Select Language

EUR/USD hovers around 1.1700 ahead of ECB policy decision

Breaking news

EUR/USD hovers around 1.1700 ahead of ECB policy decision

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
update 2025.09.11 12:00
EUR/USD hovers around 1.1700 ahead of ECB policy decision

update 2025.09.11 12:00

  • EUR/USD remains silent as traders adopt caution ahead of the ECB interest rate decision.
  • The European Central Bank is expected to maintain the Main Refinancing Operations Rate at 2.15% in September.
  • The US Dollar could experience weakness as softer PPI boosts Fed easing prospects for September.

EUR/USD holds ground after two days of losses, trading around 1.1700 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair moves little as traders adopt caution ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision due later in the day.

The ECB is widely expected to keep the Main Refinancing Operations Rate unchanged at 2.15% for the second consecutive meeting in September, as trade uncertainty persists and eurozone inflation remains on target for a third month.

The EUR/USD pair may regain its ground as the US Dollar (USD) could face challenges as traders fully price in a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September, following softer-than-estimated US Producer Price Index (PPI) data.

Traders now turn to the August US Consumer Price Index (CPI), due later today, which could strengthen expectations for a larger 50-basis-point Fed rate cut next week. The headline CPI is forecasted to rise by 2.9% YoY in August, while the core CPI is projected to increase 3.1% YoY during the same period.

Markets are now fully pricing in a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut at the Fed's September meeting, while the chance of a larger 50 bps reduction has also risen to nearly 12%, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Wednesday that the US PPI inflation declined to 2.6% on a yearly basis in August from 3.3% in July. This figure came in below the market consensus of 3.3%. On a monthly basis, the PPI declined by 0.1% in August, compared to the 0.7% increase (revised from 0.9%) prior.

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.09.11

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.09.11

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/CAD snaps four-day losing streak ahead of Canadian employment data

The EUR/CAD pair snaps its four-day losing streak and trades 0.13% higher to near 1.6240 during the European trading session on Friday. The cross gains as the Euro (EUR) outperforms its peers after remaining under pressure this week.
New
update2025.10.10 17:37

Dow Jones Futures edge up with sentiment frail amid the US shutdown

Dow Jones Index futures are showing minor gains during Friday's European morning session, but remain close to the weekly low on Thursday.
New
update2025.10.10 17:25

Forex Today: US Dollar rally pauses ahead of consumer confidence data

Here is what you need to know on Friday, October 10:
New
update2025.10.10 17:23

Pound Sterling slides further against US Dollar despite dovish Fed remarks

The Pound Sterling (GBP) holds onto losses near its two-month low around 1.3280 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday.
New
update2025.10.10 17:22

ECB's Kazaks: ECB rate at 2% is appropriate

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Martins Kazaks said on Friday that "ECB rate at 2% is appropriate."
New
update2025.10.10 17:14

ECB's Escriva: Inflation remains contained

European Central Bank Governing Council member Jose Luis Escriva said on Friday, "inflation remains contained."
New
update2025.10.10 17:05

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Moves below 177.00 with exiting overbought zone

EUR/JPY loses ground for the second successive session, trading around 176.70 during the European hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that short-term price momentum is stronger as the currency cross remains above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
New
update2025.10.10 16:37

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: On a bearish correction, aiming for 202.40 

The Pound dives below 203.00 after rejection at the 205.00 area.
New
update2025.10.10 16:29

Komeito party leader Saito: We cannot agree with LDP on issues involving money, politics

Komeito party leader Tetsuo Saito said on Friday, "we cannot agree with the Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) on issues involving money, politics."
New
update2025.10.10 16:13

Silver Price Forecast: Bullish outlook remains in play near $50.00

Silver price (XAG/USD) jumps to near $49.95 during the early European session on Friday. The white metal attracts some buyers amid the ongoing US government shutdown, uncertainty and the prospect of a US interest rate cut. 
New
update2025.10.10 15:59

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel