Select Language

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds above $2,700 on softer US Dollar, geopolitical risks

Breaking news

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds above $2,700 on softer US Dollar, geopolitical risks

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.11.25 09:33
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds above $2,700 on softer US Dollar, geopolitical risks

update 2024.11.25 09:33

  • Gold price attracts some buyers to near $2,720 in Monday's early Asian session.
  • Heightened geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine lift the Gold price. 
  • The cautious stance from the Fed might cap the upside for Gold. 

The Gold price (XAU/USD) jumps to around $2,720 during the early Asian session on Monday. The sell-off in the US Dollar (USD) provides some support to the USD-denominated Gold price. Additionally, rising geopolitical tensions continue to underpin safe-haven assets like yellow metal. 

Investors will closely monitor the developments surrounding the Russia-Ukraine conflicts. Last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin lowered the threshold for a nuclear strike in response to a broader range of conventional attacks, days after reports said Washington DC, had allowed Ukraine to use US-made weapons to strike deep into Russian territory. This, in turn, might boost the safe-haven flows, benefiting the precious metal price. 

"It's really one main geopolitical factor that's at play here in the gold market over the course of the last several days - the increased tensions between Ukraine and Russia is probably most notable," noted David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures.

On the other hand, several Federal Reserve (Fed) officials remain cautious about rate reductions, which might cap the Gold's upside. The market is adjusting its expectations for the Fed's cuts next year as inflation is becoming a bigger concern. Higher rates reduce the appeal of gold. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, futures traders are now pricing in 50.9% odds that the Fed will cut rates by a quarter point, down from around 69.5% a month ago. 

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human's history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn't rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country's solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.



 


Date

Created

 : 2024.11.25

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.11.25

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/USD: Near term retracement - OCBC

The Euro (EUR) fell to 2-year low last Fri after PMIs slumped in Germany and France.
New
update2024.11.25 19:16

GBP/USD: GBP can rise to 1.2625- UOB Group

The Pound Sterling (GBP) could rise to 1.2625; the strong resistance at 1.2650 is unlikely to come into view.
New
update2024.11.25 18:59

DXY: Risk of technical retracement lower - OCBC

The US Dollar (USD) started the week on a softer footing as markets reacted to Trump's pick for Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent.
New
update2024.11.25 18:54

EUR/USD struggles to hold onto recovery as US Dollar bounces back

EUR/USD faces selling pressure near the psychological resistance of 1.0500 in Monday's European session after a solid opening that lost some steam as the US Dollar (USD) attempts to rebound.
New
update2024.11.25 18:50

EUR/USD: EUR can edge higher to 1.0520 - UOB Group

The Euro (EUR) could edge higher to 1.0520; the strong resistance at 1.0560 is unlikely to come under threat.
New
update2024.11.25 18:50

Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Monday, according to FXStreet data.
New
update2024.11.25 18:30

Mexican Peso recovers on Bessent appointment

The Mexican Peso (MXN) trades higher in its key pairs on Monday, with the MXN doing particularly well against the US Dollar (USD) due to the perception that with the appointment of the new US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant, US government spending will be more restrained and tariffs will primarily target China.
New
update2024.11.25 18:22

USD/CAD refreshes daily high on sliding Oil prices; remains below 1.4000 amid weaker USD

The USD/CAD pair attracts some dip-buying near the 1.3925 area, or a two-week low touched earlier this Monday and climbs to a fresh daily peak during the first half of the European session.
New
update2024.11.25 18:10

BoE's Lombardelli: I support a gradual removal of monetary policy restriction

Bank of England (BoE) Deputy Governor for Monetary Policy Clare Lombardelli said on Monday, "I support a gradual removal of monetary policy restriction." Additional quotes The UK economy has made good progress on disinflation.
New
update2024.11.25 18:10

GBP/JPY holds gains above 194.00 as traders expect BoE to reduce rates gradually

GBP/JPY remains stable after a volatile session, trading near 194.20 during European hours on Monday.
New
update2024.11.25 18:09

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel