Select Language

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD advances to near $31.50 due to safe-haven flows

Breaking news

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD advances to near $31.50 due to safe-haven flows

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.10.01 17:59
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD advances to near $31.50 due to safe-haven flows

update 2024.10.01 17:59

  • Silver price receives support from safe-haven flows amid rising Middle-East conflict.
  • Israel has announced a "limited" ground operation targeting Hezbollah positions in the southern Lebanon border region.
  • Fed Chair Powell indicated that any forthcoming rate cuts are expected to be modest, reducing the appeal of non-yielding Silver.

Silver price (XAG/USD) snaps its two-day losing streak, trading around $31.40 per troy ounce during Tuesday's European session. Silver prices receive support from safe-haven flows amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Israel has announced a "limited" ground operation targeting Hezbollah positions in the southern Lebanon border region, with troops crossing into the area, according to local news agency Al Jazeera. In addition, Israeli warplanes launched extensive airstrikes on southern Beirut after civilians were instructed to evacuate. On Monday, Israeli attacks in Lebanon resulted in the deaths of at least 95 people.

However, the prices of Silver received downward pressure following the recent remarks from the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. Powell said the central bank is not in a hurry and will lower its benchmark rate 'over time.' He added that the recent 50 basis point interest rate cut should not be seen as an indication of similarly aggressive future actions, noting that upcoming rate changes are likely to be more modest. Prolonged higher interest rates make non-yielding Silver less appealing to investors seeking more attractive alternatives.

Silver prices have been under pressure due to weaker-than-expected demand growth in China, exacerbated by data showing a decline in manufacturing activity. On Monday, China's Caixin Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 49.3 in September, indicating a contraction, down from 50.4 in August. Given China's position as one of the world's largest manufacturing hubs, the country's industrial demand for Silver is substantial, making these demand concerns particularly impactful.

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply - Silver is much more abundant than Gold - and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals - more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers' demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.


Date

Created

 : 2024.10.01

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.10.01

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

USD/JPY strives to reclaim 145.00 as traders pare Fed large rate cut bets

The USD/JPY pair gathers strength to extend its upside towards the crucial resistance of 145.00 in Tuesday's European session.
New
update2024.10.01 20:23

China's stimulus: The east wind is here - TDS

China is now accelerating its services rebalancing efforts.
New
update2024.10.01 20:20

US Dollar consolidates gains after Powell signals caution on rate cuts

The US Dollar (USD) trades broadly positive on Tuesday ahead of the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) numbers from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The positive turnaround for the Greenback took place after traders priced
New
update2024.10.01 20:09

Gold rally seems to have ended for now - Commerzbank

The Gold price rose by 13% in the past quarter, the strongest increase in eight and a half years.
New
update2024.10.01 20:00

Oil market reacts calmly to renewed escalation in the Middle East conflict - Commerzbank

Oil prices rose in response to the escalation of the Middle East conflict over the weekend, although the price increase at the beginning of the week was limited.
New
update2024.10.01 20:00

USD/CNH can continue to rebound - UOB Group

The US Dollar (USD) could continue to rebound; there does not appear to be enough momentum for it to threaten the resistance at 7.0350.
New
update2024.10.01 19:37

PLN: Inflation hype - Commerzbank

Poland's recent inflation data had been entirely dovish, and that the hawkish stance being maintained by NBP governor Adam Glapinski (and his faction within the MPC) - allegedly based on some concern about possible inflation pressure in future - had no fundamental basis, Commerzbank's FX analyst Tatha Ghose notes.
New
update2024.10.01 19:34

USD/JPY: A sustained rise above 144.50 is unlikely - UOB Group

The US Dollar (USD) could rebound further; a sustained rise above 144.50 is unlikely.
New
update2024.10.01 19:26

AUD/USD edges lower as US Dollar gains ground ahead of US key data

The AUD/USD pair exhibits a subdued performance near the crucial support of 0.6900 in Tuesday's European session.
New
update2024.10.01 19:26

SNB not yet ready to weaken the CHF - Commerzbank

The figures published yesterday morning on the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) foreign exchange market operations in the second quarter confirmed what the statements made at the last press conference had already indicated, Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.
New
update2024.10.01 19:22

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel