Select Language

AUD/USD remains steady after Trump tones down China rhetoric, DXY recovers slightly

Breaking news

AUD/USD remains steady after Trump tones down China rhetoric, DXY recovers slightly

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.10.18 03:36
AUD/USD remains steady after Trump tones down China rhetoric, DXY recovers slightly

update 2025.10.18 03:36

  • AUD/USD holds firm near 0.6500 on Friday as Trump's softer China stance lifts risk sentiment.
  • Trump says 100% tariffs on Chinese imports "not sustainable," plans to meet Xi at the APEC Summit in South Korea.
  • The US Dollar Index recovers modestly from two-week lows but remains on track for weekly losses.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) remains well bid against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, as US President Donald Trump's softer stance on trade with China eases risk sentiment. The Aussie is showing resilience even as the Greenback strengthens, supported by Australia's close trade ties with China.

At the time of writing, AUD/USD is holding firm around the 0.6500 psychological level, rebounding from an intraday low of 0.6443. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback's value against a basket of six major currencies, is recovering modestly from two-week lows, trading around 98.45, but remains on track for weekly losses.

US President Donald Trump said on Friday that his plan to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese imports "is not sustainable," signaling a willingness to ease tensions between the world's two largest economies. He also confirmed plans to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping at the upcoming APEC Summit in South Korea.

From a technical perspective, AUD/USD broke below the neckline of a Head and Shoulders pattern last week, confirming a bearish continuation setup. Since then, the pair has traded in a relatively narrow range between 0.6450 and 0.6520, reflecting consolidation after the breakdown.

Immediate support is seen near the weekly low around 0.6440. A decisive move below this area could expose the multi-month horizontal support near 0.6400, which represents the next key downside target.

On the upside, initial resistance lies at the 0.6500 handle, followed by the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 0.6550, which also aligns with the former neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern. Only a break and daily close above this confluence zone would negate the bearish setup and shift the short-term structure back to bullish.

Momentum indicators remain slightly bearish, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering near 42, suggesting that while the downside pressure has eased, recovery attempts may face resistance unless broader risk sentiment improves.

Australian Dollar FAQs

One of the most significant factors for the Australian Dollar (AUD) is the level of interest rates set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Because Australia is a resource-rich country another key driver is the price of its biggest export, Iron Ore. The health of the Chinese economy, its largest trading partner, is a factor, as well as inflation in Australia, its growth rate and Trade Balance. Market sentiment - whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) - is also a factor, with risk-on positive for AUD.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) influences the Australian Dollar (AUD) by setting the level of interest rates that Australian banks can lend to each other. This influences the level of interest rates in the economy as a whole. The main goal of the RBA is to maintain a stable inflation rate of 2-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively high interest rates compared to other major central banks support the AUD, and the opposite for relatively low. The RBA can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former AUD-negative and the latter AUD-positive.

China is Australia's largest trading partner so the health of the Chinese economy is a major influence on the value of the Australian Dollar (AUD). When the Chinese economy is doing well it purchases more raw materials, goods and services from Australia, lifting demand for the AUD, and pushing up its value. The opposite is the case when the Chinese economy is not growing as fast as expected. Positive or negative surprises in Chinese growth data, therefore, often have a direct impact on the Australian Dollar and its pairs.

Iron Ore is Australia's largest export, accounting for $118 billion a year according to data from 2021, with China as its primary destination. The price of Iron Ore, therefore, can be a driver of the Australian Dollar. Generally, if the price of Iron Ore rises, AUD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Iron Ore falls. Higher Iron Ore prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance for Australia, which is also positive of the AUD.

The Trade Balance, which is the difference between what a country earns from its exports versus what it pays for its imports, is another factor that can influence the value of the Australian Dollar. If Australia produces highly sought after exports, then its currency will gain in value purely from the surplus demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase its exports versus what it spends to purchase imports. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens the AUD, with the opposite effect if the Trade Balance is negative.


Date

Created

 : 2025.10.18

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.10.18

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/USD slips as Trump softens China tariff stance, US Dollar recovers

EUR/USD dives 0.17% during the North American session on Friday as the Greenback trims its earlier losses as US President Donald Trump tempered his trade rhetoric on China. The pair trades at around 1.1666 after hitting a daily high of 1.1728.
New
update2025.10.18 05:42

Canadian Dollar rebounds as Greenback recedes

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) caught a fresh bid on Friday, reclaiming some lost ground against the US Dollar (USD), although the Loonie still remains trapped near six-month lows against the Greenback.
New
update2025.10.18 05:35

Gold crashes 2% from record high as Trump tempers threats on China

Gold price (XAU/USD) falls 2% after reaching a record high at $4,379 earlier on Friday, tumbles below $4,250, sponsored by US President Donald Trump's comment that triple-digit tariffs on China are unsustainable. At the time of writing, Bullion prices hover at around the $4,230 - $4,240 range.
New
update2025.10.18 03:40

AUD/USD remains steady after Trump tones down China rhetoric, DXY recovers slightly

The Australian Dollar (AUD) remains well bid against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, as US President Donald Trump's softer stance on trade with China eases risk sentiment. The Aussie is showing resilience even as the Greenback strengthens, supported by Australia's close trade ties with China.
New
update2025.10.18 03:35

Dow Jones Industrial Average recovers footing, brushes off regional bank weakness

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) found a near-term foothold to wrap up the trading week, rebounding around 260 points from recent lows and fighting to stay on the high side of key moving averages.
New
update2025.10.18 03:21

USD/JPY strengthens as Trump's softer stance on China boosts US Dollar demand

The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with USD/JPY rebounding after slipping to two-week lows earlier in the Asian session.
New
update2025.10.18 02:22

BoE's Greene: We should not cut rates every quarter, but rate-cutting cycle not over

Bank of England (BoE) MPC Member Megan Greene spoke about inflation dynamics, the global rate path, and risks in currency markets at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank Group, in Washington, DC.
New
update2025.10.18 02:07

EUR/GBP steady as French political calm supports Euro, UK fiscal issues weigh

EUR/GBP trades steadily around 0.8700 on Friday at the time of writing, supported by improved political sentiment in France after Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu survived two no-confidence motions in parliament.
New
update2025.10.18 01:52

Fed's Musalem:Important for Fed to be cautious right now

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem spoke about at the Institute of International Finance Annual Membership Meeting in Washington, DC.
New
update2025.10.18 01:52

GBP/USD pulls back towards 1.34 as Trump softens China rhetoric, US Dollar recovers

The GBP/USD retreats on Friday after hitting its highest level in a week of 1.3471 after US President Donald Trump revealed that elevated tariffs on China are not sustainable. Consequently, the Greenback printed gains as reflected by the pair, trading above the 1.34 handle down 0.12%.
New
update2025.10.18 00:51

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel