Select Language

USD/CAD posts modest gains above 1.4300, eyes on US PCE release

Breaking news

USD/CAD posts modest gains above 1.4300, eyes on US PCE release

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.03.28 08:07
USD/CAD posts modest gains above 1.4300, eyes on US PCE release

update 2025.03.28 08:07

  • USD/CAD trades with mild gains around 1.4310 in Thursday's late American session. 
  • Trump placed a 25% tariff on imported cars and light trucks, which will take effect on April 2. 
  • US GDP grew at a 2.4% annualized rate in the October-to-December period.

The USD/CAD pair posts modest gains near 1.4310 during the late American session on Thursday. The Canadian Dollar (CAD) weakens after US President Donald Trump announced auto trade levies, widening the global trade war. Investors await the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), which is due later on Friday. 

Trump on Wednesday signed a proclamation to implement a 25% tariff on auto imports and pledged harsher punishment on the EU and Canada if they join forces against the US. This development undermines the Loonie and acts as a tailwind for the pair as Canada sends about 75% of its exports to the United States, including oil and autos. Trump's aggressive trade measures look certain to worsen relations with major trading partners, even before his planned so-called reciprocal tariffs on April 2.

The US economy expanded at an annual 2.4% pace in the final three months of 2024, supported by a year-end surge in consumer spending, the third release of the figures from the Bureau of Economic Analysis showed Thursday. This figure came in slightly better than the previous estimate of fourth-quarter growth. However, the outlook is cloudier as Trump's trade policies could push up inflation and hurt growth. This, in turn, might exert some selling pressure on the Greenback against the CAD. 

Canadian Dollar FAQs

The key factors driving the Canadian Dollar (CAD) are the level of interest rates set by the Bank of Canada (BoC), the price of Oil, Canada's largest export, the health of its economy, inflation and the Trade Balance, which is the difference between the value of Canada's exports versus its imports. Other factors include market sentiment - whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) - with risk-on being CAD-positive. As its largest trading partner, the health of the US economy is also a key factor influencing the Canadian Dollar.

The Bank of Canada (BoC) has a significant influence on the Canadian Dollar by setting the level of interest rates that banks can lend to one another. This influences the level of interest rates for everyone. The main goal of the BoC is to maintain inflation at 1-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively higher interest rates tend to be positive for the CAD. The Bank of Canada can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former CAD-negative and the latter CAD-positive.

The price of Oil is a key factor impacting the value of the Canadian Dollar. Petroleum is Canada's biggest export, so Oil price tends to have an immediate impact on the CAD value. Generally, if Oil price rises CAD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Oil falls. Higher Oil prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance, which is also supportive of the CAD.

While inflation had always traditionally been thought of as a negative factor for a currency since it lowers the value of money, the opposite has actually been the case in modern times with the relaxation of cross-border capital controls. Higher inflation tends to lead central banks to put up interest rates which attracts more capital inflows from global investors seeking a lucrative place to keep their money. This increases demand for the local currency, which in Canada's case is the Canadian Dollar.

Macroeconomic data releases gauge the health of the economy and can have an impact on the Canadian Dollar. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the CAD. A strong economy is good for the Canadian Dollar. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the Bank of Canada to put up interest rates, leading to a stronger currency. If economic data is weak, however, the CAD is likely to fall.

 


Date

Created

 : 2025.03.28

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.03.28

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD rises to near record high below $3,100 amid global uncertainty

The Gold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $3,090 during the early Asian session on Monday.
New
update2025.03.31 09:18

US President Donald Trump weighs broader, higher tariffs - WSJ

US President Donald Trump's administration is hurrying to determine the specifics of its new tariff agenda ahead of its self-imposed deadline of Wednesday, considering possibilities after promising to remake the American economy with a slew of new levies, the WSJ citing unnamed sources.
New
update2025.03.31 08:50

US President Donald Trump threatens tariffs on Russian oil if Moscow blocks Ukraine deal

US President Donald Trump said on Sunday that he was "pissed off" at Russian President Vladimir Putin and would impose secondary tariffs of 25% to 50% on buyers of Russian oil if he feels Moscow is blocking his efforts to end the war in Ukraine.
New
update2025.03.31 08:30

AUD/USD edges lower below 0.6300 on global trade concerns

The AUD/USD pair trades in negative territory near 0.6280 during the early Asian session on Monday.
New
update2025.03.31 08:12

China to inject $69 billion into four big banks to strengthen the financial sector

China's finance ministry will inject 500 billion yuan ($69 billion) into four of the nation's largest state banks, following through on Beijing's earlier effort to strengthen the financial sector, per Bloomberg.
New
update2025.03.31 07:38

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Drops toward 94.20 area as bearish pressure mounts

The AUD/JPY pair extended its decline on Friday, hovering near the 94.30 zone after the European session and slipping closer to the lower end of its intraday range.
update2025.03.29 06:39

Australian Dollar stuck near 0.6300 as PCE data fails to shift sentiment

The Australian Dollar (AUD) remains directionless during Friday's American session, with AUD/USD hovering around the 0.6300 zone.
update2025.03.29 05:57

Canadian Dollar roils as Trump reiterates tariff threats

The Canadian Dollar was dragged in both directions on Friday, rising and then falling as market flows clash with fresh threats of tariffs on Canada from US President Donald Trump.
update2025.03.29 05:22

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD pulls back from 5-month peak, bears eye $34

Silver price hits a five-month high but retreats toward the $34 figure late on Friday, as traders brace for the weekend, eyeing a busy economic schedule in the United States (US).
update2025.03.29 05:19

Gold price hits new record high near $3,090 as Fed cut bets defy trade war fears

Gold price rallied sharply on Friday, hitting a new record high of $3,086 amid uncertainty over US trade policy, alongside an uptick in the Federal Reserve's (Fed) preferred inflation gauge.
update2025.03.29 05:04

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel