Select Language

EUR/USD rebounds to near 1.1200 ahead of UoM Consumer Sentiment Index release

Breaking news

EUR/USD rebounds to near 1.1200 ahead of UoM Consumer Sentiment Index release

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.05.16 13:24
EUR/USD rebounds to near 1.1200 ahead of UoM Consumer Sentiment Index release

update 2025.05.16 13:24

  • The EUR/USD pair edged higher as the US Dollar weakened in response to the latest economic data.
  • US Producer Price Index declined by 0.5% MoM, while core PPI--excluding food and energy--fell by 0.4% in April.
  • The Euro's gains may be limited as ECB officials continue to hint at the possibility of additional interest rate cuts.

EUR/USD has recovered its daily losses, trading around 1.1200 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair receives support as the US Dollar (USD) weakens following the recent economic data released on Thursday.

The US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 2.4% year-over-year in April, easing from the 2.7% increase in March and falling short of the market expectation of 2.5%. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, climbed 3.1% annually, down from the previous 4%. On a monthly basis, headline PPI dropped 0.5%, while core PPI fell 0.4%.

US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending May 10 stood at 229,000, unchanged from the revised figure for the previous week, and in line with expectations, according to the US Department of Labor (DOL). Continuing Jobless Claims rose by 9,000 to reach 1.881 million for the week ending May 3.

Traders will likely observe the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index, set to be released on Friday. Market forecasts anticipate a rise in consumer survey results, which have dropped for four straight months, reaching a two-year low of 52.2. Investors are hopeful that consumer sentiment will show some recovery, potentially boosting the index back to 53.4.

The Euro (EUR) may come under pressure as European Central Bank (ECB) officials continue to signal room for further interest rate cuts amid weakening inflationary trends. ECB policymaker and Bank of France Governor François Villeroy de Galhau commented that protectionist measures announced by the US administration are likely to "restart inflation in its economy, not in Europe," potentially supporting a rate cut as early as this summer.

Meanwhile, Eurozone GDP growth for Q1 was revised slightly lower to 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, down from the initial estimate and prior reading of 0.4%. On an annual basis, GDP grew by 1.2%, in line with expectations. Notably, Employment Change for the January-March period surprised to the upside, rising 0.3% quarter-on-quarter versus the flash estimate and prior reading of 0.1%.

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.05.16

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.05.16

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Forex Today: US Dollar holds ground, US-China trade talks set to continue

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, June 10:
New
update2025.06.10 15:27

GBP/JPY remains weak near 195.50 after UK employment data

The GBP/JPY cross weakens to near 195.65 during the early European session on Tuesday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) remains weak against the Japanese Yen (JPY) after the UK employment data. Traders will keep an eye on the monthly UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for April, which is due on Thursday. 
New
update2025.06.10 15:11

Crude Oil price today: WTI price bearish at European opening

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price falls on Tuesday, early in the European session. WTI trades at $64.52 per barrel, down from Monday's close at $64.55.
New
update2025.06.10 15:02

UK Unemployment Rate climbs to 4.6% in the quarter to April as expected

The United Kingdom's (UK) ILO Unemployment increased to 4.6% in the three months to April after reporting 4.5% in the quarter to March, data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed on Tuesday.
New
update2025.06.10 15:01

EUR/JPY trades around 165.00 after retreating from seven-month highs

EUR/JPY pulled back from a fresh seven-month high of 165.45, trading around 165.10 during the Asian hours on Tuesday.
New
update2025.06.10 14:49

FX option expiries for Jun 10 NY cut

FX option expiries for Jun 10 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time vi a DTCC can be found below.
New
update2025.06.10 14:42

AUD/JPY jumps to near 94.50 as investors lack clarity on BoJ's monetary policy outlook

The AUD/JPY pair climbs to near 94.50 during Asian trading hours, extending its winning streak for the are fourth trading day on Tuesday.
New
update2025.06.10 14:08

EUR/GBP consolidates above 0.8400 mark, looks to UK jobs data for fresh impetus

The EUR/GBP cross ticks lower during the Asian session on Tuesday, though it lacks follow-through and remains confined in a familiar range held over the past week or so.
New
update2025.06.10 13:59

USD/CHF holds positive ground above 0.8200, eyes on US-China trade talks

The USD/CHF pair trades in positive territory around 0.8225 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The optimism over the resumption of US-China trade talks provides some support for the Greenback. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for May will be in the spotlight on Wednesday. 
New
update2025.06.10 13:52

Gold price drops to $3,300 neighborhood amid modest USD strength

Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Tuesday and drops to the $3,300 neighborhood in the last hour, closer to a one-week low touched the previous day.
New
update2025.06.10 13:36

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel