Select Language

USD/CAD languishes below 1.3780 ahead of Canadian and US data releases

Breaking news

USD/CAD languishes below 1.3780 ahead of Canadian and US data releases

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.09.16 19:19
USD/CAD languishes below 1.3780 ahead of Canadian and US data releases

update 2025.09.16 19:19

  • The US Dollar extends losses against the CAD, with bears looking at the 1.3760 weekly low.
  • Hopes that the Fed will announce a deeper easing cycle are hammering the US Dollar.
  • The Bank of Canada is also expected to cut rates by 25 bps on Wednesday.


The US Dollar extends losses on Tuesday after a nearly 0.5% decline on Monday. Bears are focusing on 10-day lows, at 1.3760, with upside attempts capped below 1.3780 as the market awaits Canadian CPI and US Retail sales to frame interest rate decisions later this week.

The Greenback sold off on Monday, as investors turned their attention to the Fed's two-day monetary policy meeting starting today. The sharp deterioration of the labour market has raised concerns that the bank might be behind the curve with rate cuts, and traders anticipate a dovish turn after Wednesday's meeting.

US Retail Sales, Canada's CPI to frame central banks' decisions

Later today, US Retail Sales are expected to show a slight decline in consumption, mainly driven by lower vehicle purchases in August. The final data, however, is not expected to alter the view that the Fed will cut rates by 25 bps on Wednesday and signal further monetary easing ahead.

In Canada, the Consumer Price Index is seen stalling in August but accelerating to a 2% yearly pace from the previous month's 1.7% reading. Likewise,  BoC's CPI is seen ticking up to a 2.7% annual increase from 2.6% in July and 2.5% in May.


The Bank of Canada, however, is widely expected to cut rates to 2.5% aiming to support a slowing economy and a quickly loosening labour market, and probably hint at further easing down the road. Nevertheless, investors seem more focused on the Fed, at least for now, which is giving the CAD a competitive advantage.


Central banks FAQs

Central Banks have a key mandate which is making sure that there is price stability in a country or region. Economies are constantly facing inflation or deflation when prices for certain goods and services are fluctuating. Constant rising prices for the same goods means inflation, constant lowered prices for the same goods means deflation. It is the task of the central bank to keep the demand in line by tweaking its policy rate. For the biggest central banks like the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the European Central Bank (ECB) or the Bank of England (BoE), the mandate is to keep inflation close to 2%.

A central bank has one important tool at its disposal to get inflation higher or lower, and that is by tweaking its benchmark policy rate, commonly known as interest rate. On pre-communicated moments, the central bank will issue a statement with its policy rate and provide additional reasoning on why it is either remaining or changing (cutting or hiking) it. Local banks will adjust their savings and lending rates accordingly, which in turn will make it either harder or easier for people to earn on their savings or for companies to take out loans and make investments in their businesses. When the central bank hikes interest rates substantially, this is called monetary tightening. When it is cutting its benchmark rate, it is called monetary easing.

A central bank is often politically independent. Members of the central bank policy board are passing through a series of panels and hearings before being appointed to a policy board seat. Each member in that board often has a certain conviction on how the central bank should control inflation and the subsequent monetary policy. Members that want a very loose monetary policy, with low rates and cheap lending, to boost the economy substantially while being content to see inflation slightly above 2%, are called 'doves'. Members that rather want to see higher rates to reward savings and want to keep a lit on inflation at all time are called 'hawks' and will not rest until inflation is at or just below 2%.

Normally, there is a chairman or president who leads each meeting, needs to create a consensus between the hawks or doves and has his or her final say when it would come down to a vote split to avoid a 50-50 tie on whether the current policy should be adjusted. The chairman will deliver speeches which often can be followed live, where the current monetary stance and outlook is being communicated. A central bank will try to push forward its monetary policy without triggering violent swings in rates, equities, or its currency. All members of the central bank will channel their stance toward the markets in advance of a policy meeting event. A few days before a policy meeting takes place until the new policy has been communicated, members are forbidden to talk publicly. This is called the blackout period.


Date

Created

 : 2025.09.16

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.09.16

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD approaches $3,700 on Dollar's weakness

Gold appreciated for the third consecutive day on Tuesday as the US dollar tanked amid hopes of a dovish turn by the Fed on Wednesday. The US Dollar Index has dropped to fresh two-month lows, which buoys the precious metal to fresh record highs right below $3,700.
New
update2025.09.16 19:57

Canada CPI unlikely to alter BOC easing path - BBH

Canada's August CPI is expected to confirm that underlying inflation pressures are stable but fading, leaving the Bank of Canada free to resume easing as labor market weakness deepens and policy divergence weighs on CAD, particularly against AUD and NOK, BBH FX analysts report.
New
update2025.09.16 19:49

Chinese refineries processed more crude oil in August - Commerzbank

Chinese refineries processed 63.46 million tons of crude oil in August, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). This was 7.4% more than in the same month last year, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
New
update2025.09.16 19:39

When is the US Retail Sales data and how it could affect EUR/USD?

The United States (US) Retail Sales for August is due for release today at 12:30 GMT. The Retail Sales data, a key measure of consumer spending, is expected to have grown at a moderate pace of 0.2%, against a 0.5% increase seen in July.
New
update2025.09.16 19:38

EUR/USD targets July high at 1.1829 - BBH

EUR/USD is firming toward its July high as resilient Eurozone data and a steady ECB policy stance underpin the uptrend, while relative Fed dovishness continues to favor the euro, BBH FX analysts report, BBH FX analysts report.
New
update2025.09.16 19:34

Ukrainian drone attack on Russian export terminal causes Oil prices to rise - Commerzbank

Oil prices rose significantly on Friday, recovering from the losses suffered the previous day. The price of Brent crude jumped from its previous low of around $2 to $68 per barre, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
New
update2025.09.16 19:21

USD/CAD languishes below 1.3780 ahead of Canadian and US data releases

The US Dollar extends losses on Tuesday after a nearly 0.5% decline on Monday. Bears are focusing on 10-day lows, at 1.3760, with upside attempts capped below 1.3780 as the market awaits Canadian CPI and US Retail sales to frame interest rate decisions later this week.
New
update2025.09.16 19:17

USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a range between 147.00 and 147.60 - UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 147.00 and 147.60. In the longer run, a narrower range of 146.20/148.50 is likely enough to contain the price movements for now, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.09.16 19:12

USD: Benign global conditions keep the dollar soft - ING

The dollar has started the week on the softish side. This may partly involve some pre-positioning ahead of tomorrow night's Fed rate cut. But it will also be a function of the benign external environment, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
New
update2025.09.16 18:57

Silver price today: Silver broadly unchanged, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) broadly unchanged on Tuesday, according to FXStreet data.
New
update2025.09.16 18:30

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel