Created
: 2025.04.21
- English
- English
- What's Myforex
- Share
- Use tools
- Get information
- What's New
- Help center
- About us
- Customer support
- Terms and policies
-
-
PortfolioShare your portfolio and performance in real time -
Events & contestsEvents and contests held by retail brokers around the world
-
-
Real-time spread comparisonCompare spreads of major retail brokers in real time -
Volatility analysisVisualize volatility as a measure of daily market activity -
Swap point comparisonCompare buy and sell swap values for each broker by symbol -
Market rates & chartsCheck prices for all instruments offered by each broker -
IndicatorsProviding in-house developed indicators for MT4/MT5 -
Trading calculatorsCalculation tools for each broker to help you trade
-
-
World FX newsLatest news on forex and cryptocurrencies from around the world -
Broker informationTrading information of retail brokers worldwide -
MetaTrader4/5 user guideUser guide collection for the latest MetaTrader4/5 -
Economic calendarRelease calendar for indicators from official sources of major economies
AUD/USD edges higher above 0.6350 ahead of PBoC rate decision
World FX news
Breaking news
AUD/USD edges higher above 0.6350 ahead of PBoC rate decision
New
2025.04.21 08:10
2025.04.21 08:10
2025.04.21 08:10
- AUD/USD gains traction to near 0.6380 in Monday's early Asian session.
- Trump exempted key technology products from his new reciprocal tariffs, boosting the Aussie.
- Traders brace for the PBoC interest rate decision later on Monday, with no change in rate expected.
The AUD/USD pair trades in positive territory around 0.6380 during the Asian session on Monday, bolstered by the weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders await the developments surrounding the United States and China trade discussions, while tensions between the two largest economies are intensifying.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) edges higher against the Greenback after US President Donald Trump announced exemptions for key technology products from the newly proposed "reciprocal" tariffs. These exemptions, which include smartphones, laptops, semiconductors, solar cells, and flat-panel displays, mostly benefit products manufactured in China, Australia's biggest trade partner and a major buyer of its commodity exports.
On the other hand, uncertainty lingers around the timing of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) next rate cut, as trade tariff risks dampen the economic outlook. Markets are currently pricing in a 25 basis points (bps) cut in May and around 120 bps of total easing over the year. The dovish bets of the RBA could drag the Aussie lower against the USD in the near term.
Later on Monday, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) is widely expected to leave its benchmark lending rates unchanged at the monthly fixing, a Reuters survey showed, but markets are wagering on more stimulus being rolled out soon in the face of an escalating US-China trade war.
Australian Dollar FAQs
One of the most significant factors for the Australian Dollar (AUD) is the level of interest rates set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Because Australia is a resource-rich country another key driver is the price of its biggest export, Iron Ore. The health of the Chinese economy, its largest trading partner, is a factor, as well as inflation in Australia, its growth rate and Trade Balance. Market sentiment - whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) - is also a factor, with risk-on positive for AUD.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) influences the Australian Dollar (AUD) by setting the level of interest rates that Australian banks can lend to each other. This influences the level of interest rates in the economy as a whole. The main goal of the RBA is to maintain a stable inflation rate of 2-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively high interest rates compared to other major central banks support the AUD, and the opposite for relatively low. The RBA can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former AUD-negative and the latter AUD-positive.
China is Australia's largest trading partner so the health of the Chinese economy is a major influence on the value of the Australian Dollar (AUD). When the Chinese economy is doing well it purchases more raw materials, goods and services from Australia, lifting demand for the AUD, and pushing up its value. The opposite is the case when the Chinese economy is not growing as fast as expected. Positive or negative surprises in Chinese growth data, therefore, often have a direct impact on the Australian Dollar and its pairs.
Iron Ore is Australia's largest export, accounting for $118 billion a year according to data from 2021, with China as its primary destination. The price of Iron Ore, therefore, can be a driver of the Australian Dollar. Generally, if the price of Iron Ore rises, AUD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Iron Ore falls. Higher Iron Ore prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance for Australia, which is also positive of the AUD.
The Trade Balance, which is the difference between what a country earns from its exports versus what it pays for its imports, is another factor that can influence the value of the Australian Dollar. If Australia produces highly sought after exports, then its currency will gain in value purely from the surplus demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase its exports versus what it spends to purchase imports. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens the AUD, with the opposite effect if the Trade Balance is negative.
Last updated
: 2025.04.21
Related articles
EU mulls tweaking methane rules for US gas to help trade talks - Reuters
38 minutes agoEUR/JPY gathers strength above 162.00 amid trade-related uncertainty
47 minutes agoGBP/USD Price Forecast: Rises toward 1.3400 barrier near seven-month highs
55 minutes agoUSD/CHF breaks below 0.8100 near 14-year lows due to rising US economic concerns
2025.04.21 12:49FX option expiries for Apr 21 NY cut
2025.04.21 12:48USD/CAD falls to near 1.3800, downside seems limited due to weaker Oil prices
2025.04.21 12:11
FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.
Was this article helpful?
We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.
please contact us at [email protected].
Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.
Most viewed
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD bulls might await move beyond $33.00 before placing fresh bets
Silver (XAG/USD) attracts some dip-buyers at the start of a new week and touches an intraday high, around the $32.80 region during the Asian session.
New
2025.04.21 14:03EU mulls tweaking methane rules for US gas to help trade talks - Reuters
Citing three sources familiar with the matter, Reuters reported on Monday that the European Union (EU) is contemplating options to alter its methane emissions rules, making it easier for the United States (US) to comply with its gas exports.
New
2025.04.21 13:54EUR/JPY gathers strength above 162.00 amid trade-related uncertainty
The EUR/JPY cross trades in positive territory for the fourth consecutive day near 162.20 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The Euro (EUR) strengthens against the Japanese Yen (JPY) amid encouraging signals of trade talks between the US and the European Union.
New
2025.04.21 13:45Gold price continues scaling new record highs amid trade jitters, bearish USD
Gold price (XAU/USD) regains strong positive traction following Friday's modest downtick and climbs to a fresh all-time peak, closer to the $3,400 mark at the start of a new week.
New
2025.04.21 13:39GBP/USD Price Forecast: Rises toward 1.3400 barrier near seven-month highs
The GBP/USD pair continues its winning streak that began on April 8, trading around 1.3370 during the Asian hours on Monday. Daily chart technical analysis points to a continued bullish trend, with the pair advancing within an ascending channel pattern.
New
2025.04.21 13:37USD/CHF breaks below 0.8100 near 14-year lows due to rising US economic concerns
The USD/CHF pair dropped to 0.8069 during Monday's Asian session, marking its lowest level since September 2011, and is trading around 0.8090. The US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure, weighed down by growing fears of economic fallout from the recently imposed US tariffs.
New
2025.04.21 12:49FX option expiries for Apr 21 NY cut
FX option expiries for Apr 21 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time via DTCC can be found below.
New
2025.04.21 12:48USD/CAD falls to near 1.3800, downside seems limited due to weaker Oil prices
USD/CAD depreciates after registering gains in the previous session, trading around a six-month low at 1.3802 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair faces headwinds due to the weaker US Dollar (USD), remaining under pressure due to mounting concerns over the US economic fallout from US tariffs.
New
2025.04.21 12:11WTI trades with intraday losses below $63.00 amid progress in US-Iran nuclear talks
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices kick off the new week on a weaker note and for now, seems to have snapped a two-day winning streak to a near two-week high - levels just above the $64.00 mark touched on Friday.
New
2025.04.21 12:06Breaking: EUR/USD rallies hard to reclaim 1.1500 for first time since November 2021
EUR/USD rallies over 1% in Asian trading on Monday as the relentless selling interest in the US Dollar (USD) paves the way for the major to clear the 1.1500 threshold for the first time since November 2021.
New
2025.04.21 11:53Disclaimer:
All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.
The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.
Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy
