Select Language

USD/CAD flat lines near 1.4050 amid firmer US Dollar, upbeat US data

Breaking news

USD/CAD flat lines near 1.4050 amid firmer US Dollar, upbeat US data

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.12.03 08:17
USD/CAD flat lines near 1.4050 amid firmer US Dollar, upbeat US data

update 2024.12.03 08:17

  • USD/CAD holds steady around 1.4045 in Tuesday's early Asian session.
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 48.4 in November vs. 46.5 prior.
  • Canadian Manufacturing PMI climbed to a 21-month high in November.

The USD/CAD pair trades flat near 1.4045 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. However, Trump's threats of further tariffs and renewed US Dollar (USD) demand could provide some support to the pair. The US JOLTs Job Openings for October are due later on Tuesday. The Federal Reserve's (Fed) Adriana Kugler and Austan Goolsbee are scheduled to speak.

Data released Monday showed that the US ISM Manufacturing PMI improved to 48.4 in November from 46.5 in October. This reading came in better than the market expectation of 47.5. The Greenback edges higher in an immediate reaction to the upbeat US economic data.

Furthermore, the cautious stance of the US Fed might contribute to the USD's upside. Fed officials on Mondays made it clear they expect the central bank to continue lowering interest rates over the next year but stopped short of saying they are committed to making the next cut in the December meeting. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, money markets have priced in nearly a 76.0% chance that the Fed will cut rates by a quarter point in December, while there is a 24.0% probability that the policy rate will remain unchanged.

On the Loonie front, the Canadian S&P Global Manufacturing PMI came in stronger than expected in November, rising to 52.0 from 51.1 in October, its highest level since February 2023. This figure was above the market consensus of 50.8. However, US President-elect Donald Trump's tariff threats could exert some selling pressure on the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as Trump threatened to impose a 25% tariff on all Canadian imports.

Canadian Dollar FAQs

The key factors driving the Canadian Dollar (CAD) are the level of interest rates set by the Bank of Canada (BoC), the price of Oil, Canada's largest export, the health of its economy, inflation and the Trade Balance, which is the difference between the value of Canada's exports versus its imports. Other factors include market sentiment - whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) - with risk-on being CAD-positive. As its largest trading partner, the health of the US economy is also a key factor influencing the Canadian Dollar.

The Bank of Canada (BoC) has a significant influence on the Canadian Dollar by setting the level of interest rates that banks can lend to one another. This influences the level of interest rates for everyone. The main goal of the BoC is to maintain inflation at 1-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively higher interest rates tend to be positive for the CAD. The Bank of Canada can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former CAD-negative and the latter CAD-positive.

The price of Oil is a key factor impacting the value of the Canadian Dollar. Petroleum is Canada's biggest export, so Oil price tends to have an immediate impact on the CAD value. Generally, if Oil price rises CAD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Oil falls. Higher Oil prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance, which is also supportive of the CAD.

While inflation had always traditionally been thought of as a negative factor for a currency since it lowers the value of money, the opposite has actually been the case in modern times with the relaxation of cross-border capital controls. Higher inflation tends to lead central banks to put up interest rates which attracts more capital inflows from global investors seeking a lucrative place to keep their money. This increases demand for the local currency, which in Canada's case is the Canadian Dollar.

Macroeconomic data releases gauge the health of the economy and can have an impact on the Canadian Dollar. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the CAD. A strong economy is good for the Canadian Dollar. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the Bank of Canada to put up interest rates, leading to a stronger currency. If economic data is weak, however, the CAD is likely to fall.



 

 

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.12.03

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.12.03

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Forex Today: Extra US labour data and Powell to drive the mood

A corrective knee-jerk saw the Greenback relinquish part of Monday's strong advance amid mixed US yields and despite a positive surprise from the US labour market ahead of further critical data releases.
New
update2024.12.04 04:39

Fed's Kugler: Fed goals are roughly in-balance

Federal Reserve (Fed) Board of Governors member Adrianna Kugler hit the wires on Tuesday, reiterating her position that the Fed's progress on inflation is still underway, noting that the Fed isn't going to concern itself from possible policy changes under incoming President Donald Trump in the months to come.
New
update2024.12.04 04:00

Fed's Daly: Economy is in a really good place

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly struck familiar chords on Tuesday, reiterating the stable outlook speechnotes that have become the bread and butter of Fed policymakers as of late.
New
update2024.12.04 03:56

US Dollar loses ground following JOLTS release, pressured by profit-taking

In Tuesday's session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened despite a rise in Job Openings & Labor Turnover (JOLTs) figures from October.
New
update2024.12.04 03:18

Mexican Peso rallies against US Dollar amid upbeat jobs data

The Mexican Peso recovers some ground on Tuesday and climbs against the US Dollar, sponsored by positive jobs data and overall weakness in the American currency.
New
update2024.12.04 03:03

South Korean Won plunges to fresh 2-year lows vs the US Dollar

The South Korean Won (SKW) fell against the US Dollar (USD), resulting in the USD/SKW pair hitting a two-year high of 1,444.93.
New
update2024.12.04 02:42

Dow Jones Industrial Average cools off as record rally takes a pause

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) pared back recent gains again on Tuesday, declining 200 points despite a better-than-expected print in JOLTS Job Openings in October.
New
update2024.12.04 02:14

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Pair stabilizes around 1.0500

The EUR/USD pair started the week with a sharp decline, falling over 1% and breaking decisively below the psychological 1.0500 mark, but managed to stabilize around this level on Tuesday.
New
update2024.12.04 00:59

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Stalls below 1.2700 amid dismal UK retail sales

The Pound Sterling climbed modestly against the US Dollar on Tuesday, yet it failed to decisively clear the 1.2700 figure for the third consecutive trading day.
New
update2024.12.04 00:02

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Trades higher within range, approaches open gap

AUD/USD is trading within a range encompassed by the ceiling at around 0.6540 (green line) and floor at about 0.6440 (red line).
New
update2024.12.03 23:51

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel