Select Language

EUR/USD strengthens above 1.1550 despite French political crisis

Breaking news

EUR/USD strengthens above 1.1550 despite French political crisis

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.10.10 13:38
EUR/USD strengthens above 1.1550 despite French political crisis

update 2025.10.10 13:38

  • EUR/USD recovers to near 1.1575 in Friday's Asian session.
  • Lingering political uncertainty in France could weigh on the Euro. 
  • Traders brace for a breakthrough on the ongoing US government shutdown.

The EUR/USD pair gains ground around 1.1575, snapping the four-day losing streak during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The potential upside for the major pair might be limited as the political turmoil in France weighed on the Euro (EUR). The preliminary reading of the U-Mich Consumer Sentiment report will be in the spotlight later on Friday.

French President Emmanuel Macron will name a new Prime Minister by Friday evening, per the Guardian. France's longstanding political crisis deepened this week when the Prime Minister, Sébastien Lecornu, resigned after 27 days in office. "In France, turmoil following the resignation of Prime Minister Lecornu has undermined EUR sentiment," said Kieran Williams, head of Asia FX at InTouch Capital Markets.

Across the pond, the US government shutdown entered its tenth day on Friday as the Senate rejected funding bills from lawmakers that had the potential to bring the shutdown to an end. The shutdown has caused a delay in official US economic data, which complicates the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision-making on interest rates. Concerns over a prolonged US federal shutdown could undermine the Greenback and create a tailwind for the major pair. 

New York Fed President John Williams said on Thursday that he would be comfortable with cutting interest rates again. Meanwhile, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly noted on Friday that inflation has come in much less than she had feared, adding that the US central bank is projecting additional cuts in risk management.

Money markets are currently pricing in a 95% probability of the central bank cutting its key interest rate again in the October policy meeting, according to the CME's FedWatch tool.

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.10.10

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.10.10

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Rebounds above 201.00 but upside limited

The GBP/JPY shows signs of recovery on Wednesday, trades above the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 200.97, after hitting a daily low of 199.61 earlier in the session. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 201.10, up 0.53%.
New
update2025.11.06 08:04

When is the Australian Trade Data and how could it affect AUD/USD?

The Australian Bureau of Statistics will publish its data for August on Thursday at 00.30 GMT. Trade surplus is expected to widen to 3,850M MoM in September, compared to 1,825M in the previous reading.
New
update2025.11.06 07:30

EUR/USD steadies near 1.15 as traders scale back Fed rate-cut bets

EUR/USD consolidates at around 1.1480 on Wednesday, snapping five days of losses after economic data in the US prompted investors to grow less confident about a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) at the December meeting. At the time of writing, the pair trades unchanged at 1.1484.
New
update2025.11.06 06:42

FX Today: The BoE is expected to keep its policy rate unchanged. US shutdown hits record

The US Dollar (USD) maintained its upside momentum for yet another day, navigating the area of multi-month tops amid further repricing of Fed rate cuts and the still unresolved US federal government shutdown, which is now the longest in history.
New
update2025.11.06 04:05

WTI Crude Oil slides below $60 after EIA reports surprise inventory build

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil extends its decline for the third consecutive day on Wednesday, slipping below the key $60.00 per barrel mark to hit a one-week low after the latest US Energy Information Administration (EIA) report showed a larger-than-expected inventory build.
New
update2025.11.06 03:29

Gold climbs over 1% despite strong US data fueling mixed market mood

Gold (XAU/USD) price rises more than 1% on Wednesday after a slew of economic data was released in the United States (US), which strengthened the US Dollar (USD), but also the yellow metal, which trades at around $3,980 after hitting a daily low of $3,929.
New
update2025.11.06 03:21

Dow Jones Industrial Average recovers 300 points after AI sell-off finds footing

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) crimped bearish flows on Wednesday, finding a near-term foothold near the 47,200 level and rising 300 points as equity markets recover following an early-week plunge in the heavily concentrated AI and tech infrastructure segments.
New
update2025.11.06 03:18

NZD/USD rises slightly on China tariff relief amid weak NZ labor market

NZD/USD recovers on Wednesday, trading around 0.5660 at the time of writing, supported by improving global trade sentiment after China announced it would suspend part of its tariffs on US agricultural goods starting November 10.
New
update2025.11.06 03:12

Fed's Miran: ADP data was a welcome surprise

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran speaks about the Job market and the monetary policy for Yahoo Finance on Wednesday. He said that the ADP data was a welcome surprise and that he sees additional investment demand over time.
New
update2025.11.06 01:25

Service-sector activity continues to expand

The ISM services index rebounded to 52.4 in October amid an expansion in current activity and coming demand conditions. Service-providers reported paying higher prices as concerns around tariff-induced cost pressure continues.
New
update2025.11.06 01:22

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel