Select Language

Pound Sterling extends gains against US Dollar on US government shutdown risks

Breaking news

Pound Sterling extends gains against US Dollar on US government shutdown risks

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.09.30 17:40
Pound Sterling extends gains against US Dollar on US government shutdown risks

update 2025.09.30 17:40

  • The Pound Sterling rises to near 1.3450 against the US Dollar amid risks of a likely US government shutdown.
  • US Democrats want Republicans to undo cuts in the healthcare budget.
  • BoE's Ramsden argues in favor of interest rate cuts to support weakening job demand.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) extends its upside to near 1.3450 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session Tuesday. The GBP/USD pair advances as the US Dollar trades cautiously amid fears of a potential United States (US) government shutdown, with Republicans struggling to persuade Democrats to support short-term funding bill before Tuesday's midnight deadline.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback's value against six major currencies, trades marginally lower around 97.80.

Prospects of a partial US government shutdown have escalated significantly, following comments from Vice President (VP) JD Vance to CNBC, after meeting with Democrats, recognising that the administration could face a shutdown. "I think we're headed to a shutdown because the Democrats won't do the right thing," Vance said.

Democrats have been denying approving the stopgap bill in the House of Senate as they want White House to roll back cuts in healthcare benefits announced earlier this year.

Meanwhile, the US Labour and Commerce departments have warned that the closure of statistical agencies, in the event of a partial shutdown, could halt the scheduled releases of key economic indicators, including official employment data for September.

Daily digest market movers: Pound Sterling trades lower against its major peers

  • The Pound Sterling underperforms its major peers, except North American currencies, on Tuesday. The British currency weakens as Bank of England (BoE) Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden has argued in favor of reducing interest rates amid growing United Kingdom (UK) labor market concerns. Ramsden is also confident that inflationary pressures will return to the central bank as interest rates are still restrictive.
  • "We have seen the labour market continuing to loosen with wage growth normalising," Ramsden said in a panel discussion organised by the European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt on Monday, and added that "I [Ramsden] see that as supporting a continuation of the core disinflation process, which anchors his view on the inflation outlook," Reuters reported.
  • BoE Ramsden's support for interest rate cuts is unfavorable for the Pound Sterling, as he was among seven of nine Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members who voted to hold policy rates steady at 4% in the September policy meeting.
  • Meanwhile, UK Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data has come in stronger than previously estimated on an annual basis. The figures showed that the economy rose by 1.4% YoY, faster than the preliminary release of 1.2%. Quarter-on-quarter GDP growth remained in line with flash estimates of 0.3%.
  • In Tuesday's session, the major trigger for the GBP/USD pair will be the US JOLTS Job Openings data for August, which will be published at 14:00 GMT.  US employers are expected to have posted fresh 7.1 million jobs, in line with the prior reading of 7.18 million.

Technical Analysis: Pound Sterling gains to near 1.3450

The Pound Sterling gains marginally higher to near 1.3450 against the US Dollar on Tuesday. However, the near-term outlook for the Cable remains bearish as it stays below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades around 1.3483.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) rebounds from 40.00, currently at 46. The pair would remain sideways if the RSI is stable in the 40.00-60.00 range.

Looking down, the August 1 low of 1.3140 will act as a key support zone. On the upside, the September 17 high of 1.3726 will act as a key barrier.

 

Pound Sterling FAQs

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, also known as 'Cable', which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the 'Dragon' as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).

The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of "price stability" - a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall.

Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.



Date

Created

 : 2025.09.30

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.09.30

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Gold advances as shutdown looms, weak US data fuels rate cut bets

Gold climbs during the North American session on Tuesday yet remains below the record high hit in the Asian session of $3,871. Amid fears of a US government shutdown, jobs data reaffirmed expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). XAU/USD trades at $3,846, up 0.35%.
New
update2025.10.01 04:29

Canadian Dollar middles as investor sentiment slows to a crawl

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) held mostly in place on Tuesday, with market flows broadly drawing down as the US government careens into a funding shutdown.
New
update2025.10.01 04:09

Fed's Collins warns that rate cuts will follow, but only if the economy meets expectations

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Boston President Susan Collins warned that the Fed could have room to continue interest rate cuts, but only if economic conditions remain on-balance.
New
update2025.10.01 03:59

Fed's Goolsbee says short government shutdowns are okay

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee noted on Tuesday that "short" government shutdowns tend to have a limited impact on the broader economy. The statements come at a time when the US government is barreling into a funding gap and subsequent shutdown.
New
update2025.10.01 03:48

USD/JPY slides as US shutdown fears boost Yen's safe-haven appeal

The Japanese Yen (JPY) gains traction against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with USD/JPY extending losses for a third straight day as the looming United States (US) government shutdown weighs on the Greenback and bolsters safe-haven demand for the Yen.
New
update2025.10.01 03:36

Dow Jones Industrial Average slow bleeds as government shutdown looms

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) saw a slow bleed on Tuesday, shedding around 150 points as investors braced ahead of what is likely to be a federal government shutdown.
New
update2025.10.01 02:46

FX Today: Focus shifts to inflation in Europe and US ADP, ISM data

Steady jitters around a potential US government shutdown kept the US Dollar under pressure on Tuesday, adding to the ongoing multi-day weakness hurting the currency. In addition, prospects for extra rate cuts by the Federal Reserve also collaborated with the bearish price action.
New
update2025.10.01 02:46

BoE's Breeden says recent inflation "hump" shouldn't lead to more inflation

Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member and Deputy Governor for Financial Stability, Sarah Breeden, stated on Tuesday that she believes the recent "bump" in inflation won't lead to further, long-term inflationary pressures.
New
update2025.10.01 01:42

EUR/GBP edges lower as UK GDP beats forecasts, Eurozone inflation in focus

The Euro (EUR) trades on the back foot against the British Pound (GBP) on Tuesday, with EUR/GBP hovering near the lower end of its week-long range, between 0.8720 and 0.8750. At the time of writing, the cross is trading around 0.8730, as Sterling draws support from steady UK growth data.
New
update2025.10.01 01:13

GBP/USD extends winning streak as US shutdown fears hit Dollar

Cable extended its gains for three straight days on Tuesday, edges up 0.20% spurred by investors selling off the Dollar amid fears of a US government shutdown. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3461 at the time of writing.
New
update2025.10.01 00:22

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel