Select Language

EUR/JPY posts modest gains near 172.50 ahead of ECB rate decision

Breaking news

EUR/JPY posts modest gains near 172.50 ahead of ECB rate decision

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.09.11 13:11
EUR/JPY posts modest gains near 172.50 ahead of ECB rate decision

update 2025.09.11 13:11

  • EUR/JPY trades with mild gains around 172.50 in Thursday's Asian session.
  • Political uncertainty in Japan weighs on the Japanese Yen and acts as a tailwind for the cross. 
  • ECB is anticipated to hold rates again at its September meeting on Thursday. 

The EUR/JPY cross posts modest gains near 172.50, snapping the four-day losing streak during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. Expectations that political uncertainty in Japan could give the Bank of Japan (BoJ) more reasons to delay interest rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen (JPY). Traders await the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision later on Thursday, with no change in rates expected. 

Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba announced over the weekend that he will resign. The appointment of a new Japanese Prime Minister next month could offer the BoJ extra room to delay its next interest rate hike, especially if the next leader is concerned about borrowing prices rising too rapidly. Uncertainty around who becomes Prime Minister and what their policies might be could undermine the JPY and create a tailwind for the cross. 

On the Euro front, the ECB is set to leave interest rates unchanged at its September meeting on Thursday as inflation remains in line with the target. Analysts expect the ECB to take up a "wait-and-see" approach and cut rates in December. The attention will shift to the ECB Press Conference following the policy decision. 

ECB President Christine Lagarde's hawkish remarks in July reduced expectations of further reduction this month. Lagarde is unlikely to close the door on further rate cuts, especially since inflation is forecast to drop below the ECB's 2% target next year. However, any surprise dovish comments from ECB officials could drag the shared currency lower in the near term. 

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.09.11

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.09.11

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Forex Today: ECB rate decision, US inflation data to drive market action

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, September 11:
New
update2025.09.11 16:23

NZD/USD softens below 0.5950 as traders brace for US CPI inflation release

The NZD/USD pair drifts lower to around 0.5930 during the early European session on Thursday, pressured by a rebound in the US Dollar (USD). Investors might turn cautious ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August later on Thursday. 
New
update2025.09.11 16:08

European Central Bank set to keep interest rates unchanged for the second consecutive meeting

The European Central Bank (ECB) is widely expected to hold its key interest rates following the September monetary policy meeting. The decision will be announced on Thursday at 12:15 GMT.
New
update2025.09.11 16:00

USD/CAD gathers strength above 1.3850 as US CPI inflation data looms

The USD/CAD pair extends its upside to near 1.3875 during the early European session on Thursday. Rising bets that the Bank of Canada (BoC) would resume its easing cycle undermine the Canadian Dollar (CAD) against the Greenback.
New
update2025.09.11 15:08

Asian stocks rally as Nikkei 225 rises on Oracle-led AI optimism

Asian stocks rise on Thursday, following Wall Street's overnight rally, driven by softer-than-estimated US Producer Price Index (PPI) data and a strong forecast from Oracle.
New
update2025.09.11 15:06

Crude Oil price today: WTI price bearish at European opening

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price falls on Thursday, early in the European session. WTI trades at $63.23 per barrel, down from Wednesday's close at $63.50.Brent Oil Exchange Rate (Brent crude) is also shedding ground, trading at $67.14 after its previous daily close at $67.41.
New
update2025.09.11 15:02

FX option expiries for Sept 11 NY cut

FX option expiries for Sept 11 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time via DTCC can be found below.
New
update2025.09.11 14:27

EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Trades calmly near 0.8650 ahead of ECB's monetary policy announcement

The EUR/GBP pair trades steadily around 0.8650 during the late Asian trading session on Thursday. The asset appears stable ahead of the European Central Bank's monetary policy announcement at 12:15 GMT.
New
update2025.09.11 14:25

WTI Price Forecast: Retreats from one-week high; $63.00 holds the key for bullish traders

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices drift lower during the Asian session on Thursday and for now, seem to have snapped a three-day winning streak to a one-week high, around the $63.75-$63.80 region, touched the previous day.
New
update2025.09.11 14:23

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Bullish tone remains intact near 97.50

The AUD/JPY cross loses ground to near 97.45 during the early European session on Thursday. The upbeat Japanese economic data, including the Reuters Tankan poll and revised Gross Domestic Product (GDP), keep the door open for an imminent Bank of Japan (BoJ) interest rate hike by the year-end.
New
update2025.09.11 14:19

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel