Select Language

GBP/USD breaches fresh 31-month high as Pound rally continues

Breaking news

GBP/USD breaches fresh 31-month high as Pound rally continues

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.09.27 02:25
GBP/USD breaches fresh 31-month high as Pound rally continues

update 2024.09.27 02:25

  • GBP/USD got pushed into another multi-year high on Thursday.
  • Broad-market Greenback weakness has bolstered Cable further.
  • The Pound Sterling rally is continuing unabated despite a lack of UK data.

GBP/USD clipped another multi-year peak on Thursday, hitting a 31-month high bid 1.3434 as Cable gets pushed into the high end by broad-market Greenback selling. Risk appetite has swung back into the high end on the back of better-than-expected US economic figures, easing investor concerns of a potential economic slowdown.

The Federal Reserve's (Fed) recent 50 bps rate trim sparked an undercurrent of concern in global markets, with some investors spooked by the possibility that the Fed's jumbo rate cut might have been in response to a looming economic slowdown with the US. Fed Chair Jerome Powell insisted last week that the Fed's double cut was not a rapid response to potential recession data, but rather a pre-emptive move to help shore up the US labor market.

US Durable Goods Orders and week-on-week Initial Jobless Claims helped to bolster the Fed head's case, with both figure printing better than expected and the "soft landing" economic rhetoric holding steady. However, Friday's Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation print will draw plenty of attention, and will be the real test of last week's Fed rate cut.

US Durable Goods Orders in August printed a flat 0.0% MoM, well below the previous month's revised 9.9%, but still beat the forecast of a 2.6% contraction. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended September 20 also beat forecasts, printing at 218K versus the expected 225K and easing down from the previous week's revised 222K.

GBP/USD price forecast

With Cable continuing to grind through multi-year highs, little relevant technical resistance lies in the way of Pound bulls. However, an extremely one-sided push into the high end has left GBP/USD price action exposed to a potential downside snap as market velocity takes hold. A buildup of short pressure at the current region could easily shoot bids back below the 1.3100 handle and into the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3076.

GBP/USD daily chart

Pound Sterling FAQs

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, aka 'Cable', which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the 'Dragon' as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).

The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of "price stability" - a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall.

Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.09.27

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.09.27

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Fed's Cook says she 'wholeheartedly' supported 50 bps rate cut

Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Lisa Cook said on Thursday that she endorsed the 50 basis points (bps) interest rate cut last week as a way to address increased "downside risks" to employment, per Reuters.
New
update2024.09.27 08:09

USD/CAD softens below 1.3500, with all eyes on US PCE data

The USD/CAD pair edges lower to near 1.3470 during the early Asian session on Friday, pressured by the weaker US Dollar (USD) broadly.
New
update2024.09.27 08:00

GBP/USD touches 31-month high, Pound rally extends

The GBP/USD currency pair reached a 31-month high of 1.3434 on Thursday, marking a significant milestone in its upward trajectory.
New
update2024.09.27 07:49

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Rallies to three-week peak, closes on 162.00

The EUR/JPY printed solid gains of over 0.40% on Thursday, extending its rally to three consecutive days.
New
update2024.09.27 07:04

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls return, pair recovers below week's highs

On Thursday, the NZD/USD pair recovered from Wednesday's losses, gaining by 0.95% and settling at 0.6330.
New
update2024.09.27 06:48

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Fails to clear 145.00, forms 'doji' pattern

The USD/JPY remains subdued after seesawing within a 110-pip range, where the pair hit a three-week high of 145.21.
New
update2024.09.27 05:16

Australian Dollar rises sharply on RBA's hawkishness, USD weakness

The AUD/USD pair surged higher on Thursday, rising by 0.90% to 0.6890.
New
update2024.09.27 04:48

Gold price soars to record high amid firm US yields

Gold hit a new all-time high of $2,685 on Thursday as the Greenback began to recover from earlier losses sustained in the Asian and European sessions.
New
update2024.09.27 04:36

Forex Today: Investors now look at US PCE amidst Fed rate cut bets

The Greenback navigated quite a bearish session on Thursday, giving away a big chunk of Wednesday's gains despite higher yields and amidst a persistently firm sentiment in the risk-associated universe.
New
update2024.09.27 03:37

US Dollar softens after mid-tier economic data

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD against a basket of six currencies, is flat after a muted market reaction to a slew of robust US economic data.
New
update2024.09.27 03:11

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel