BOC are keeping the CAD buoyed.

The US Dollar is trading on a somewhat stronger note on Tuesday, favoured by an improved market sentiment, which has helped the USD/CAD to bounce from year-to-date lows below 1.3700 and return to 1the 1.3730 area at the moment of writing.

The broader trend, however, remains bearish, with speculative demand for the YS Dollar weak, on concerns about Trump's tariffs' impact on the US economy and looming fears about the US fiscal health.

The Dollar needs strong US data to confirm its recovery

The US ISM Manufacturing PMI figures released on Monday confirmed that trade uncertainty is taking its toll on the sector. The PMI declined for its third consecutive time, against expectations of a slight improvement. The employment and new orders subindexes ticked up, with prices declining and delivery times increasing, and rising concerns about potential shortages in some products.

The figures added pressure on an already weak USDollar, but the Greenback managed to pick up during the Asian session, with market sentiment improving somewhat.

In Canada, the strong Gross Domestic Product figures seen last week have cemented expectations that the Bank of Canada will keep interest rates on hold, which is keeping the Canadian dollar's dips limited.

The focus today will be on the US Factory Orders release, of particular interest after Monday's weak manufacturing data, and the US JOLTS Job Openings. The US Dollar needs positive surprises to extend its recovery.

Risk sentiment FAQs

In the world of financial jargon the two widely used terms "risk-on" and "risk off'' refer to the level of risk that investors are willing to stomach during the period referenced. In a "risk-on" market, investors are optimistic about the future and more willing to buy risky assets. In a "risk-off" market investors start to 'play it safe' because they are worried about the future, and therefore buy less risky assets that are more certain of bringing a return, even if it is relatively modest.

Typically, during periods of "risk-on", stock markets will rise, most commodities - except Gold - will also gain in value, since they benefit from a positive growth outlook. The currencies of nations that are heavy commodity exporters strengthen because of increased demand, and Cryptocurrencies rise. In a "risk-off" market, Bonds go up - especially major government Bonds - Gold shines, and safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc and US Dollar all benefit.

The Australian Dollar (AUD), the Canadian Dollar (CAD), the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and minor FX like the Ruble (RUB) and the South African Rand (ZAR), all tend to rise in markets that are "risk-on". This is because the economies of these currencies are heavily reliant on commodity exports for growth, and commodities tend to rise in price during risk-on periods. This is because investors foresee greater demand for raw materials in the future due to heightened economic activity.

The major currencies that tend to rise during periods of "risk-off" are the US Dollar (USD), the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Swiss Franc (CHF). The US Dollar, because it is the world's reserve currency, and because in times of crisis investors buy US government debt, which is seen as safe because the largest economy in the world is unlikely to default. The Yen, from increased demand for Japanese government bonds, because a high proportion are held by domestic investors who are unlikely to dump them - even in a crisis. The Swiss Franc, because strict Swiss banking laws offer investors enhanced capital protection.



Date

Created

 : 2025.06.03

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.06.03

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Holds steady near 0.6030; moves little after Chinese PMI

The NZD/USD pair trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, though it remains below the 0.6050 level through the Asian session on Thursday amid a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick.
New
update2025.06.05 13:56

USD/MXN Price Forecast: Finds resistance around 19.20 ahead of nine-day EMA

USD/MXN inches higher after registering losses in the previous session, trading around 19.20 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The daily chart's technical analysis suggests a prevailing bearish bias, with the pair consolidating within a descending channel pattern.
New
update2025.06.05 13:41

India Gold price today: Gold falls, according to FXStreet data

Gold prices fell in India on Thursday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
New
update2025.06.05 13:35

FX option expiries for Jun 5 NY cut

FX option expiries for Jun 5 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time vi a DTCC can be found below.
New
update2025.06.05 13:35

Gold price struggles to lure buyers; remains below multi-week high touched on Tuesday

Gold price (XAU/USD) edges lower following an Asian session uptick to the $3,384 area amid a slight US Dollar (USD) bounce, though the near-term bias seems tilted firmly in favor of bullish traders.
New
update2025.06.05 13:31

USD/CAD Price Forecast: More downside towards 1.3600 looks likely

The USD/CAD pair appears vulnerable near an over eight-month low, slightly above 1.3650 during Asian trading hours on Thursday. The Loonie pair stays under pressure as the US Dollar (USD) remains on backfoot amid renewed United States (US) stagflation risks and trade uncertainty.
New
update2025.06.05 13:22

EUR/USD trades cautiously around 1.1400 ahead of ECB's interest rate policy

The EUR/USD pair trades with caution, slightly above the key level of 1.1400 during Asian trading hours on Thursday. The major currency pair is expected to remain sideways, with investors awaiting the European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate decision announcement at 12:15 GMT.
New
update2025.06.05 12:19

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD maintains position around $34.50 due to safe-haven demand

Silver price (XAG/USD) edges higher after registering losses in the previous two successive sessions, trading around $34.50 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Thursday.
New
update2025.06.05 12:11

USD/INR flat lines amid US Dollar demand, equity outflow

The Indian Rupee (INR) holds steady on Thursday. The renewed US Dollar (USD) demand from foreign banks and oil companies could exert some selling pressure on the Indian currency.
New
update2025.06.05 11:47

Japanese Yen bulls have the upper hand amid hawkish BoJ expectations

The Japanese Yen (JPY) edges lower against a recovering US Dollar (USD) during the Asian session on Thursday and stalls the previous day's goodish rebound from the weekly low.
New
update2025.06.05 11:43

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel