Select Language

GBP/USD trades with positive bias around 1.2930 amid modest USD weakness

Breaking news

GBP/USD trades with positive bias around 1.2930 amid modest USD weakness

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.03.24 09:51
GBP/USD trades with positive bias around 1.2930 amid modest USD weakness

update 2025.03.24 09:51

  • GBP/USD gains some positive traction on Monday amid the emergence of fresh USD selling.
  • The divergent Fed-BoE outlook and the recent breakout above the 200-day SMA favor bulls. 
  • Traders look to flash UK/US PMIs for some impetus ahead of BoE Governor Bailey's speech.

The GBP/USD pair continues to show some resilience below the 1.2900 round-figure mark and attracts some dip-buyers during the Asian session on Monday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.2930 region, up nearly 0.10% for the day, and for now, seems to have snapped a two-day losing streak to a one-and-half-week low touched on Friday. 

The US Dollar (USD) kicks off the new week on a weaker note and stalls a three-day-old recovery move from a multi-month low, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair. Despite the fact that the Federal Reserve (Fed) gave a bump higher to its inflation projection, investors seem convinced that a tariff-driven US economic slowdown might force the central bank to resume its rate-cutting cycle soon. This, along with a positive tone around the US equity futures, seems to undermine the safe-haven Greenback. 

The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, draws support from the Bank of England's (BoE) relatively hawkish stance. In fact, the UK central bank warned against assumptions for cuts and also increased its forecast for a peak in inflation this year. This suggests that the BoE will lower borrowing costs more slowly than other central banks, including the Fed, which lends additional support to the GBP/USD pair. Moreover, the recent breakout above the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) for the first time since November favors bullish traders. 

Moving ahead, traders now look forward to the release of flash PMIs from the UK and the US for some meaningful impetus. Apart from this, speeches from influential FOMC members would drive the USD demand, which, along with BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's comments, should produce short-term trading opportunities around the GBP/USD pair. Nevertheless, spot prices remain within the striking distance of the highest level since November touched last week and the fundamental backdrop supports prospects for additional gains.

Economic Indicator

S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI

The Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis by the Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply and S&P Global, is a leading indicator gauging private-business activity in UK for both the manufacturing and services sectors. The data is derived from surveys to senior executives. Each response is weighted according to the size of the company and its contribution to total manufacturing or services output accounted for by the sub-sector to which that company belongs. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and can anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, employment and inflation.The index varies between 0 and 100, with levels of 50.0 signaling no change over the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the UK private economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the Pound Sterling (GBP). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for GBP.

Read more.

Next release: Mon Mar 24, 2025 09:30 (Prel)

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: -

Previous: 50.5

Source: S&P Global

 


Date

Created

 : 2025.03.24

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.03.24

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

China's Caixin Services PMI rises to 51.9 in March vs. 51.6 expected

China's Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 51.9 in March from 51.4 in February, the latest data published by Caixin showed Thursday.
New
update2025.04.03 10:46

RBA FSR: US tariffs could have a chilling effect on business investment and consumer spending

In its Financial Stability Review (FSR) published on Thursday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) warned that the US "tariffs could have a chilling effect on business investment and consumer spending."
New
update2025.04.03 10:31

US Treasury Sec. Bessent warns other countries not to retaliate against US tariffs

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent late Wednesday warned trading partners that any retaliation to the barrage of new tariffs from the White House would only result in further escalation.
New
update2025.04.03 10:29

PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1889 vs. 7.1793 previous

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead on Thursday at 7.1889 as compared to the previous day's fix of 7.1793 and 7.2532 Reuters estimate.
New
update2025.04.03 10:15

Australia's Trade Surplus decreases to 2,968M MoM in February vs. 5,600M expected

Australia's trade surplus decreased to 2,968M MoM in February versus 5,600M expected and 5,156M (revised from 5,620M) in the previous reading, according to the latest foreign trade data published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Thursday.
New
update2025.04.03 09:45

NZD/USD remains under selling pressure below 0.5750 on new Trump tariffs

The NZD/USD pair faces some selling pressure to near 0.5730 during the early Asian session on Thursday.
New
update2025.04.03 09:13

EUR/USD pares post-tariff gains, but maintains bullish stance

On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair saw a bullish surge after the Trump administration announced tariffs that turned out to be less severe than many investors had anticipated, given President Donald Trump's barrage of tariff threats over the last 72 days.
New
update2025.04.03 08:20

USD/CAD attracts some buyers above 1.4250 as Trump unveils tariff plans

The USD/CAD pair attracts some buyers to near 1.4275, snapping the two-day losing streak during the late American session on Thursday.
New
update2025.04.03 08:14

GBP/USD rises to test new highs, absorbs Trump tariffs in stride

GBP/USD stepped into fresh bids at six-month highs on Wednesday after the Trump administration unveiled tariffs that overall came in better than many investors had feared based on President Donald Trump's cavalcade of tariff threats since taking up residence in the White House 72 days ago.
New
update2025.04.03 07:59

Canada PM Carney: We will impose counter measures on the United States

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said on Wednesday that the country will fight US President Donald Trump's tariffs with countermeasures, per Reuters.
New
update2025.04.03 07:54

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel