Select Language

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rallies to $47.00 with US Government shutdown looming 

Breaking news

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rallies to $47.00 with US Government shutdown looming 

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.09.29 16:32
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rallies to $47.00 with US Government shutdown looming 

update 2025.09.29 16:32

  • Silver remains bid on US Dollar weakness, at 4-year highs, near $47.00.
  • Investors' concern about a US Government shutdown has given an additional boost to precious metals.
  • XAG/USD is at extremely overbought levels after rallying about 7% over the last three days.

Silver (XAG/USD) continues to rise on Monday. The white metal appreciates by about 1.8% on the day, and trades as the US Dollar and US Treasury yields retreat, with investors taking positions ahead of the $46.95, after having hit fresh multi-year highs at $47.18 in the early European trading session.

Precious metals are thriving on Monday, as the US Dollar and US Treasury yields retreat, with investors taking positions ahead of the highly likely closure of the US federal government on Wednesday.

Beyond that, the moderate US PCE Price Index figures seen on Friday keep concerns of a sharp inflationary impact from tariffs subdued, at least for now, and keep hopes of back-to-back Fed rate cuts alive. This is another source of weakness for US yields and the US Dollar.

Technical Analysis: Silver reaches extremely overbought levels

XAG/USD 4-Hour Chart

Fundamental drivers continue to boost Silver higher, but technical indicators indicate extremely overbought levels, which should serve as a warning for buyers. The pair has rallied nearly 7% in the last three trading days and about 13% in the last two weeks. Such sharp rallies tend to have similar corrections.

On the upside, the intraday high, around the $47.20 area, might offer some resistance. Above here, a Fibonacci tool sho¡ws the 261.8% extension of the mid-September bullish run, at $47.70.

A bearish reaction from current levels might find support at the $45.96 intraday lows ahead of the previous long-term highs, at $45.30 (September 25 high) and $44.45 (September 23 high).

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply - Silver is much more abundant than Gold - and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals - more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers' demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.




Date

Created

 : 2025.09.29

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.09.29

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Gold advances as shutdown looms, weak US data fuels rate cut bets

Gold climbs during the North American session on Tuesday yet remains below the record high hit in the Asian session of $3,871. Amid fears of a US government shutdown, jobs data reaffirmed expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). XAU/USD trades at $3,846, up 0.35%.
New
update2025.10.01 04:29

Canadian Dollar middles as investor sentiment slows to a crawl

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) held mostly in place on Tuesday, with market flows broadly drawing down as the US government careens into a funding shutdown.
New
update2025.10.01 04:09

Fed's Collins warns that rate cuts will follow, but only if the economy meets expectations

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Boston President Susan Collins warned that the Fed could have room to continue interest rate cuts, but only if economic conditions remain on-balance.
New
update2025.10.01 03:59

Fed's Goolsbee says short government shutdowns are okay

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee noted on Tuesday that "short" government shutdowns tend to have a limited impact on the broader economy. The statements come at a time when the US government is barreling into a funding gap and subsequent shutdown.
New
update2025.10.01 03:48

USD/JPY slides as US shutdown fears boost Yen's safe-haven appeal

The Japanese Yen (JPY) gains traction against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with USD/JPY extending losses for a third straight day as the looming United States (US) government shutdown weighs on the Greenback and bolsters safe-haven demand for the Yen.
New
update2025.10.01 03:36

Dow Jones Industrial Average slow bleeds as government shutdown looms

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) saw a slow bleed on Tuesday, shedding around 150 points as investors braced ahead of what is likely to be a federal government shutdown.
New
update2025.10.01 02:46

FX Today: Focus shifts to inflation in Europe and US ADP, ISM data

Steady jitters around a potential US government shutdown kept the US Dollar under pressure on Tuesday, adding to the ongoing multi-day weakness hurting the currency. In addition, prospects for extra rate cuts by the Federal Reserve also collaborated with the bearish price action.
New
update2025.10.01 02:46

BoE's Breeden says recent inflation "hump" shouldn't lead to more inflation

Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member and Deputy Governor for Financial Stability, Sarah Breeden, stated on Tuesday that she believes the recent "bump" in inflation won't lead to further, long-term inflationary pressures.
New
update2025.10.01 01:42

EUR/GBP edges lower as UK GDP beats forecasts, Eurozone inflation in focus

The Euro (EUR) trades on the back foot against the British Pound (GBP) on Tuesday, with EUR/GBP hovering near the lower end of its week-long range, between 0.8720 and 0.8750. At the time of writing, the cross is trading around 0.8730, as Sterling draws support from steady UK growth data.
New
update2025.10.01 01:13

GBP/USD extends winning streak as US shutdown fears hit Dollar

Cable extended its gains for three straight days on Tuesday, edges up 0.20% spurred by investors selling off the Dollar amid fears of a US government shutdown. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3461 at the time of writing.
New
update2025.10.01 00:22

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel