Created
: 2025.10.27












2025.10.27 18:26
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock spoke at the Australian Business Economists' Annual Dinner, in Sydney on Monday.
Monthly numbers can be volatile but unemployment rate jump was a surprise.
Unemployment could come down again next month.
The board is cautious about policy, interest rates are still a bit restrictive.
Inflation is back in the target band and unemployment rate is still pretty low so still in good condition.
We will have to decide whether a cut is needed to help the job market.
Rates might not come down as far as others.
If we end up with core inflation at 0.9% that would be a material miss (this would be 0.3% above their forecast for the Q/Q measure).
There's still a bit of tightness in the labour market.
US tariffs could potentially be deflationary for Australia.
Supply of labour not growing as fast as it was.
Labour market won't fall off a cliff.
I'm prepared to change my mind and move if we prove wrong on the labour market.
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Created
: 2025.10.27
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Last updated
: 2025.10.27
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