Select Language

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD dives below $50.00 as the Dollar rallies

Breaking news

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD dives below $50.00 as the Dollar rallies

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.10.21 18:53
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD dives below $50.00 as the Dollar rallies

update 2025.10.21 18:53

  • Silver extended losses on risk aversion, reaching two-week lows at $49.20.
  • Hopes of a de-escalation of the US-China trade rift have boosted risk appetite, hammering precious metals.
  • XAG/USD has broken the neckline of a bearish H&S pattern, targeting levels right above $46.00.

Silver (XAG/USD) is finally correcting lower. Market expectations that the US and China will de-escalate trade tensions are boosting the US Dollar's recovery and hurting precious metals. Silver has extended its reversal from last week's highs at the $55.00 area, to session lows near $49.00 so far.

US President Trump soothed markets on Monday, announcing that he was planning to meet his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping next week, and that he expected to reach a "fair deal" which would lead to a good trade relationship between the two countries. These comments tackled fears of a trade war and have sent the US Dollar rallying across the board.

Technical analysis: A bearish H&S pattern is in play

XAG/USD Chart

Silver has broken below the base of the ascending channel from mid-September lows and extended losses below the neckline of a bearish Head & Shoulders, a common figure in trend shifts, at the $50.71 area.

The pair is attempting to return above the $50.00 psychological level at the time of writing, and is likely to retest the mentioned H&S neckline, which might act as a resistance now, at the 50.80 area. Further up, the target would be the reverse trendline, near 52.10.

To the downside, intra-day lows are at $49.20 ahead of the October 9 low, at $48.45. The H&S pattern's measured target is coincident with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the September-October rally, at $46.15.

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply - Silver is much more abundant than Gold - and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals - more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers' demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.




Date

Created

 : 2025.10.21

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.10.21

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

US Dollar Index weakens below 99.00, US-China trade talks in focus

The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, trades on a negative note near 98.90 during the early European session on Wednesday. The DXY weakens after three consecutive days of gains amid the ongoing US federal shutdown. 
New
update2025.10.22 13:56

USD/CHF clings to gains near 0.7970, focus shifts to US CPI data

The USD/CHF pair trades firmly near Tuesday's high around 0.7970 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The Swiss Franc pair exhibits strength as the US Dollar (USD) trades broadly firm on hopes that the United States (US) and China will reach a trade deal soon.
New
update2025.10.22 13:55

EUR/JPY treads water above 176.00 ahead of speeches from ECB officials

EUR/JPY moves little after registering gains in the previous session, trading around 176.20 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair steadies as traders adopt caution ahead of a series of speeches from European Central Bank (ECB) officials this week for clues on the policy outlook.
New
update2025.10.22 13:46

India Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data

Gold prices rose in India on Wednesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
New
update2025.10.22 13:38

BoJ poised to hike interest rates in Q4 -- Reuters poll

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise its key interest rate in either October or December, according to the majority of economists polled by Reuters. Nearly 96% of economists expect borrowing costs to increase at least 25 basis points (bps) by the end of March.
New
update2025.10.22 13:25

Japan's Takaichi reportedly preparing economic package to tackle inflation

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi ordered a new package of economic measures aimed at easing the burden of inflation on households and companies, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday. 
New
update2025.10.22 13:18

GBP/USD stays below 1.3400 as UK borrowing exceeds forecasts in H1

GBP/USD loses ground for the fourth consecutive session, trading around 1.3380 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair face challenges ahead of the United Kingdom's (UK) Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Retail Price Index data for September.
New
update2025.10.22 13:11

NZD/USD aims to extend recovery above 0.5750 ahead of Bessent-He meeting

The NZD/USD pair strives to extend its recovery move above the immediate hurdle of 0.5750 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday.
New
update2025.10.22 13:06

EUR/USD strives to gain ground near 1.1600, outlook remains uncertain

The EUR/USD pair attempts to stabilize around 1.1600 during Wednesday's Asian session, following a three-day losing streak.
New
update2025.10.22 12:14

USD/CAD falls to near 1.4000 as Oil prices extend gains on falling stockpiles

USD/CAD extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around 1.4000 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair loses ground as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) receives support from the higher Oil prices.
New
update2025.10.22 12:12

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel