EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Rises above 162.50, nine-day EMA

• EUR/JPY is likely to encounter initial resistance around the "pullback resistance" level near 164.50.
• The 14-day RSI holding above 50 reinforces the bullish bias.
• The initial support is seen at the nine-day EMA of 162.20, followed by the 50-day EMA at 161.34.

EUR/JPY extends its gains for the third successive session, trading around 162.80 during the Asian hours on Friday. Technical analysis of the daily chart shows the currency cross consolidating within an ascending channel, reinforcing a bullish outlook.

Moreover, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds above the 50 mark, reinforcing the bullish bias. The currency cross also trades above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating solid short-term momentum and the potential for continued upside.

On the upside, the EUR/JPY cross may face initial resistance at the "pullback resistance" near the 164.50 level. If this is surpassed, the next significant obstacle is at 166.69, which marks a nine-month high last seen in October 2024. A break above this level could open the doors for the currency cross to explore the region around the upper boundary of the ascending channel near the 169.00 level.

The EUR/JPY cross could encounter initial support at the nine-day EMA around 162.20, followed by the 50-day EMA at 161.34. A break below these levels might weaken the short- and medium-term price momentum, potentially applying downward pressure to test the lower boundary of the ascending channel at 160.50. A further decline could bring the currency cross to its two-month low of 155.59, recorded on March 4, followed by 154.41, its lowest level since December 2023.

EUR/JPY: Daily Chart