Select Language

USD/CAD rebounds toward 1.4050 as US shutdown resolution nears

Breaking news

USD/CAD rebounds toward 1.4050 as US shutdown resolution nears

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.11.11 11:37
USD/CAD rebounds toward 1.4050 as US shutdown resolution nears

update 2025.11.11 11:37

  • USD/CAD advances as the US Dollar strengthens on optimism that the US government shutdown will soon end.
  • US President Donald Trump endorsed a bipartisan deal to end the US government shutdown.
  • The CAD may receive support from caution surrounding the BoC policy outlook.

USD/CAD gains ground after two days of losses, trading around 1.4030 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair rises as the US Dollar (USD) gains support amid progress in the US Senate toward passing a deal to reopen the government.

US President Donald Trump, on Monday, backed a bipartisan deal to end the US government shutdown, signaling a likely reopening within days. Senate Majority Leader John Thune said he expects Trump to sign the bill once Congress passes it. The US Senate advanced a government funding bill to end the shutdown, moving it closer toward passage by voting 60-40 in the first approval on extending the enhanced Affordable Care Act subsidies.

On US monetary policy, Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Stephen Miran told CNBC on Monday that inflation is easing and reaffirmed that staying on course with rate cuts is appropriate, suggesting a 50-basis-pointbps reduction in December, or at least 25 bps. Meanwhile, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem noted that inflation remains closer to 3% than the 2% target, adding that policymakers now have sufficient information to guide their decisions.

However, the Canadian Dollar (CAD) may regain its ground against its peers as upbeat domestic labor market data have bolstered expectations that the Bank of Canada (BoC) may pause its easing cycle. Canada's Unemployment Rate fell to 6.9% in October, from 7.1% prior, coming in below expectations. The Net Change in Employment increased by 66.6K individuals, against 60.4K prior, while the Participation Rate improved to 65.3%.

Canadian Dollar FAQs

The key factors driving the Canadian Dollar (CAD) are the level of interest rates set by the Bank of Canada (BoC), the price of Oil, Canada's largest export, the health of its economy, inflation and the Trade Balance, which is the difference between the value of Canada's exports versus its imports. Other factors include market sentiment - whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) - with risk-on being CAD-positive. As its largest trading partner, the health of the US economy is also a key factor influencing the Canadian Dollar.

The Bank of Canada (BoC) has a significant influence on the Canadian Dollar by setting the level of interest rates that banks can lend to one another. This influences the level of interest rates for everyone. The main goal of the BoC is to maintain inflation at 1-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively higher interest rates tend to be positive for the CAD. The Bank of Canada can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former CAD-negative and the latter CAD-positive.

The price of Oil is a key factor impacting the value of the Canadian Dollar. Petroleum is Canada's biggest export, so Oil price tends to have an immediate impact on the CAD value. Generally, if Oil price rises CAD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Oil falls. Higher Oil prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance, which is also supportive of the CAD.

While inflation had always traditionally been thought of as a negative factor for a currency since it lowers the value of money, the opposite has actually been the case in modern times with the relaxation of cross-border capital controls. Higher inflation tends to lead central banks to put up interest rates which attracts more capital inflows from global investors seeking a lucrative place to keep their money. This increases demand for the local currency, which in Canada's case is the Canadian Dollar.

Macroeconomic data releases gauge the health of the economy and can have an impact on the Canadian Dollar. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the CAD. A strong economy is good for the Canadian Dollar. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the Bank of Canada to put up interest rates, leading to a stronger currency. If economic data is weak, however, the CAD is likely to fall.


Date

Created

 : 2025.11.11

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.11.11

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Gold climbs to over two-week high as economic concerns reaffirm Fed rate cut bets

Gold (XAU/USD) is seen building on the previous day's breakout momentum above the $4,100 mark and gaining some follow-through traction for the third consecutive day on Tuesday.
New
update2025.11.11 13:02

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rises to near $51.00 due to Fed rate cut odds

Silver price (XAG/USD) gains ground for the third consecutive session, trading around $50.90 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Tuesday.
New
update2025.11.11 12:46

NZD/USD softens below 0.5650 amid hopes of US shutdown end

The NZD/USD pair loses traction near 0.5640 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) softens against the US Dollar (USD) after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) latest monetary conditions survey.
New
update2025.11.11 11:43

USD/CAD rebounds toward 1.4050 as US shutdown resolution nears

USD/CAD gains ground after two days of losses, trading around 1.4030 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair rises as the US Dollar (USD) gains support amid progress in the US Senate toward passing a deal to reopen the government.
New
update2025.11.11 11:36

US Senate passes bill to reopen federal government

The US Senate on Tuesday passed a funding bill that could end the government shutdown within days, BBC reported. The bill will head to the House of Representatives for final approval.
New
update2025.11.11 11:34

Japanese Yen weakens on BoJ rate hike uncertainty and US shutdown resolution hopes

The Japanese Yen (JPY) drifts lower for the third consecutive day on Tuesday and touches a fresh multi-month low against its American counterpart during the Asian session. On Monday, the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Summary of Opinions indicated divided views on rate hikes.
New
update2025.11.11 11:20

Australian Dollar loses ground despite stronger Westpac Consumer Confidence

The Australian Dollar (AUD) declines against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday after two days of gains. The AUD/USD pair weakens as the US Dollar (USD) receives support from growing hopes for a potential deal to end the United States (US) federal government shutdown in the coming days.
New
update2025.11.11 10:37

PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.0866 vs. 7.0856 previous

On Tuesday, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 7.0866 compared to the previous day's fix of 7.0856 and 7.1204 Reuters estimate.
New
update2025.11.11 10:15

WTI declines below $60.00 on firmer US Dollar

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $59.90 during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The WTI declines amid the stronger US Dollar (USD) and concerns about global energy demand.
New
update2025.11.11 10:11

Japan's Kiuchi: Weak Yen raises prices via increased import costs

Japan's Economics Minister Minoru Kiuchi said on Tuesday that he is aware of high inflation weighing on private consumption, adding that Weak yen raises prices via increased import costs.
New
update2025.11.11 10:03

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel