Select Language

USD/CAD flatlines right above 140 with US, Canadian data on tap

Breaking news

USD/CAD flatlines right above 140 with US, Canadian data on tap

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.10.10 19:28
USD/CAD flatlines right above 140 with US, Canadian data on tap

update 2025.10.10 19:28

  • The US Dollar consolidates gains above 1.4000, on track to close a three-week rally.
  • Political uncertainty in Japan and France has been boosting the US Dollar across the board this week
  • The Canadian Dollar suffers with Oil prices near the $60.00 level.
     

The US Dollar is standing comfortably at six-month highs above 1.4000 against the Canadian Dollar. The pair has been trading higher for the last thee weeks, before taking some rest ahead of the release of US consumer confidence data and Canada's employment figures.

The US Dollar has been the strongest performer this week, supported by the political uncertainty in France and Japan. The Canadian Dollar, on the contrary, has been under pressure as the trade deal between Israel and Hamas sent Oil prices tumbling.

Fed's Daly calls for further rate cuts

Earlier on Friday, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly added some pressure on the US Dollar, anticipating further rate cuts in the coming months. Daly pointed out a "worrisome" deterioration of the labour market, while inflation, in her opinion, has come much less than feared.

Investors, however, are taking a cautious approach on Friday, awaiting Canada's employment report. The market consensus anticipates a 5K increase in net employment in September after a 65.5K decline in August. The unemployment rate, however, is expected to have ticked up to 7.2% from 7.1% in the previous month.

Later on, the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is expected to show that confidence among American consumers fell further in October, amid worsening labour market conditions. The index is expected to have dropped to 54.2 from September's 55.1, and is likely to provide further reasons for the Fed's dove party.

Economic Indicator

Net Change in Employment

The Net Change in Employment released by Statistics Canada is a measure of the change in the number of people in employment in Canada. Generally speaking, a rise in this indicator has positive implications for consumer spending and indicates economic growth. Therefore, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Canadian Dollar (CAD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Fri Oct 10, 2025 12:30

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: 5K

Previous: -65.5K

Source: Statistics Canada

Canada's labor market statistics tend to have a significant impact on the Canadian dollar, with the Employment Change figure carrying most of the weight. There is a significant correlation between the amount of people working and consumption, which impacts inflation and the Bank of Canada's rate decisions, in turn moving the C$. Actual figures beating consensus tend to be CAD bullish, with currency markets usually reacting steadily and consistently in response to the publication.

Economic Indicator

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, released on a monthly basis by the University of Michigan, is a survey gauging sentiment among consumers in the United States. The questions cover three broad areas: personal finances, business conditions and buying conditions. The data shows a picture of whether or not consumers are willing to spend money, a key factor as consumer spending is a major driver of the US economy. The University of Michigan survey has proven to be an accurate indicator of the future course of the US economy. The survey publishes a preliminary, mid-month reading and a final print at the end of the month. Generally, a high reading is bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Fri Oct 10, 2025 14:00 (Prel)

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: 54.2

Previous: 55.1

Source: University of Michigan

Consumer exuberance can translate into greater spending and faster economic growth, implying a stronger labor market and a potential pick-up in inflation, helping turn the Fed hawkish. This survey's popularity among analysts (mentioned more frequently than CB Consumer Confidence) is justified because the data here includes interviews conducted up to a day or two before the official release, making it a timely measure of consumer mood, but foremost because it gauges consumer attitudes on financial and income situations. Actual figures beating consensus tend to be USD bullish.



Date

Created

 : 2025.10.10

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.10.10

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

FX Today: The BoE is expected to keep its policy rate unchanged. US shutdown hits record

The US Dollar (USD) maintained its upside momentum for yet another day, navigating the area of multi-month tops amid further repricing of Fed rate cuts and the still unresolved US federal government shutdown, which is now the longest in history.
New
update2025.11.06 04:05

WTI Crude Oil slides below $60 after EIA reports surprise inventory build

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil extends its decline for the third consecutive day on Wednesday, slipping below the key $60.00 per barrel mark to hit a one-week low after the latest US Energy Information Administration (EIA) report showed a larger-than-expected inventory build.
New
update2025.11.06 03:29

Gold climbs over 1% despite strong US data fueling mixed market mood

Gold (XAU/USD) price rises more than 1% on Wednesday after a slew of economic data was released in the United States (US), which strengthened the US Dollar (USD), but also the yellow metal, which trades at around $3,980 after hitting a daily low of $3,929.
New
update2025.11.06 03:21

Dow Jones Industrial Average recovers 300 points after AI sell-off finds footing

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) crimped bearish flows on Wednesday, finding a near-term foothold near the 47,200 level and rising 300 points as equity markets recover following an early-week plunge in the heavily concentrated AI and tech infrastructure segments.
New
update2025.11.06 03:18

NZD/USD rises slightly on China tariff relief amid weak NZ labor market

NZD/USD recovers on Wednesday, trading around 0.5660 at the time of writing, supported by improving global trade sentiment after China announced it would suspend part of its tariffs on US agricultural goods starting November 10.
New
update2025.11.06 03:12

Fed's Miran: ADP data was a welcome surprise

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran speaks about the Job market and the monetary policy for Yahoo Finance on Wednesday. He said that the ADP data was a welcome surprise and that he sees additional investment demand over time.
New
update2025.11.06 01:25

Service-sector activity continues to expand

The ISM services index rebounded to 52.4 in October amid an expansion in current activity and coming demand conditions. Service-providers reported paying higher prices as concerns around tariff-induced cost pressure continues.
New
update2025.11.06 01:22

EUR/USD subdued as strong ISM and ADP data reinforce Fed's cautious stance

The Euro (EUR) holds firm against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday but remains anchored near three-month lows, as the Greenback stays broadly supported by upbeat US economic data.
New
update2025.11.06 01:06

GBP/USD steadies after sharp drop as Reeves' tax warning sparks fiscal jitters

The GBP/USD holds firm on Wednesday following Tuesday's 0.90% losses due to UK's finance minister Rachel Reeves saying that she could raise taxes to meet her fiscal rules. The pair trades at 1.3028 virtually unchanged.
New
update2025.11.06 00:47

USD/CHF steady around 0.8100 as US data offset by shutdown gloom

USD/CHF trades around 0.8100 on Wednesday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day after pulling back from a three-month high of 0.8124 hit earlier as data from the United States (US) supports the US Dollar (USD).
New
update2025.11.06 00:37

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel