USD/CAD Price Forecast: Holds losses below 1.3950, lower rectangle boundary

• USD/CAD may find immediate support at the 50-day EMA at 1.3915.
• The 14-day Relative Strength Index has slipped below the 50 mark, signaling increasing selling pressure.
• The primary barrier lies at the nine-day EMA of 1.3979.

USD/CAD extends its losses for the third successive session, trading around 1.3930 during the early European hours on Wednesday. The short-term price momentum is weaker as the pair is falling below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved below the 50 level, suggesting a shift in momentum toward bearish territory.

The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests a potential bearish shift, as the USD/CAD pair is positioned slightly below the lower boundary of the rectangle pattern. Traders will likely follow through for bearish confirmation and avoid any bear trap.

On the downside, the immediate support lies at the 50-day EMA at 1.3915, followed by the psychological level of 1.3900. A break below this crucial support zone would indicate a bearish continuation and put downward pressure on the USD/CAD pair to navigate the region around the "throwback support" near the three-month low of 1.3721, which was recorded on August 7.

A rebound to the rectangle would continue the USD/CAD pair to walk sideways, targeting the initial barrier at the nine-day EMA of 1.3979. A break above this level would strengthen the short-term price momentum and support the pair in exploring the area around the rectangle's upper boundary, near 1.4060, followed by the six-month high of 1.4079, reached on October 14.

USD/CAD: Daily Chart