Select Language

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Keep bullish vibe above 97.00

Breaking news

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Keep bullish vibe above 97.00

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.10.02 13:37
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Keep bullish vibe above 97.00

update 2025.10.02 13:37

  • AUD/JPY trades in positive territory around 97.35 in Thursday's early European session. 
  • The cross maintains a positive outlook, but further consolidation cannot be ruled out with the neutral RSI indicator. 
  • The immediate resistance level is seen at 98.45; the initial support level is located at 96.85.

The AUD/JPY cross gathers strength near 97.35 during the early European session on Thursday. The risk-on sentiment undermines the safe-haven currency like the Japanese Yen (JPY) against the Australian Dollar (AUD). 

Technically, the positive view of AUD/JPY remains in place as the cross is well-supported above the key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily chart. Nonetheless, further consolidation or temporary sell-off cannot be ruled out as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around the midline. This suggests the neutral momentum in the near term. 

On the bright side, the key upside barrier for the cross emerges at 98.15, the high of September 30. Sustained trading above the mentioned level could pave the way to 98.45, the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band. A decisive break above this level could pick up more momentum and aim for the January 7 high of 99.17, followed by the 100.00 psychological level. 

On the other hand, the initial support level for AUD/JPY is located at 96.85, the lower limit of the Bollinger Band. Any follow-through selling below this level could expose 96.12, the 100-day EMA. The additional downside filter to watch is 95.63, the low of July 22. 

AUD/JPY daily chart

Japanese Yen FAQs

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world's most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan's policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors.

One of the Bank of Japan's mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen.

Over the last decade, the BoJ's stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential.

The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen's value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.


Date

Created

 : 2025.10.02

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.10.02

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/USD hovers at 1.1600 as muted CPI data fails to alter Fed stance

EUR/USD is poised to finish the week with losses of 0.21% yet it remains above the 1.16 figure for the third straight day, capped on the upside by key resistance levels after US data might not deter the Fed from cutting rates.
New
update2025.10.25 07:15

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Stays range-bound below 0.8000

The USD/CHF remains subdued on Friday, yet the pair trades below 0.8000 poised to finish the week with modest gains of over 0.25%. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 0.7956m, virtually unchanged.
New
update2025.10.25 05:18

Gold rebounds after softer US CPI data reinforces Fed cut bets

Gold price erases earlier losses, rises over 0.10% on Friday following the release of the September inflation report in the US, which showed that prices climbed but would not deter the Federal Reserve (Fed) from cutting rates next week.
New
update2025.10.25 04:07

AUD/USD holds steady as mixed US data keeps traders cautious

The Australian Dollar (AUD) is virtually unchanged against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday after volatile two-way price action driven by a mix of US macro data.
New
update2025.10.25 03:12

Dow Jones Industrial Average reaches new peak as US CPI inflation boosts rate cut bets

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) lumbered into record highs on Friday, posting intraday bids north of 47,300 for the first time ever.
New
update2025.10.25 03:10

Silver price consolidates below $49 on Fed rate-cut outlook

Silver (XAG/USD) eases on Friday, trading around $48.85 per troy ounce at the time of writing, down 0.10% for the day, as the market consolidates below the psychological $49 level.
New
update2025.10.25 01:44

EUR/GBP jumps to four-week high as BoE dovish bets offset strong UK data

The EUR/GBP advances during the North American session, even though Retail Sales in the UK, exceeded estimates but a softer inflation reading increased the odds for further easing by the Bank of England. The cross trades at 0.8744, up 0.74% as it hits a four-week high.
New
update2025.10.25 01:25

USD/JPY extends gains as strong US PMI offsets softer CPI data

The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under pressure against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with USD/JPY trading around 152.80, up for the sixth straight day.
New
update2025.10.25 00:06

GBP/USD holds steady post-volatile session on UK data, US inflation signals

GBP/USD trades sideways around 1.3325 on Friday at the time of writing, unchanged on the day after a volatile session triggered by multiple economic releases from the United Kingdom (UK) and the United States (US).
New
update2025.10.25 00:01

JPY soft and underperforming G10 in quiet trade - Scotiabank

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is soft, down 0.2% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming nearly all of the G10 currencies in overall quiet trade, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
New
update2025.10.24 23:54

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel