Select Language

EUR/USD slips toward 1.16 as Dollar strengthens on easing US-China tensions

Breaking news

EUR/USD slips toward 1.16 as Dollar strengthens on easing US-China tensions

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.10.22 07:01
EUR/USD slips toward 1.16 as Dollar strengthens on easing US-China tensions

update 2025.10.22 07:01

  • Euro drops as the DXY climbs near 99.00, on geopolitics relief.
  • Hopes of US government reopening and renewed trade dialogue lift sentiment for the Dollar.
  • ECB's Lagarde and De Guindos speeches in focus as Eurozone data flow remains subdued.

EUR/USD falls during the North American session, edges lower 0.31% as the Greenback remains bid as a sign of relief as US President Trump tempers his rhetoric on China. The pair trades at 1.1599 after reaching a high of 1.1655.

Greenback gains as Trump signals trade talks with Xi and government shutdown optimism builds

The shared currency treads water as the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck's value against a basket of six peers, is up 0.37% at 98.95 amid the lack of US economic data as the government shutdown seems poised to extend. Meanwhile, Kevin Hasset, the White House economic advisor, said that the shutdown could end "sometime this week."

The US Senate Minority Leader Schumer said that the Democrat House leader Jeffries and him reached out to Trump on Tuesday to sit down and negotiate, a possible reopening of the government.

Aside from this, the US Dollar was also boosted by news that US President Donald Trump will meet the Chinese President Xi Jinping next week, in an effort to improve trade negotiations ahead of the end of the second 90-day trade truce that will end on November 10.

The US economic docket remains absent for Wednesday and Thursday, but the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will reveal September's inflation report in the United States. In Europe, traders await speeches by the European Central Bank (ECB) Vice-President Luis De Guindos and the President Christine Lagarde.

Euro Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies this week. Euro was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD 0.54% 0.46% 0.90% 0.03% 0.00% -0.06% 0.50%
EUR -0.54% -0.08% 0.42% -0.51% -0.43% -0.68% -0.03%
GBP -0.46% 0.08% 0.26% -0.43% -0.35% -0.60% 0.03%
JPY -0.90% -0.42% -0.26% -0.89% -0.91% -1.04% -0.49%
CAD -0.03% 0.51% 0.43% 0.89% 0.02% -0.17% 0.46%
AUD -0.01% 0.43% 0.35% 0.91% -0.02% -0.25% 0.38%
NZD 0.06% 0.68% 0.60% 1.04% 0.17% 0.25% 0.63%
CHF -0.50% 0.03% -0.03% 0.49% -0.46% -0.38% -0.63%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Daily market movers: Euro on the defensive as traders wait for fresh catalysts

  • Market participants are waiting for the release of US CPI ahead of next week's Federal Reserve monetary policy decision. The US central bank is expected to cut rates 25 basis points to the 3.75% - 4% range, with traders already pricing an additional 0.25% reduction for the December meeting.
  • ECB's Chief Economist Philip Lane said that Euro Zone banks may be pressured if US Dollar funding were to dry up amid concerns over Trump's policies. Dollar funding has been on central bankers' minds since Trump announced trade tariffs.
  • Next week, the ECB is expected to hold rates unchanged, with odds standing at 98%.
  • Meanwhile, the delay of the resolution of the Russia - Ukraine's conflict, could weigh on the Euro, despite Trump's efforts to reach a deal, between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

Technical outlook: EUR/USD meanders at around 1.1600, further downside expected

EUR/USD's technical outlook has slightly improved, though the pair remains neutral to bearish as it trades below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.1654. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dipped under the neutral 50 mark last Friday, indicating strengthening downside momentum.

Key support sits at 1.1600, followed by 1.1550 and 1.1500. A decisive break below these levels would expose the August 1 cycle low near 1.1391. On the flip side, resistance is seen at 1.1650 and 1.1700, with a sustained move above the latter paving the way for 1.1800 and the July 1 high at 1.1830.

EUR/USD daily chart

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.10.22

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.10.22

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

GBP/JPY remains steady above 203.00 despite UK GDP disappointment

The Pound remains moderately bid against the Japanese Yen on Thursday, and holds previous days' gains at levels near two-week highs at the 203.50 area, unfazed by a raft of weaker-than-expected UK economic figures released earlier on the day.
New
update2025.11.13 20:15

NZD/USD: Likely to trade in a range between 0.5605 and 0.5695 - UOB Group

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a range between 0.5640 and 0.5670. In the longer run, weakness in NZD has stabilized; for the time being, it is likely to trade in a range between 0.5605 and 0.5695, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.11.13 19:51

USD/CHF drops as US Dollar weakens on government reopening, Fed outlook

USD/CHF trades lower on Thursday, hovering around 0.7950, down 0.30% at the time of writing. The pair extends its corrective move, pressured by broad weakness in the US Dollar (USD) as risk appetite improves following the reopening of the US federal government.
New
update2025.11.13 19:47

AUD/USD holds key 200-DMA support - Société Générale

AUD/USD has found support near the 200-day moving average at 0.6440/0.6410, pausing its recent decline, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
New
update2025.11.13 19:47

AUD/USD: Likely to edge higher within a higher range of 0.6490/0.6580 - UOB Group

Upward momentum is starting to build, but it is too early to determine if Australian Dollar (AUD) can reach 0.6580. In the longer run, AUD is likely to edge higher within a higher range of 0.6490/0.6580, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.11.13 19:19

USD/JPY nears intervention levels as pair breaches 155 - ING

USD/JPY continues to climb in a low-volatility, risk-on environment, briefly breaching 155.0.
New
update2025.11.13 19:16

GBP/USD: Likely to trade in a range of 1.3065/1.3185 - UOB Group

There is scope for Pound Sterling (GBP) to drop below 1.3100; the likelihood of a clear break below 1.3085 is not high. GBP is now more likely to trade in a range of 1.3065/1.3185 rather than edging higher, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.11.13 19:14

AUD rallies as strong jobs data eases RBA cut expectations - ING

Australia's labor market surprised to the upside in October. The data eases pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia to deliver near-term rate cuts, lifting the Australian Dollar (USD), which strategists see climbing toward 0.68 by mid-2026, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
New
update2025.11.13 19:09

Eurozone Industrial Production rose 0.2% MoM in September vs. 1.1% decline in August

The Eurozone industrial sector activity expanded in September, according to the latest data published by Eurostat on Wednesday.
New
update2025.11.13 19:05

US Dollar Index (DXY) accelerates its decline, nearing 99.00 on risk appetite

The US Dollar is the worst-performing G7 currency on Thursday.
New
update2025.11.13 19:01

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel