Select Language

EUR/USD trades sideways, holds above 1.1700 as focus remains on Fed decision this week

Breaking news

EUR/USD trades sideways, holds above 1.1700 as focus remains on Fed decision this week

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.09.15 09:41
EUR/USD trades sideways, holds above 1.1700 as focus remains on Fed decision this week

update 2025.09.15 09:41

  • EUR/USD traders seem non-committed on Monday, though the downside seems cushioned.
  • The divergent ECB-Fed policy expectations might continue to act as a tailwind for the major.
  • Traders might also opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the FOMC decision on Wednesday.

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow band, around the 1.1725-1.1720 region during the Asian session. The downside, however, seems limited amid the divergent European Central Bank (ECB)-Federal Reserve (Fed) policy expectations and ahead of this week's key central bank event risk.

As was widely anticipated, the ECB left interest rates unchanged last Thursday and maintained an upbeat view on growth and inflation. Moreover, the central bank added that it would follow a meeting-by-meeting, data-dependent approach and was not pre-committing to a specific path for interest rates. This, in turn, dampened expectations for any further cut in borrowing costs, which continues to underpin the shared currency and offer support to the EUR/USD pair.

In fact, traders have now reduced the odds of another ECB rate cut before spring to just 40%. This gives the euro a policy advantage against the Fed, which is universally expected to cut rates as early as this week. In fact, the CME Group's FedWatch Tool indicates an over 90% chance of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut and a small possibility of a jumbo rate cut by the Fed on Wednesday. This keeps the US Dollar (USD) bulls on the defensive and also acts as a tailwind for the EUR/USD pair.

Bulls, however, seem reluctant and opt to wait for the outcome of a two-day FOMC monetary policy meeting on Wednesday before placing fresh bets. Traders will look for cues about the Fed's future rate-cut path, which, in turn, will play a key role in influencing the near-term USD price dynamics and providing some meaningful impetus to the EUR/USD pair. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop suggests that any corrective pullback could be seen as a buying opportunity.

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.09.15

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.09.15

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

India Gold price today: Gold steadies, according to FXStreet data

Gold prices remained broadly unchanged in India on Monday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
New
update2025.09.15 13:35

Gold bulls not ready to give up yet amid Fed rate cut bets and geopolitical risks

Gold (XAU/USD) kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it manages to reverse an Asian session dip to the $3,627-3,626 area and currently trades near the top end of a one-week-old trading range.
New
update2025.09.15 04:36

US Dollar Index steadies near 97.50, faces pressure on Fed rate cut bets

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is remaining steady and trading around 97.60 during the Asian hours on Monday.
New
update2025.09.15 04:31

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD extends the rally above $42.00 amid Fed rate cut expectations

The Silver price (XAG/USD) trades in positive territory for the fourth consecutive day near $42.25 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. Expectations of a rate cut from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) weigh on the US Dollar (USD) and support the USD-denominated commodity price.
New
update2025.09.15 03:56

USD/CAD remains below 1.3850 due to rising odds of multiple Fed rate cuts

USD/CAD inches lower after registering small gains in the previous session, trading around 1.3840 during the Asian hours on Monday.
New
update2025.09.15 03:55

AUD/JPY maintains position above 98.00 after disappointing Chinese data

AUD/JPY continues its winning streak for the fourth successive session, trading around 98.20 during the Asian hours on Monday.
New
update2025.09.15 02:52

Japanese Yen remains trapped in range against USD ahead of FOMC and BoJ policy meetings

The Japanese Yen (JPY) kicks off the new week on a subdued note and remains confined in a familiar range held over the past month or so against its American counterpart amid mixed fundamental cues.
New
update2025.09.15 02:46

China's NBS: Economic operation generally steady in August, facing many uncertainties

Following the publication of the high-impact China's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and activity data, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) expressed its outlook on the economy during its press conference on Monday.
New
update2025.09.15 02:10

Australian Dollar holds gains following weaker-than-expected China's economic data

The Australian Dollar (AUD) inches higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, recovering its losses registered in the previous session. The AUD/USD pair holds ground following disappointing economic data from Australia's close trading partner, China.
New
update2025.09.15 02:09

New round of US-China talks head into second day focused on trade, TikTok

The United States (US) and Chinese representatives discussed TikTok, trade and the economy during a day of high-level talks in Madrid, Bloomberg reported on Sunday. 
New
update2025.09.15 01:47

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel