Select Language

Canadian Dollar soars as markets pull away from Greenback on Friday

Breaking news

Canadian Dollar soars as markets pull away from Greenback on Friday

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.05.24 04:57
Canadian Dollar soars as markets pull away from Greenback on Friday

update 2025.05.24 04:57

  • The Canadian Dollar gained a full percent against the US Dollar.
  • The Loonie climbed to seven-month peaks against the USD as trade threats resume.
  • Canadian economic data has been thin this week, leaving CAD to follow broad-market flows.

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) caught a huge boost from market-wide Greenback weakness on Friday. The Loonie climbed over a full percent against the waffling US Dollar (USD) following a fresh batch of eerily-familiar-looking tariff threats from United States (US) President Donald Trump.

Canadian economic data has been strictly mid-tier for most of this trading week, leaving the Loonie at the mercy of broader investment sentiment. Next week will also kick off with a notably thin note: US markets will be closed for an extended weekend, and there is little of note on either side of the data docket next week until Friday's US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) inflation print.

Daily digest market movers: Canadian Dollar traders take full advantage of Greenback weakness

  • The Canadian Dollar tested into its highest bids against the US Dollar on Friday, pushing the USD/CAD pair into 1.3720.
  • US President Donald Trump wants to tariff individual tech companies that don't pivot their entire business model to producing their goods in the US, despite their entire production cycle being built around profit margins from importing goods from countries with lower wages.
  • President Trump also returned to 'recommending' an across-the-board 50% tariff on goods imported from the European Union (EU) in a repeat of identical tariff threats that Trump had already backed down from in the first quarter.
  • US markets will be shuttered on Monday for the Memorial Day long weekend, crimping market flows early next week.
  • US PCE inflation will be the key print next week, but major inflation metrics are still missing possible fallout from tariffs.

Canadian Dollar price forecast

The Canadian Dollar is now testing into seven-month highs against the US Dollar, pushing into its best bids against the Greenback since last October. The Loonie is rushing to fill the void left by weakening US Dollar pressure, sending USD/CAD down toward the 1.3700 handle.

USD/CAD has declined for five consecutive trading sessions as Greenback selling picks up the pace. The pair is staring down a technical rejection of the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 1.4020, however too steep of a drop too quickly has snapped technical oscillators into oversold territory, implying a bounce could be on the cards.

USD/CAD daily chart


Canadian Dollar FAQs

The key factors driving the Canadian Dollar (CAD) are the level of interest rates set by the Bank of Canada (BoC), the price of Oil, Canada's largest export, the health of its economy, inflation and the Trade Balance, which is the difference between the value of Canada's exports versus its imports. Other factors include market sentiment - whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) - with risk-on being CAD-positive. As its largest trading partner, the health of the US economy is also a key factor influencing the Canadian Dollar.

The Bank of Canada (BoC) has a significant influence on the Canadian Dollar by setting the level of interest rates that banks can lend to one another. This influences the level of interest rates for everyone. The main goal of the BoC is to maintain inflation at 1-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively higher interest rates tend to be positive for the CAD. The Bank of Canada can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former CAD-negative and the latter CAD-positive.

The price of Oil is a key factor impacting the value of the Canadian Dollar. Petroleum is Canada's biggest export, so Oil price tends to have an immediate impact on the CAD value. Generally, if Oil price rises CAD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Oil falls. Higher Oil prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance, which is also supportive of the CAD.

While inflation had always traditionally been thought of as a negative factor for a currency since it lowers the value of money, the opposite has actually been the case in modern times with the relaxation of cross-border capital controls. Higher inflation tends to lead central banks to put up interest rates which attracts more capital inflows from global investors seeking a lucrative place to keep their money. This increases demand for the local currency, which in Canada's case is the Canadian Dollar.

Macroeconomic data releases gauge the health of the economy and can have an impact on the Canadian Dollar. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the CAD. A strong economy is good for the Canadian Dollar. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the Bank of Canada to put up interest rates, leading to a stronger currency. If economic data is weak, however, the CAD is likely to fall.


Date

Created

 : 2025.05.24

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.05.24

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Sinks to a two-week low near 0'.8200 on safe-haven demand,

USD/CHF continues to weaken as the downtrend extends past 0.8250 as the pair losses almost 1%. Investors seeking safety bought the Swiss Franc after US President Donald Trump threatened to enact tariffs of 50% on Europe and 25% on Apple's iPhone manufactured overseas.
New
update2025.05.24 05:42

US yields slide as Trump tariff threats rattle markets, fuel 'Sell America' trend

US Treasury yields fall across the whole curve following Trump's threats to impose tariffs on Apple's iPhones not manufactured in the US and duties on European imports. At the time of writing, the US 10-year Treasury note yield is down two basis points at 4.509%.
New
update2025.05.24 05:22

Canadian Dollar soars as markets pull away from Greenback on Friday

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) caught a huge boost from market-wide Greenback weakness on Friday. The Loonie climbed over a full percent against the waffling US Dollar (USD) following a fresh batch of eerily-familiar-looking tariff threats from United States (US) President Donald Trump.
New
update2025.05.24 04:56

NZD/USD surges toward 0.6000 amid resilient Retail Sales figures and USD weakness

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has strengthened against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, buoyed by positive Retail Sales data and a weaker Greenback.
New
update2025.05.24 04:44

EUR/USD rebounds back above 1.1300 after Trump tariffs shock sparks volatility

EUR/USD recovered during the mid-North American session on Friday after diving below 1.1300 after US President Donald Trump rattled the markets by threatening to impose 50% tariffs on the European Union (EU). At the time of writing, the pair recovered and climbed to around 1.1350
New
update2025.05.24 04:36

US Dollar Index dives to two-week low on Trump's tariff threats and fiscal jitters

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the US Dollar (USD) against a basket of six major currencies, slumps sharply on Friday, down over 1.8% for the week after posting a modest gain on Thursday to trade around 99.10 near a two-week low, ahead of the weekend. 
New
update2025.05.24 04:28

President Trump adds Samsung to his wishlist of tariffs targeting individual companies

During statements made to the press during his weekly Executive Order signing, United States (US) President Donald Trump added further tariff commentary, though not necessarily clarity, to his social media posts earlier on Friday.
New
update2025.05.24 04:05

WTI Crude Oil trades above $61.00 with prices consolidating in a tight range

Crude oil prices have rebounded on Friday, allowing prices to erase Thursday's losses.
New
update2025.05.24 03:42

Dow Jones Industrial Average declines on Friday as fresh tariff threats emerge

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) saw stiff losses during the Friday market session The major equity index declined 780 points top-to-bottom and tapped 41,200 before a slow crawl back to the 41,750 region.
New
update2025.05.24 03:40

GBP/USD surges past 1.3500 to a three-year high on strong UK Retail Sales, weak US Dollar

The British Pound (GBP) rises sharply against the US Dollar (USD) to its highest level in three years on Friday.
New
update2025.05.24 03:12

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel